Nate Silver has Obama up

[courseofhistory]

71% chance of winning 290.8 EV

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[DemocratSinceBirth]

1. Nate Said The Closer To The Election Even Small Movements Become Important/nt

[cilla4progress]

2. Thank god

I've been making myself sick over the election. I'm embarrassed to admit.

[MFM008]

3. i see that

he just did the numbers, looks like VA must have BO up, Come on VA, I was born in VA don't disappoint me.

[BlueStreak]

7. He as Virginia for Obama at 52.9%

[budkin]

4. This is the highest he's been since his plunge after the first debate

[ProudProgressiveNow]

5. Lovely to look at.

Thanks for posting the update.

[craigmatic]

6. Looks like a debate bounce has kicked in. We won 3 out of 4 of those things.

[FreeState]

8. I think its more Rmoney's bounce disappearing

The reason for this, at least as I see it, is that in order for Romney to maintain the momentum from the bounce he absolutely had to do one thing. He had to prove to the independents that despite the turn around we are seeing in the economy and other areas, it would be worth risking that improvement on trying something new. I think he failed to do that. He has to many unknowns still.