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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumFor every invocation of Michigan, I would like remind people of Ohio.
And Florida, for that matter. Even Illinois and Missouri where the polls got the numbers pretty much right as well. Michigan was a massive polling fuck up, but it does seem to have been a one-off aside from caucus states, which are notorious due to their irrepressible silliness.
Odds are that the NY polls, averaged together, are about right.
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For every invocation of Michigan, I would like remind people of Ohio. (Original Post)
Zynx
Apr 2016
OP
Stallion
(6,476 posts)1. ....and in Michigan Clinton Won Registered Democrats by Double Digits
nm
hellofromreddit
(1,182 posts)3. Don't forget the great white Hawaii
Adjacent to Vermont.
Zynx
(21,328 posts)5. It was a caucus state. Caucuses can be radically different than the electorate at large.
sadoldgirl
(3,431 posts)2. And for every invocation of Ohio, I would like
to remind you of Minnesota.
Zynx
(21,328 posts)4. Minnesota was a caucus and expected.
demwing
(16,916 posts)6. I'm sure the polls are close
I'm doubly sure that turnout will not look like the polls