2016 New York Democratic Presidential Primary - Hillary 55%, Bernie 40% (4/16-4/17)

[Dem2]

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/emerson-college-polling-society-24294

[SoLeftIAmRight]

1. want to make a friendly large bet?

???

[hill2016]

3. what?

that Bernie wins New York?

Sure how much?

[SoLeftIAmRight]

5. 55 40

I think sanders will do better and $hillary will not

the bet

sanders 41 - you pay 100
sanders 42 - you pay 200
sanders 43 - you pay 400
sanders 44 - you pay 800
sanders 45 - you pay 1600
sanders 45 - you pay 3200


hillary 56 - i pay 100
hillary 57 - I pay 200
hillary 56 - i pay 400
hillary 57 - I pay 800
hillary 56 - i pay 1600
hillary 57 - I pay 3200

the doubling continues until

[CajunBlazer]

6. Take your money to Los Vages - they'll give you good odds.

Then come back and tell us how that worked out for you.

[SoLeftIAmRight]

7. Roll Tide - 4 out of the last 7

so you think 55 $hillary - 40 sanders is a bunch of shit also

[CajunBlazer]

10. Oh, I saw you at one of the Alabama games

The redneck with the Tide box and toilet paper rolls on a stick. Another one of the "side walk alumni" who never sets foot on campus except for games. Oh, wait, you probably can't afford the the price of a ticket so you only watch on TV.

How ironic - an Alabama fan uses a picture of Einstein as his Avatar image. Now that's rich.

[SoLeftIAmRight]

11. lol

and you fail

[CajunBlazer]

12. 11 hides, that must be some kind of a record

And I fail? Sure sign you're not laughing anymore

[SoLeftIAmRight]

13. yes - the hill bots alert on everything

so sad

[CajunBlazer]

14. That's probably because you have such a sunny dispostion.

But you must have been a reeeal bad boy because Bernie fans don't usually don't vote to hide other Bernie fans.

[SoLeftIAmRight]

15. do you know anything?

really - what things do you understand?

[KingFlorez]

2. All right

I got to twerk over this good news

[CruzinNCrying]

4. Looking back...

I went looking back at the fivethirtyeight site to primaries that were supposed to be blowouts for Hillary. Just looking through some of the hotly contested and close primaries you see that right to the end Bernie is almost always ( a few exceptions) way behind by many many points. I don't anticipate this primary to be any different. Enough for an upset? Not sure about that (hopeful but understand he does not need to win, just get close in results). I did some calls this weekend and I did not run into one NYer who was a Hillary supporter. Plenty of Bernie supporters though.

[CajunBlazer]

8. Sanders not only needs to win - he needs to win at least 57% to 43%

or he falls further behind in the pledged delegate count he needs to draw even with Hillary before the convention and he will then have to win by even greater margins in all of the remaining contests. Ain't math and reality fun?

And oh.... we haven't even talked about the super delegates because that usually gets Sanders fans all mad and everything. (So sad.)

[geek tragedy]

9. something would be wrong if they're doing GOTV calls

to Hillary supporters.

[Dem2]

16. .

[workinclasszero]

17. Woohoo!

Go Hillary!