Hillary leading in NYC and suburbs with 60%

[RandySF]

If Clinton is going to hold off Sanders in New York, the votes are going to come from New York City and the surrounding suburbs.
A WNBC-TV/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll conducted this week showed Clinton leading Sanders in the city and suburbs, 60 percent to 36 percent.

Compare that to the results upstate, where the race is deadlocked: Sanders at 50 percent, Clinton at 49 percent.
Overall, the poll gives Clinton a 17-point lead, with nearly seven-in-10 voters coming from the city and the suburbs. (In the 2008 primary, the city, Long Island and the Lower Hudson Valley accounted for nearly three-quarters of the vote, according to exit-poll results.)

Upstate voters account for 31 percent of the Democratic primary electorate, per the Marist poll. But they make up more than 61 percent of Marist’s GOP electorate – a reflection of how different the Republican map is next Tuesday.


http://www.politico.com/blogs/5-political-numbers-to-watch/2016/04/new-york-primary-numbers-222037#ixzz4649qWKm5

[elleng]

1. early voting in NYS, right?

[Tom Rinaldo]

11. No. One can file an absentee ballot with "an excuse"...

It's not made convenient. Only a small percentage of voters in NY vote early.

[elleng]

13. Thought so, Tom.

So in fact percentages anyone's 'broadcasting' now are not facts.

[840high]

2. You forgot this....

Compare that to the results upstate, where the race is deadlocked: Sanders at 50 percent, Clinton at 49 percent.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/blogs/5-political-numbers-to-watch/2016/04/new-york-primary-numbers-222037#ixzz464DJruts
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[RandySF]

3. 50/50 in a region that'll make up 30% of the Dem primary

But a significant part of the Republican primary, as noted in the final paragraph of my post.

[840high]

4. Thanks for the link anyway.

[uponit7771]

7. Yes, as noted many times Sanders does better with conservative voters

[Haveadream]

5. Thanks for the update, RandySF!

[Kalidurga]

6. Thank you for this very important information

[Cha]

8. Steady as she goes, Hillary.. Mahalo Randy~

[Bluenorthwest]

9. Have you taken a gander at NYC's turnout in the last several elections? Dismal stuff.

NY State very low but the NYC turnout just shamefully low. NY has been in the bottom three States for turnout for years now. In 2014 NY turnout was 40 points lower than Oregon turnout. 40 points lower.

[Tiggeroshii]

15. Which means if he is able to get the turnout to a reasonae level he might be able to outperform the

...Michigan style

[livetohike]

10. K&R for a big day for Hillary on Tuesday.

[democrattotheend]

12. I canvassed for Bernie on Long Island yesterday

Of the people I met, it was split about 50/50, which was surprising given that I was canvassing a neighborhood where it's tough to find a house under $1 million.

[Skwmom]

14. The areas that are open 6 hours longer for voting. WOW, what a shock!