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Bottom line on NY: Clinton increases her pledged delegate lead by 31 (Original Post) jg10003 Apr 2016 OP
it will be less than that after the final count. Csainvestor Apr 2016 #1
That was a bunch of spew. He didn't top 90% in any county Zynx Apr 2016 #3
Oh yeah? Maybe you should notify the LA Times.... Land of Enchantment Apr 2016 #16
Delegates are awarded by districts, not counties. Agnosticsherbet Apr 2016 #4
"Bernie won over 90% of every single county" ? Tarc Apr 2016 #5
That's the most factually incorrect statement I've ever seen here, Codeine Apr 2016 #10
There are 62 counties in NY. Hillary won 13 of them. Bernie won 80% of the counties. Gomez163 Apr 2016 #11
These are the counties that the GOP won in 2012 Gomez163 Apr 2016 #14
President Romney approves this message. nt Codeine Apr 2016 #18
Did you really think they awarded delegates for counties?! Codeine Apr 2016 #19
There will be no "fatal blow" until June. Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #2
Behind as much as he is, he can't afford to lose 1 delegate, let alone 31. CrowCityDem Apr 2016 #6
When it comes to Delegates, this article is enlightening. Agnosticsherbet Apr 2016 #7
Reminds me of.... Adrahil Apr 2016 #8
and we got the lawsuit Helen Borg Apr 2016 #9
Thats going nowhere TMontoya Apr 2016 #12
Absentee and affidavit ballots haven't been counted yet. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #13
Sure, all he has to do Proud Public Servant Apr 2016 #15
The fatal blow Corporate666 Apr 2016 #17
They clearly don't get the numbers and how they work. Codeine Apr 2016 #20

Csainvestor

(388 posts)
1. it will be less than that after the final count.
Wed Apr 20, 2016, 05:38 PM
Apr 2016

Because Bernie won over 90% of every single county in ny he will pick up some more delegates.

 

Codeine

(25,586 posts)
10. That's the most factually incorrect statement I've ever seen here,
Wed Apr 20, 2016, 05:50 PM
Apr 2016

and this is the place that made "Blow up the moon" a Thing.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
13. Absentee and affidavit ballots haven't been counted yet.
Wed Apr 20, 2016, 05:57 PM
Apr 2016

Those numbers could change in a couple of Congressional Districts.

Proud Public Servant

(2,097 posts)
15. Sure, all he has to do
Wed Apr 20, 2016, 05:57 PM
Apr 2016

Is win every single remaining contest by about the same margin as Hillary won NY. No biggie.

I love Bernie -- but I sure wish I didn't have to maintain a security clearance, because I'd love some of what you're smoking.

Corporate666

(587 posts)
17. The fatal blow
Wed Apr 20, 2016, 06:04 PM
Apr 2016

happened weeks ago when Bernie was ~300.

What people seem to not understand is that this is a timed and distance race. Bernie can't win just by winning every remaining state. He has to win each remaining state by a set margin or he won't catch up.

And each time he loses delegates to Clinton, or even if he fails to "cover the margin", his situation gets worse, because he has even less remaining states to make up the difference in.

There are only 1400 pledged delegates left to win. Bernie needs to win 59% of them in EVERY state going forward. That includes all 5 states next week where he is down in polls by double digits.

The reality is that one week from now, he will be down by over 300 delegates, and there will only be 1,000 delegates left at that point. He's already down in polls in CA and NJ - actually he's down HUGE in NJ, and CA/NJ make up 70% of all the remaining delegates.

He simply has no way forward. I mean, we know he will lose next week. We know he will lose NJ. So unless people think he is realistically going to win California by 81% to 19%, then he has ZERO chance.

And the above assumes that HRC's super delegates would switch to him - there's nothing showing that would necessarily happen.

 

Codeine

(25,586 posts)
20. They clearly don't get the numbers and how they work.
Wed Apr 20, 2016, 06:10 PM
Apr 2016

A Sanders supporter even THIS MORNING was musing about how he could catch up by winning PA and CT -- they honestly thought delegates get awarded winner-take-all. How out of the loop do you need to be to not get proportional allocation at this late date?

They're enraged, but they don't really understand what they're raging against.

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