2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumGallup out of whack again Obama approval drops by 3 points, Romney up by 5 after rape controversy
Now, wait a second.
What happened over the last 2 days. Rape fiasco and Romney supporting it.
If this incident has made Romney more electable and President to drop big, this country is in trouble...
gallup is junkier than Rasmussen....Rasmussen looks like a credible poll when compared to Gallup.
Politicalboi
(15,189 posts)Who doesn't like rape?
graham4anything
(11,464 posts)politicman
(710 posts)Gallup says its likely voter electorate looks nearly identical to the electorate in 2008.
So the fact that Obama won in 2008 by a landslide with the same electorate, can only mean that Gallup is saying that the people have switched from voting democrat to voting republican.
omney
Now the questions should be:
1) Is Gallup suggesting that blacks are switching thei vote to Romney? (all the other polling says they are not, so does conventional wisdom)
2) Is Gallup suggesting that Hispanics are switching to Romney? (all the other polling suggests they are not)
3) Is Gallup suggesting that whites are overwhelmingly supporting Romney, so much so that they can cancel out the minority vote for Obama? (again, all other pollinh suggests Romney is winning the white BUT not by the margins Gallup would need to justify their results)
Lastly, Gallup shows a 6 point reversal in Obama approval/dissaproval, which means that yesterdays polling would have had to have a 10-15 point drop in approval to make the 3-day tracker move so much.
Doesn't seem possible.
yellerpup
(12,263 posts)Disclaimer: Neanderthals were more compassionate.
Renew Deal
(85,145 posts)And Obama has a positive job approval, yet he's losing.
Gallup's numbers are junk
LiberalFighter
(53,544 posts)That might be a good response for Hispanics against Romney.