Reports from the ground in CA

I haven't seen one Bernie sticker where I live in So cal so I think it's a No cal thing and I would assume he will crush it up north and she will carry the south and inland empire.

Where offices are that Set Record the Straight SuperPac is running the internet campaign out of?

NO bumper stickers, NO yard signs, nothing.

Almost nothing, a few Bernie stickers, and one Trump. Strange how little I have seen.

I see Bernie stickers EVERYWHERE. Haven't seen a single Clinton sticker.

And the people I see here who are the most vocal about Bernie, are like me...old farts.

So why is this not happening all over the country? And if it is, what is happening to all those votes?

It's the people with money who want Hillary, and there aren't that many of them compared to us, so what gives?

Is it really the black vote or Hispanics that is keeping us down?

I'm pushing 70. My liberal friends enthusiastically support Sanders. Those that support Hillary seem resigned to her at most.

And she beat Bernie by 30 points. HRCs supporters don't got to the big rallies

Only thing that matters is getting Clinton the nomination. In 2008 there was a massive GOTV effort by the DNC starting in Nov of the year before. All through out the 2008 primaries they ran numerous GOTV drives at colleges. This time not so much because why would DWS want to get young people registered when they are actively trying to get many unregistered as we saw in NY. Some come July DNC only has 3 moths to get a voter drive going.

Nobody want to be connected to the Socialist

I feel sorry for you, you must have trust issues

Many of us believe that state level Democratic Party organizations are actively DISENFRANCHISING Democrat Party voters ...

And frankly, I don't give a ..... what you think about that ...

Gone !

Not registered. I even reregisteted two months ago. Same Addy and I've voted from this Addy before.

http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/registration-status/
http://registertovote.ca.gov/

I'm in a county that is narrowly Democratic in registration and a coordinator is already here organizing, she even spoke at my local Democratic club. The man who spoke for Sanders had to drive all the way up from Orange County.

California has over twice as many delegates as New York.

Pledged delegates 247 v. 475
Total delegates 291 v. 548

More math issues, eh?

But more than enough to make up the difference, under the right conditions!!!!!!!!!!

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2016/Info/delegates.html

4766 delegates in the Democratic Primary (it used to be a few less, wonder what Democrat(s) won a contest that created a new Superdelegate(s)) ... and that it will take 2384 delegates to win the nomination.

Your link only shows 4483 delegates in the Democratic Primary. If that was true, Secretary Clinton would only be about 300 delegates away from the nomination and she's not that close ... yet. So your site is missing almost 300 delegates.

That and other states Bernie and supporters have a purpose and a chance and I will be with them to the end.

Why you feel intellectually and morally superior supporting Hillary Clinton I will never understand.

Lighten up, wise up, quit feeling superior and supercilious (with an accent on the silly) about details, and if we manage to thrash your candidate I'll be glad. Otherwise, you'll be suffering along with the rest of us, as Climate Change for one thing decimates this human world.

Enjoy your day!

Yeah, like that's going to happen. BS is toast, stick a fork in him.

Wikipedia:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2016

The Green Papers:
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/D
Below the main table is a list of links to the individual states (two letter abbreviations) that will tell you the delegate totals for each state.

Wikipedia is easier to read, but some people don't like Wikipedia so I gave you the other link. The two sites are usually no more than a delegate apart for any particular stat.

You're the one that stated that "we have more voters, when they turn out" ... well, so far in the entire primary season, BS is down by more than 2.5 million votes. Keep laughing while BS keeps losing.

CA has some interesting turnout facts, low youth turnout, not so great Latino turnout.....interesting.

If memory serves, the 2008 election turnout was significantly higher than in most previous cycles. .

I don't have the numbers in front of me, but I have found throughout the decades the numbers to be abysmally low, considering the stakes across the country including California. We may start to see a change in that regard, given the changes in demographics, but much remains to be seen.

One is compelled to come to certain conclusions, which comes down to voter apathy. When questioned, it turns out that the reason for "apathy" is not that people don't care, but they intuit the system is rigged, so why should they bother.

Before 2000 I used to argue vehemently the significance in every single vote. Boy, was I ever idealistic and naive.!

Can't believe it's been 16 years already, but it's been a hell of an education. I will continue to go through the process, it's the only thing that avails me the opportunity to officially express my preference, even though it's always questionable whether or not my vote will even be counted.

The fact that the presidential elections gets called before California has had their ballots counted really pisses me off, considering our population is an outrage. It also confirms the argument of a rigged system.

And now we have the disgusting specter of Hillary Supporters declaring victory before California's primary.

We have had an anti-democratic system in place since the birth of this nation, and it needs to be corrected.

It's way past time for a Political Revolution, and Citizens United is simply the latest but not the only element to be eliminated and abolished.

Hope I'm still around to see this take place.

Come Tuesday, he will be down ~300 delegates.

Are you predicting that he will win CA by 85% to 15%? That's the kind of margin he will need to get the nomination in CA.

And there are primaries he is expected to win in between.

I don't understand why Bernie supporters refuse to acknowledge this simple truth.

Winning 1 state with 500 delegates by 10% is more important than winning 10 states with 20 delegates each by 10%.

~380 delegates are up for contention on Tuesday, 25% of the remaining total. 70% of what's left after that is made up solely by California and NJ.

The primaries in between are virtually irrelevant, and while Bernie will win some, so will Clinton. Even if Bernie wins them by large margins, it won't make even close to a big enough dent in her lead to make the race decided in California.

And how do you figure my predictions for Tuesday are premature? There is polling in 3 out of the 5 states. He is down by double digits in 2 of those states, and 9% in the third. The other 2 that have no polling only have 45 delegates, whereas the other 3 have ~340 delegates. Voting is in 2 days, so it's not like Bernie has much opportunity to campaign and capture Clinton supporters.

What information do you have about Tuesday that counters the above facts and makes predictions premature?

So your prediction about Tuesday is premature.

Further, she has no path to getting the required # of pledged delegates to lock this up, so California matters.

Waiting to join a superpac, you guys got me

Remains to be seen how they'll actually vote, but in contests so far, minorities have been voting predominantly for HRC.

groups that we hear again and again are for Clinton.

And the Clinton voters - let's just say they are proving to be an elusive group.

grow over the next couple of weeks.

Bernie has gotten virtually no real endorsements in CA, apart from the random ex-mayor and former Peace and Freedom candidate. Bill Press, former state chair, is about the biggest fish he's snared. Only one current elected official, the mayor of Glendale. Otherwise, zip. And one of the very first and firmest Hillary endorsements I heard was Jerry Brown a year and a half ago on NPR, though for the record he hasn't endorsed anyone. Boxer has though.

So will the Clintons bury Bernie out of spite? They could, but they won't, at least not intentionally. But they aren't going to lose California I can guarantee it.

I know the two Democrats, Loretta Sanchez and Kamala Harris , vying to replace Senator Boxer who is retiring did as well as our Lieutenant Governor, Gavin Newsom.

I suppose that's not official but it was real. Very real.

I wonder how the fact that both Democrats running for the senate have endorsed her and both will be on the ballot that day influence the election.

apart from Bao Nguyen, the mayor of Garden Grove in Orange County (not Glendale). That doesn't leave much wiggle room.

My gf is a real estate accountant and she met him while he was working on Hollywood redevelopment. I used to go to the L A Fitness near the Dolby Theater and take the Red Line to Highland Station to get there. That walk is like a gauntlet with all the entertainers and vendors.

nothing for Hillary but she's not exactly a great unknown LOL. I have a sister in the East Bay and she's for you guessed it, The Bern. I don't think we're ever going to agree on that one.

When someone tells me they are feeling the Bern I change the subject..

Okay it's not Hillary but it's a nice video and there's a resemblance don't you think?

From the grapevine this is a party decision

#3 observation: Not a SINGLE HRC person trying to register voters or doing any type of outreach. Not a single sticker, bumper sticker, yard sign.. NOTHING. But, to me the "surprise" (not really) was that they are making NO EFFORT at all to register voters.

How is it possible that Nixon won?

“I live in a rather special world. I only know one person who voted for Nixon. Where they are I don’t know. They’re outside my ken. But sometimes when I’m in a theater I can feel them.”

She's highlighting her own narrow provincialism, noting that she is in fact apart from the bulk of the people.

She was a very great writer. The right wing enjoys flaying her intentions.

http://www.vanityfair.com/culture/2012/10/The-Fraudulent-Factoid-That-Refuses-to-Die

Appreciate your efforts

They would only have to declare them 'unaffiliated' from the back office ....

At Bernfest tonight, local bar full, bands registering voters and passing out buttons and stickers.

All are excited here. We love him!

We also are doing tons of phonebanking to other states and other areas of CA.

No HRC anywhere. But she's not interested in our votes.

So, there's that.

Women activists here, my generation largely REJECT Bourgeoizee "Feminists" of the NeoLiberal/War Hawk brand.

Consider that brand anathema to what Feminism had always been about.

I haven't seen even one Hillary or trump anywhere. This area is very red so it's very exciting.

they will be voting in huge numbers. Don't fool yourself.

Not as anemic as NY's but still far lower than need be and far lower than their neighbor to the north in Oregon.

In fact, my wife has seen one Trump and one Cruz bumper sticker.

We both have our Hillary stickers and our yard sign. Not a lot of election excitement around here.

I put mine up early, in anticipation of Trump signs. Nothing.

from people on free republic about Lib'ruls... by the way, this surprises me in the least given the realignment under way.

my decade plus membership here. I have lived in California for more than fifty years. I have not seen one Hillary yard sign or bumper sticker anywhere ever. True story.

Thanks for sharing, basselope.

and that their votes are recorded accurately

(Remember when black box voting was a concern for Dems? Me too)

And it is what I recommend to everyone.

yes Bernie stickers, no HRC stickers or signs.

I have seen upwards of 3 Hillary supporter stickers.
probably only two, but benefit of the doubt.
the first, and only sticker I have seen outside of the
parking lot of the Democratic HQ ( I believe that was one sighting)
was on a car in a parking lot

Meaningless, but delightful

Which is why she can't win the GE

All of the swing states.

but here in San Diego I've seen quite a bit of SBS stuff and not one HRC sticker. Not one, and it's at the point where I'm starting to look.

The only HRC stuff I've seen was when I was out visiting my parents in Palm Springs. I saw a HRC bumper sticker on a Range Rover. That's it.

Of course, this all means nothing at all in terms of the vote, but it is interesting. I've seen more Drumpf stuff than HRC stuff, but even the Drumpf stuff can be counted with one hand.

All over LA too. Not to mention the schools I sub in, where students are always trying to tell me about Bernie.

Here in Montgomery County, Ohio, I saw dozens of Trump yard signs, about a half-dozen Sanders signs and nada for Clinton. No voter outreach by anybody.

The results?

Clinton 58.93%, Sanders 40.62%
Kasich 45.02%, Trump 40.0%

Golly, huh?

country, especially SoCal. I would be really surprised if Bernie won California. I haven't met anyone that's voting for him but my social universe is pretty small. I'm in northern CA and my sister is in SoCal. Every one I meet seems to be talking about Hillary as the next president.

She hasn't even been to CA!
Astute observation!

But no connection with the people.

And all my "elderly" friends (including "establishment Dems in our local Dem Club) will also be voting Bernie.

and signs for 5th District Supervisor candidates. A gal did flash her T-shirt today when she saw my hat.

Edit to say last election I was sent a note my polling station was closed and I had to vote by mail. The station was not closed. I was sent that note again and it looks like the closing is real this time.