Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
213 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
If Sanders runs as an independent, do you think he would win? (Original Post) TheProgressive Apr 2016 OP
No, I think then Trump would win. nt. Nonhlanhla Apr 2016 #1
I agree. Hopefully he won't do that. Arkansas Granny Apr 2016 #13
It would likely split the D's and ensure a Trump win, which is, of course, why Trump RKP5637 Apr 2016 #166
Not sure I am in complete agreement rpannier Apr 2016 #86
Bernie running as an Independent in November... GoldenThunder Apr 2016 #141
Yes. But. LWolf Apr 2016 #184
I find it ironic Nonhlanhla Apr 2016 #186
Nope. LWolf Apr 2016 #198
You should be. nt Nonhlanhla Apr 2016 #199
You're recognition of irony LWolf Apr 2016 #200
The ball is in Hillary's hands. She must reach out to Bernie supporters to earn their votes. Dustlawyer Apr 2016 #205
Theres not enough white vote to split between him and Trump. nt LexVegas Apr 2016 #2
Hillary and Trump will split the conservative vote ozone_man Apr 2016 #68
^Bingo casperthegm Apr 2016 #73
When was the last time a third party candidate got any electoral votes? HooptieWagon Apr 2016 #107
I agree! Bernie knows what would happen. He has no interest in splitting the D party and giving RKP5637 Apr 2016 #168
No way in hell. He's be a spoiling asshole without ballot access in many key states. PeaceNikki Apr 2016 #3
I do think Sanders would win, because ... Baobab Apr 2016 #108
No he doesn't win. Agschmid Apr 2016 #4
Fuck no, 'Not Hillary' Party. onehandle Apr 2016 #5
Not according to many HRC supporters on this site. TowneshipRebellion Apr 2016 #106
Don't listen to them, Listen to Bernie emulatorloo Apr 2016 #119
Please do show where any of that was ever said by anyone on this site. Thank you in advance. Squinch Apr 2016 #202
He'll have my vote Carolina Apr 2016 #6
Lol. Ok. n/t JTFrog Apr 2016 #7
I'll vote for him, if he runs I. grntuscarora Apr 2016 #8
No. morningfog Apr 2016 #9
Got to overcome election fraud NowSam Apr 2016 #10
You understand he has to win an absolute majority of Electoral votes? Not just more than the others brooklynite Apr 2016 #11
I'm frustrated by how few people understand that. Chan790 Apr 2016 #128
Yes, with the Independents and Republicans that support him he could win (eom) Samantha Apr 2016 #12
Sanders is a socialist. No republicans will support him. brush Apr 2016 #127
He is a Democratic Socialist who attracts 25 percent of the Republican vote in Vermont (eom) Samantha Apr 2016 #138
in a alternate reality maybe, in this world, not a chance nt Fresh_Start Apr 2016 #14
Why would you say that? TheProgressive Apr 2016 #32
because if he runs third party, the vote where sanders beats trump is no longer sanders Fresh_Start Apr 2016 #52
'If I don't understand"... TheProgressive Apr 2016 #60
not trying to be obnoxious...I know that math is not everyone's strength Fresh_Start Apr 2016 #63
Not trying is right. Loudestlib Apr 2016 #101
Run along n/t Godhumor Apr 2016 #15
No. He would be vetted. He would have to give up taxes. His campaign finances would be investigated seabeyond Apr 2016 #16
He would be fully vetted in a week and would come out clean as a whistle. BillZBubb Apr 2016 #26
No he wouldn't. seabeyond Apr 2016 #44
Message auto-removed Name removed Apr 2016 #54
He couldn't even handle one basic vetting interview by the NYDN. R B Garr Apr 2016 #178
Maybe as he won't have to worry about closed systems but he won't run nt NWCorona Apr 2016 #17
No, it would pretty much seal a republican win. BillZBubb Apr 2016 #18
No, Trump would win. tammywammy Apr 2016 #19
Depends on what's more important; history, or fairness and equality. nt cherokeeprogressive Apr 2016 #20
I think Yes. Trump and HRC are two polarizing and really hated candidates. Jackilope Apr 2016 #21
+1 artislife Apr 2016 #97
+2 northernsouthern Apr 2016 #180
no he would lose sabbat hunter Apr 2016 #22
No way in hell. qdouble Apr 2016 #23
I would have thought promoting a third party here violates DU TOS Gomez163 Apr 2016 #24
Na, all the cool kids are doing it! JoePhilly Apr 2016 #35
It is, but they don't seem to enforce the TOS during the primaries? n/t musicblind Apr 2016 #47
Look who's fretting about ToS. bvf Apr 2016 #172
I don't know, but I really hope he stays a Democrat mvd Apr 2016 #25
Stays a democrat? He never has been a Democrat. nt COLGATE4 Apr 2016 #93
No. He is running for the Democratic nomination mvd Apr 2016 #94
That's actually questionable. I've never heard or seen anything COLGATE4 Apr 2016 #174
He's not a Socialist. Turin_C3PO Apr 2016 #190
The last I knew, he was described in the Senate as "Bernie Sanders, Socialist". COLGATE4 Apr 2016 #194
He was an Independent from 1979-2015. Turin_C3PO Apr 2016 #195
OK. Independent. In no case has he ever described himself COLGATE4 Apr 2016 #197
Trump could win, but Clinton probably would SCantiGOP Apr 2016 #27
There is one unlikely way he could win: Chasstev365 Apr 2016 #28
Someone earlier pointed out to me that this scenario throws the election to the house. lumberjack_jeff Apr 2016 #33
I don't think that is correct... TheProgressive Apr 2016 #45
from archives.gov lumberjack_jeff Apr 2016 #61
The number 270 is nowhere in the Constitution... TheProgressive Apr 2016 #70
the constitution say 51% of electoral votes, i.e. 270 jg10003 Apr 2016 #92
Nope. One candidate needs a majority, or it goes to the House (the *new* House, in fact) Recursion Apr 2016 #136
That's exactly Urchin Apr 2016 #71
I saw that one play out with my inlaws... Lars39 Apr 2016 #161
The west coast, maybe. n/t lumberjack_jeff Apr 2016 #29
May or may no. 99Forever Apr 2016 #30
14k+ posts, and ... Tortmaster Apr 2016 #142
Yes I have. 99Forever Apr 2016 #144
No. JoePhilly Apr 2016 #31
Yes. Unicorn Apr 2016 #34
Yes AgingAmerican Apr 2016 #36
Trump in a walk Gman Apr 2016 #37
Zero chance...would give gop the Whitehouse and destroy America beachbum bob Apr 2016 #38
Hyperbole. Joe the Revelator Apr 2016 #40
Reality...math still shows trump would win beachbum bob Apr 2016 #66
+1 artislife Apr 2016 #99
Certainly! Worldly Traveler Apr 2016 #39
He would Bern it up. PowerToThePeople Apr 2016 #41
No, but it may lead to a third party. Even better if Trump gets fucked out of the nomination.. Joe the Revelator Apr 2016 #42
I have a better idea. If we want Bernie supporters to work as enthusiastically for Clinton Snotcicles Apr 2016 #43
That would not happen... TheProgressive Apr 2016 #48
I'm saying if she wins takes the nomination. nt Snotcicles Apr 2016 #55
Interesting idea, actually dreamnightwind Apr 2016 #75
Dog? Urchin Apr 2016 #115
I dunno dreamnightwind Apr 2016 #116
Thanks Urchin Apr 2016 #120
Omg, senate leader brings the bills to the floor. glowing Apr 2016 #208
Civics LeFleur1 Apr 2016 #118
Message auto-removed Name removed Apr 2016 #46
Landslide....? Absolutely, and that's my point... TheProgressive Apr 2016 #50
How does the Electoral College fit into this equation? Trajan Apr 2016 #49
What magic number are you referring to? TheProgressive Apr 2016 #57
I quote Trajan Apr 2016 #64
Nope, I don't read that in the Constitution or the Amendments... TheProgressive Apr 2016 #76
A majority of electoral votes = 270 or more. thucythucy Apr 2016 #111
FFS it's the 12th amendment Recursion Apr 2016 #137
LOL. Nope. And he might as well retire. bettyellen Apr 2016 #51
Why? He's super popular in VT and as an original VT'er, I'm proud as hell of him! glowing Apr 2016 #209
I don't think so but I'm voting for him no matter what. Luciferous Apr 2016 #53
This message was self-deleted by its author Armstead Apr 2016 #56
YES and I wish he would have done so in the beginning dr60omg Apr 2016 #58
Yes...please do! In Truth We Trust Apr 2016 #59
Not a chance. To think so is delusional. He'd just be Nader or possibly Perot to the contest. nt Lisa0825 Apr 2016 #62
If the Republican Party Splits Urchin Apr 2016 #65
I think he would lose big because of this alone puffy socks Apr 2016 #67
He'd Nader it. Adrahil Apr 2016 #69
Nope. ismnotwasm Apr 2016 #72
yes amborin Apr 2016 #74
No. Agnosticsherbet Apr 2016 #77
Did Nader? Did Perot? mythology Apr 2016 #78
Without a doubt. nt NorthCarolina Apr 2016 #79
He could if the Republicans don't go all in for Trump. PyaarRevolution Apr 2016 #80
Good question, and it's hard to say, really dreamnightwind Apr 2016 #81
NO! However he has enough followers to enable a Trump WIN! napi21 Apr 2016 #82
I don't think he would, but I'm not sure rpannier Apr 2016 #83
I'm writing in Bernie for the General anyway peacebird Apr 2016 #84
Yes. deathrind Apr 2016 #85
No. thucythucy Apr 2016 #87
I think this is Democratic Underground. n/t nolawarlock Apr 2016 #88
Like an ice cube on the sun... VOX Apr 2016 #89
We kicked his ass once, we can do it again Freddie Stubbs Apr 2016 #90
He said he won't and he is a man of his word nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #91
No, and he isn't an idiot, so he won't do that. N/t gollygee Apr 2016 #95
that is not the way to go. If Bernie doesn't win, I look forward to the stomping out of the D & R ScreamingMeemie Apr 2016 #96
Both Bernie and Jane say "Emphatic No" to Indy Run! KoKo Apr 2016 #98
This is why a 3rd party can never win - trigger alert: math heavy jg10003 Apr 2016 #100
What's the math look Urchin Apr 2016 #122
What's the math look like . . . Urchin Apr 2016 #123
same thing, no one wins electoral college jg10003 Apr 2016 #134
Probably wouldn't work out. Jester Messiah Apr 2016 #102
No. Starry Messenger Apr 2016 #103
no Vattel Apr 2016 #104
No. HooptieWagon Apr 2016 #105
He can't even when the Democratic primary GulfCoast66 Apr 2016 #109
I'm thinking Bernie has better Lazy Daisy Apr 2016 #110
Beyond any doubt..Indies are equal to either party laserhaas Apr 2016 #112
It boggles my mind to think that anybody could genuinely believe this! ContinentalOp Apr 2016 #130
Let's check with former Presidents Ross Perot and Ralph Nader. Oh... right. Nevermind! nt IamMab Apr 2016 #113
Moot. Blue_In_AK Apr 2016 #114
No. nt LostOne4Ever Apr 2016 #117
You are thinking yes? Stuckinthebush Apr 2016 #121
+1 onenote Apr 2016 #176
Because in the general, Debbie wouldn't have her thumb on the scale. n/t Jester Messiah Apr 2016 #210
too late now. onenote Apr 2016 #124
No, but I do wish he would IMHO. JPnoodleman Apr 2016 #125
No. Nobody wil win in the EC and it'll get kicked to Congress. Chan790 Apr 2016 #126
You make me feel so old ContinentalOp Apr 2016 #129
Yes Tiggeroshii Apr 2016 #131
Yes, child, just as soon as the two parties put a majority of Independent electors in place. procon Apr 2016 #132
Sanders would have a serious shot in a four way race... ContinentalOp Apr 2016 #133
Nope. Not even close. Zynx Apr 2016 #135
His name is not Ralph Nader. Warren DeMontague Apr 2016 #139
Sanders' name would go down in infamy like Nader's. Tortmaster Apr 2016 #140
Only among the foolish. Jester Messiah Apr 2016 #211
He would. If he Invoked the power of his rallies, tie it into how politics work. Joob Apr 2016 #143
No, he wouldn't. grossproffit Apr 2016 #145
do you think he can win if not even on the ballot in Texas, Michigan and Virginia? DrDan Apr 2016 #146
YES! We'll start a petition and DEMAND him be on the ballot! grossproffit Apr 2016 #147
demand in the face of state laws? good luck with that. DrDan Apr 2016 #148
I. don't. know. Hiraeth Apr 2016 #149
If Sanders runs as an independent, he can go fuck himself. baldguy Apr 2016 #150
After Clinton supporters on GDP have been screaming that Bernie is NOT a Democrat, B Calm Apr 2016 #154
An independant run would pretty much prove it, and hand the WH to Trump, to boot. baldguy Apr 2016 #159
I'm not, just pointing out the hypocrisy of Hillary supporters B Calm Apr 2016 #163
At this point if you claim to be supporting Sanders, you're really supporting Trump. baldguy Apr 2016 #164
You are Hilarious. I could say the same thing to you, why are you supporting Trump? B Calm Apr 2016 #165
I support the Democratic Party nominee. You don't. You support those opposing her. baldguy Apr 2016 #167
So who is the nominee? Again, I just pointed at the hypocrisy of Hillary supporters who have B Calm Apr 2016 #169
Hypocrisy is cliaming to be a progressive, but being in the bag for Donald Trump. baldguy Apr 2016 #171
You are not making one bit of fucking sense! B Calm Apr 2016 #175
That's what is known as "false equivalence." Jester Messiah Apr 2016 #212
I wouldn't have put it exactly that way, but yes, the sentiment is correct. auntpurl Apr 2016 #162
He's not going to run as an Independent. And no. n/t PoliticAverse Apr 2016 #151
No. He'd split the Dem. vote and Trump would win. Vinca Apr 2016 #152
Only if the Republicans block out Trump and he runs as well FBaggins Apr 2016 #153
Absolutely not TeddyR Apr 2016 #155
No. Maybe in a four-way race. I don't see Bernie going for that. n/t winter is coming Apr 2016 #156
No (nt) bigwillq Apr 2016 #157
trump of course .... eom artyteacher Apr 2016 #158
No chance of winning.... apcalc Apr 2016 #160
No, and he's not running as an independent--there are sore loser laws on the books book_worm Apr 2016 #170
Absolutely he'd win pinebox Apr 2016 #173
He won't Kelvin Mace Apr 2016 #177
yes Kip Humphrey Apr 2016 #179
yes KansDem Apr 2016 #181
What makes you think that? TeddyR Apr 2016 #183
For starters, many Republicans don't like Trump... KansDem Apr 2016 #192
Now let's see rock Apr 2016 #182
he couldnt even get on the ballot in many states jcgoldie Apr 2016 #185
The existence of the electoral college says no. nemo137 Apr 2016 #187
Maybe, maybe not. But, it would the election a helluva lot more interesting. Tierra_y_Libertad Apr 2016 #188
no Demsrule86 Apr 2016 #189
No. hamsterjill Apr 2016 #191
By breaking a promise? Orsino Apr 2016 #193
Possibly! iwannaknow Apr 2016 #196
This message was self-deleted by its author rjsquirrel Apr 2016 #201
Of course. yourpaljoey Apr 2016 #203
Sanders would definitely come in second or third Joe Nation Apr 2016 #204
yup, but he won't. lakeguy Apr 2016 #206
No...but I would vote for him. yourout Apr 2016 #207
No kentuck Apr 2016 #213

RKP5637

(67,112 posts)
166. It would likely split the D's and ensure a Trump win, which is, of course, why Trump
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 08:18 AM
Apr 2016

is saying that. I don't even remotely think Bernie would do that. He does not want to fracture the D party so much that Trump wins.

rpannier

(24,924 posts)
86. Not sure I am in complete agreement
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 09:14 PM
Apr 2016

I think it would depend on whether or not the unhappy billionaire class of the other side ran a 4th candidate
As long as there isn't a 3rd candidate that would split votes with HRC then I don't think they will
But, if they see Sanders-Clinton-Trump they may go looking
I wouldn't rule out Bloomberg even though he said he wouldn't run back in February-March or someone else who fits their 'the rich rock the poor suck' narrative

GoldenThunder

(300 posts)
141. Bernie running as an Independent in November...
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 04:52 AM
Apr 2016

...easily triples Ross Perot's 19 million vote total from 1992.

Assuming the same 125 million vote total from 2012 that would have Sanders winning 60 million votes with Clinton and Trump battling over the remaining 65 million and Bernie winning roughly 40 to 45 states. It's really a shame Bernie states that he wont run Indie. After what happened to his Facebook campaign sites. He really owes it to America to reconsider.

LWolf

(46,179 posts)
184. Yes. But.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 10:47 AM
Apr 2016

I don't think Sanders can win as an independent, and I don't think he has any plans to run as an independent.

I think Trump, or whatever R is on the ballot, will win anyway. I think the Rs will be out in force to defeat Clinton, the independent and crossover support Sanders brought to the table will be gone, and Clinton will lose.

Nonhlanhla

(2,074 posts)
186. I find it ironic
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 10:51 AM
Apr 2016

that you have an image with the words "Please do not feed the fears" in your signature line, and yet you feed the fear that Trump will win.

Trump will only win if Bernie's supporters refuse to vote for Hillary.

The ball is in your hands.

Dustlawyer

(10,539 posts)
205. The ball is in Hillary's hands. She must reach out to Bernie supporters to earn their votes.
Thu Apr 28, 2016, 09:15 AM
Apr 2016

Based on her response to Rachell's questioning the other night she feels that she doesn't have to do anything! Unlike myself and other long term Democrats, many Bernie supporters were not Democrats before and would not vote in the election otherwise. Obama named her as his SOS to get her voter's support. With interviews like the other night she will lose these voters. Don't blame Bernie supporters if many do not show up, it will be their candidates fault.

ozone_man

(4,825 posts)
68. Hillary and Trump will split the conservative vote
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:58 PM
Apr 2016

While Bernie will take true Democrats, Independents, Progressives, many libertarians.

casperthegm

(643 posts)
73. ^Bingo
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 09:03 PM
Apr 2016

Democrats and Republicans are both about 25-29% of voters each. There are more independent voters in this country than members of either party (yet another reason the DNC is crazy to have closed primaries = alienate a huge voter block). With so many independent voters and real, progressive Democrats out there I think Sanders would have a real chance.

And he'd be the real Democrat, if we base that determination on the issues; fracking, Wall Street, Glass Steagall, insurance for all, trade agreements, etc. Sorry, can't argue these facts.

 

HooptieWagon

(17,064 posts)
107. When was the last time a third party candidate got any electoral votes?
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 10:18 PM
Apr 2016

Let's get real. Hillary is not going to split the Conservative vote with Trump. A number of Sanders supporters will vote for Hillary because she's the Dem Party candidate. As much as I like Bernie, he can't win as a third party candidate. Best he can do is to get that party some media attention.
Also, he can't get on the ballot in some states.

RKP5637

(67,112 posts)
168. I agree! Bernie knows what would happen. He has no interest in splitting the D party and giving
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 08:25 AM
Apr 2016

Trump a potential path to the WH. I just don't think in the GE there is enough momentum for a third party to win.

Baobab

(4,667 posts)
108. I do think Sanders would win, because ...
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 10:19 PM
Apr 2016

stuff like TiSA would be so bad for the people of this country, people would lose it if this is hidden from them until after the election.

I think that everybody with any sense will realize that and since HRC is wedded to these deals, literally, and Sanders is against them, he's the only/best route to escaping from them. Endorsing them by voting for HRC is like saying, I'm okay with this deal, let the rest of the world lower our skilled wages to minimum wage.

Read the links in the references in this PDF too- they are not cut and pasteable, but they are on Google, read them.

http://www.cuts-geneva.org/pacteac/images/Documents/EAC%20Forum/Forum17/EAC%20Geneva%20Forum-%20WTO%20Note%2017.pdf

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
4. No he doesn't win.
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:34 PM
Apr 2016

And most likely the election goes to the House.

It would be unprecedented.

 
106. Not according to many HRC supporters on this site.
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 10:13 PM
Apr 2016

Last edited Wed Apr 27, 2016, 04:03 AM - Edit history (1)

They call him an inept old coot who wants to empty their retirement accounts. Which is it?

Squinch

(59,513 posts)
202. Please do show where any of that was ever said by anyone on this site. Thank you in advance.
Thu Apr 28, 2016, 09:07 AM
Apr 2016
 

brooklynite

(96,882 posts)
11. You understand he has to win an absolute majority of Electoral votes? Not just more than the others
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:36 PM
Apr 2016
 

Chan790

(20,176 posts)
128. I'm frustrated by how few people understand that.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 02:32 AM
Apr 2016

If more people understood how the EC works...they'd never propose anything as stupid as a 3rd party run unless they value denying the election to Clinton ahead of keeping the GOP out of the White House.

Don't get me wrong...I still hate Hillary's guts, but my course of action is to start tomorrow to change the party landscape so dramatically that she realizes it's futile to even run for reelection and doesn't bother even trying in 4 years. The future of this revolution, if it has one...is to take over the DNC, oust Clintonites from Congress in primaries and give Hillary a hostile party as soon as 2018 that she has to capitulate to, to get anything she wants even half-done.

Samantha

(9,314 posts)
138. He is a Democratic Socialist who attracts 25 percent of the Republican vote in Vermont (eom)
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 04:03 AM
Apr 2016

Fresh_Start

(11,365 posts)
52. because if he runs third party, the vote where sanders beats trump is no longer sanders
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:51 PM
Apr 2016

it will be split between sanders and clinton.

It won't be a two party election, it will be a three party election.
If you don't understand, cut a pizza in two pieces with 60% democratic and 40% GOP.
Then cut the 60% democratic into two pieces...with the bigger piece being 33% and the smaller piece being 27%.

You will figure out that Donald will win.

Fresh_Start

(11,365 posts)
63. not trying to be obnoxious...I know that math is not everyone's strength
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:56 PM
Apr 2016

or you might not realize that those polls were two person polls not three person polls.

 

seabeyond

(110,159 posts)
16. No. He would be vetted. He would have to give up taxes. His campaign finances would be investigated
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:38 PM
Apr 2016

And, he would pull some from both parties but not enough to hurt either, I think.

BillZBubb

(10,650 posts)
26. He would be fully vetted in a week and would come out clean as a whistle.
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:41 PM
Apr 2016

And he would pull a massive number of potential Democratic voters away. Hillary would lose badly instead of just losing by a nose.

Response to seabeyond (Reply #44)

R B Garr

(17,984 posts)
178. He couldn't even handle one basic vetting interview by the NYDN.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 09:21 AM
Apr 2016

Vetting is more than pretending you are morally superior.

BillZBubb

(10,650 posts)
18. No, it would pretty much seal a republican win.
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:39 PM
Apr 2016

Either straight up or in the House of Representatives.

Hillary going to have enough trouble winning if it is just her versus trump.

 

northernsouthern

(1,511 posts)
180. +2
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 09:25 AM
Apr 2016

I think they both have record high negatives. Bernie has the highest positive. Hillary gets some republican votes that are about business. Bernie gets some republicans that are about work. Trump and Hillary split the divisive votes. That would possibly leave Bernie the best of from the 40% non-partisan votes. Our economy is showing some bad signs at this moment as well...so if it tanks not sure who it will help more, but I would think it would destroy Hillary on her status quo (the guy that predicted the first collapse is being joined by a few more about a second one). I think the bigger issue is that Hillary will most likely lose anyways, so a three way race may be the only way to get a Dem in to office. There is also the hope that the Republicans will split at the convention.

qdouble

(891 posts)
23. No way in hell.
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:40 PM
Apr 2016

Most republicans wouldn't vote him, most democrats wouldn't vote for him....he may get a decent share of indies but not enough to win.

mvd

(65,911 posts)
25. I don't know, but I really hope he stays a Democrat
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:41 PM
Apr 2016

We could use him in our party badly. He, like Warren, is one of a kind. I also think he should stay after running for the Presidency as a Democrat. Not staying may be fodder for Bernie haters.

mvd

(65,911 posts)
94. No. He is running for the Democratic nomination
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 09:46 PM
Apr 2016

If he wins, he would be a Democrat. Now I hope he continues in our party.

COLGATE4

(14,886 posts)
174. That's actually questionable. I've never heard or seen anything
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 08:44 AM
Apr 2016

he's said that indicates that he will drop his identification as Socialist and change it to Democrat. Given all the bad things he's had to say about the Democratic Party in the past I think it's very unlikely.

Turin_C3PO

(16,385 posts)
190. He's not a Socialist.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 11:40 AM
Apr 2016

There's a big difference between identifying Democratic Socialist and just plain Socialist. He's said that many times.

COLGATE4

(14,886 posts)
194. The last I knew, he was described in the Senate as "Bernie Sanders, Socialist".
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 03:40 PM
Apr 2016

I don't know of any Democratic Socialist Party in the US, at least one that has more than 10 members.

Turin_C3PO

(16,385 posts)
195. He was an Independent from 1979-2015.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 03:42 PM
Apr 2016

He was never a Socialist. He described himself as a democratic socialist but he was officially Independent.

COLGATE4

(14,886 posts)
197. OK. Independent. In no case has he ever described himself
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 04:56 PM
Apr 2016

as a Democrat and, when he does describe himself, it's as a Socialist.

Chasstev365

(7,788 posts)
28. There is one unlikely way he could win:
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:42 PM
Apr 2016

Dem nominee = Hillary
Rep nominee = Cruz or Kasich
Trump = Independent
Sanders = Independent

In that four way race, Bernie wins.

 

lumberjack_jeff

(33,224 posts)
33. Someone earlier pointed out to me that this scenario throws the election to the house.
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:43 PM
Apr 2016

Who will most likely pick cruz or kasich

 

lumberjack_jeff

(33,224 posts)
61. from archives.gov
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:55 PM
Apr 2016
http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/faq.html#no270

What happens if no presidential candidate gets 270 Electoral votes?

If no candidate receives a majority of Electoral votes, the House of Representatives elects the President from the 3 Presidential candidates who received the most Electoral votes. Each state delegation has one vote. The Senate would elect the Vice President from the 2 Vice Presidential candidates with the most Electoral votes. Each Senator would cast one vote for Vice President. If the House of Representatives fails to elect a President by Inauguration Day, the Vice-President Elect serves as acting President until the deadlock is resolved in the House.
 

TheProgressive

(1,656 posts)
70. The number 270 is nowhere in the Constitution...
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 09:00 PM
Apr 2016

I believe this is the way it use to before Amendments...

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
136. Nope. One candidate needs a majority, or it goes to the House (the *new* House, in fact)
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 03:21 AM
Apr 2016

And there it gets really weird, because they don't vote individually but by state, and must choose one of the top three vote winners from the EC.

Lars39

(26,539 posts)
161. I saw that one play out with my inlaws...
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 08:10 AM
Apr 2016

Did not want Hillary, Trump was crazy, the rest of the clown car were down on immigration or were false prophets. Inlaws voted Bernie.

99Forever

(14,524 posts)
30. May or may no.
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:43 PM
Apr 2016

He'd have my vote either way.

No more settling for the less shitty of two very shitty candidates for me. EVER AGAIN.

Tortmaster

(382 posts)
142. 14k+ posts, and ...
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 05:17 AM
Apr 2016

... this is your takeaway on Democracy? You have wasted your time here, my friend.

99Forever

(14,524 posts)
144. Yes I have.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 07:25 AM
Apr 2016

And if you think what happened in this primary was "democracy," then I'm not the only one wasting time.

At least I know enough not to capitalize democracy.

 

AgingAmerican

(12,958 posts)
36. Yes
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:44 PM
Apr 2016

He would get much Democratic, Independent and disgruntled Republican supporters voting for him and he would win.

 

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)
38. Zero chance...would give gop the Whitehouse and destroy America
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:44 PM
Apr 2016

Bernie doesnt hate America to see that happen

 

PowerToThePeople

(9,610 posts)
41. He would Bern it up.
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:46 PM
Apr 2016

I like the idea, hope he seriously considers it if June does not have him winning the primary.

 

Joe the Revelator

(14,915 posts)
42. No, but it may lead to a third party. Even better if Trump gets fucked out of the nomination..
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:47 PM
Apr 2016

and we have 4 candidates running in the general. That would be ideal.

 

Snotcicles

(9,089 posts)
43. I have a better idea. If we want Bernie supporters to work as enthusiastically for Clinton
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:47 PM
Apr 2016

if she should win the primaries and help the down ticket Democrats win seats. All the Democrats have to do is endorse and pledge to make him Senate Majority Leader if the Democrats win the administration and a senate majority. That would be my second choice for him, and I'd work my ass off to see to it that the democrats take control of the administration and the legislature.

 

TheProgressive

(1,656 posts)
48. That would not happen...
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:49 PM
Apr 2016

We need Sanders as President to rid America of the establishment oligarchs...

dreamnightwind

(4,775 posts)
75. Interesting idea, actually
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 09:05 PM
Apr 2016

I don't know that Senate Majority Leader has enough power for him to make a huge difference, but it certainly isn't nothing, and Bernie's authenticity could elevate the approval ratings of Democrats in Congress.

I doubt the party establishment would go along with this idea unless forced to by a threat of Bernie running 3rd party (such a run would be seen as seriously hurting Hillary's chance to win the general election so they would perhaps be more inclined to offer him something substantial).

dreamnightwind

(4,775 posts)
116. I dunno
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 11:42 PM
Apr 2016

I would guess it's a golden retriever, but I don't know dogs as well as many people.

It''s just a random gif I grabbed way back when Loonix was shown the door here, she had an annoying bug in her tagline that always moved around. Never liked the bug really but I liked her posts and it seemed a more light-hearted tribute than some of the bugs attacking H's or the corporatist fly-swatters squishing the bugs. This is just a silly inept dog sniping at an elusive bug it will never destroy.

I'll change my gif soon, it's probably worn out its welcome. Peace. And welcome to DU, assuming you're not one of Brock's minions.

 

glowing

(12,233 posts)
208. Omg, senate leader brings the bills to the floor.
Thu Apr 28, 2016, 09:38 AM
Apr 2016

He could flood the chambers with progressive legislation that then the people rise to in massive pressure for their reps to vote for.

The most powerful people are actually our reps who legislate... And I know people have forgotten this because they haven't been doing anything but saying "NO" on everything, but they truly are.

Shoot, the Senate could investigate banks, wall st, federal depts, military, CIA. He could freaking clean house. I would prefer him as senate leader over President any day. He's the amendment King.. I think he'd get it done for us there and with BernieCrats at his back pressuring congress and the President, he'd probably get a whole lot of shit done for us. Holly F-balls, if they could guarantee all of us he becomes Senate leader, I'd support his nominating Hillary at the convention and actually vote for the corrupt woman... With Bernie stuffing her in-box with progressive legislation AND with investigative powers over military and real oversight over drones and war/ regime change, shoot we'd lock her ass down on being a progressive OR she'd have her ass primaries by 2020 and lose to an Elizabeth Warren or someone like that.

LeFleur1

(1,197 posts)
118. Civics
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 11:55 PM
Apr 2016

Why did they stop teaching civics in 8th grade and high school? People don't seem to have any idea how our government works. We have three branches of government, not a dictatorship.

Response to TheProgressive (Original post)

 

Trajan

(19,089 posts)
49. How does the Electoral College fit into this equation?
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:50 PM
Apr 2016

Say, three candidates are in the race, and none reach the 'Magic Number'?

What happens then?

 

TheProgressive

(1,656 posts)
57. What magic number are you referring to?
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:53 PM
Apr 2016

A majority of the electoral votes winds period... remember BClinton/Bush/Perot...?

 

Trajan

(19,089 posts)
64. I quote
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:56 PM
Apr 2016
"Today a President must win 270 electoral votes, a majority, to become President. If no candidate wins a majority of electoral votes, the 12th Amendment to the Constitution provides for Presidential election by the House of Representatives with each State delegation receiving one vote."

That magic number ...

http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/history.html

thucythucy

(9,103 posts)
111. A majority of electoral votes = 270 or more.
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 10:28 PM
Apr 2016

That's the simple truth, and that's why Bernie couldn't possibly win. The "best" he could do is deny a majority to the other two candidates, which means it goes to the House, which means a Trump presidency.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
137. FFS it's the 12th amendment
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 03:24 AM
Apr 2016

"The person having the greatest number of votes for President, shall be the President, if such number be a majority of the whole number of Electors appointed; and if no person have such majority, then from the persons having the highest numbers not exceeding three on the list of those voted for as President, the House of Representatives shall choose immediately, by ballot, the President. But in choosing the President, the votes shall be taken by states, the representation from each state having one vote; a quorum for this purpose shall consist of a member or members from two-thirds of the states, and a majority of all the states shall be necessary to a choice."

Response to TheProgressive (Original post)

dr60omg

(283 posts)
58. YES and I wish he would have done so in the beginning
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:53 PM
Apr 2016

instead of trying to do what was the polite thing

Lisa0825

(14,492 posts)
62. Not a chance. To think so is delusional. He'd just be Nader or possibly Perot to the contest. nt
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:55 PM
Apr 2016
 

Urchin

(248 posts)
65. If the Republican Party Splits
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:57 PM
Apr 2016

with either Trump or Cruz forming a third party, then someone like Bernie running as a fourth party candidate could have a strong chance of winning.

 

puffy socks

(1,473 posts)
67. I think he would lose big because of this alone
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:57 PM
Apr 2016

"If we were serious about winning this election, which is always my intention from day one, I thought we could and I hope that we will. I had to do it within the Democratic primary caucus process," he said.

"What I did not want to do is run as a third party candidate, take votes away from the Democratic candidate and help elect some right-wing Republican. I did not want responsibility for that. So what I said at the beginning of the campaign is that I was not going to run as an independent. And I say it now, that if I do not win this process I will not run as an independent."

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
69. He'd Nader it.
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 08:59 PM
Apr 2016

Not to mention he'd be breaking his word.... Hardly good for the image of a guy presenting himself as "honest."

I do not expect him to do it.

 

mythology

(9,527 posts)
78. Did Nader? Did Perot?
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 09:08 PM
Apr 2016

He would run a very distant 3rd. And in a worst case scenario he would cause the election to go to the House of Representatives and result in the Republican candidate winning on that vote.

PyaarRevolution

(814 posts)
80. He could if the Republicans don't go all in for Trump.
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 09:09 PM
Apr 2016

And try to fracture it at the nomination. Even then a great deal of Republicans may STILL not vote for Trump.

If it becomes a 3 way and then Bernie runs making it a 4 way absolutely.

dreamnightwind

(4,775 posts)
81. Good question, and it's hard to say, really
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 09:09 PM
Apr 2016

I think Bernie's approval numbers keep getting better as people get more familiar with him, and my guess is that the opposite happens with Trump and Hillary, who are tremendously flawed candidates.

Perhaps a better question is, would Bernie running 3rd party help or hurt the causes he believes in and fights for? In the short run and the long run. I'm not going to wade into those waters, but that question is not as simple as it looks, and deserves some thought.

napi21

(45,806 posts)
82. NO! However he has enough followers to enable a Trump WIN!
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 09:10 PM
Apr 2016

Remember Ralph Nader?

I honestly don't think Bernie will do that. He's already said "I will not be a spoiler" and I believe him.

rpannier

(24,924 posts)
83. I don't think he would, but I'm not sure
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 09:11 PM
Apr 2016

I think if he did run 3rd Party it would encourage those dissatisfied investors in the other party to find a 4th candidate to run

deathrind

(1,786 posts)
85. Yes.
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 09:14 PM
Apr 2016

The amount of fund raising a candidate does is not a true picture of the candidates support.

A candidate with a million people giving one dollar each is much stronger than a candidate getting a million dollars from one person.

VOX

(22,976 posts)
89. Like an ice cube on the sun...
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 09:20 PM
Apr 2016

Absolutely NO way any third-party candidate could get to 270 electoral votes.

Might as well hand the keys to Trump right now.

ScreamingMeemie

(68,918 posts)
96. that is not the way to go. If Bernie doesn't win, I look forward to the stomping out of the D & R
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 09:48 PM
Apr 2016

parties as they now are and forming a truly progressive party. One that does not sweep anti-Democratic votes and backroom deals under the rug. One that supports women's issues instead of paying lipservice and then wavering on abortion rights.

A girl can dream, and that's what this girl dreams for.

jg10003

(1,058 posts)
100. This is why a 3rd party can never win - trigger alert: math heavy
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 10:06 PM
Apr 2016

Consider the following scenario:

POPULAR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT
Independent = 33.6%
Dem = 33.4%
GOP = 33%

Remember, Ross Perot got 19% of the popular vote. So it is conceivable, though unlikely, that a 3rd party candidate could win a small plurality of the popular vote.

However, the constitution says that a person must win a majority in the Electoral Collage, i.e. 51% (270 votes). Perot did not win a single electoral vote, even though nearly 1 in 5 people voted for him. Given the popular vote in the example above, the best that the independent candidate could hope for is to win a few states and come in 3rd in the electoral vote. If that were to happen then no candidate would win a majority in the Electoral Collage.

If no one wins the Electoral Collage, the House of Representatives chooses the president. But the house members do not vote individually, each state delegation get 1 vote. So whichever party controls the majority of state delegations will select its' own candidate. So in the case above, the republican, who came in last in the popular vote, becomes president. The senate selects the vice-president.

This is why Bloomberg isn't running as an independent. Even with 35 billion dollars, it simply cannot be done.





 

Urchin

(248 posts)
123. What's the math look like . . .
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 01:50 AM
Apr 2016

What's the math look like for a four party election?

 

HooptieWagon

(17,064 posts)
105. No.
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 10:12 PM
Apr 2016

The Republican will win a three-way or four-way race. Three-way because the Dem/Left Indie vote is split. Repub wins a 4-way race because it's likely no candidate gets 270 electoral votes, and the election gets thrown into the House of Reps lap, they will elect the Rrpublican candidate.

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)
109. He can't even when the Democratic primary
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 10:19 PM
Apr 2016

And he can suddenly win the general election? Some of you have gone off the rails and have never read the constitution. He would do worse than Ross Perot did. Ensure a Trump presidency. And go down as one of the most reviled men in American political history

 

Lazy Daisy

(928 posts)
110. I'm thinking Bernie has better
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 10:23 PM
Apr 2016

class than that. I could be wrong, but I don't think so. He has said from the beginning that's not something he wanted to do.
I believe his highest goal is to keep a Republican from The White House.

 

laserhaas

(7,805 posts)
112. Beyond any doubt..Indies are equal to either party
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 10:34 PM
Apr 2016

And 33% of Dems, plus 25 % of GOP would vote Bernie

ContinentalOp

(5,356 posts)
130. It boggles my mind to think that anybody could genuinely believe this!
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 02:42 AM
Apr 2016

You really think 25% of republicans would vote for a candidate who identifies as a socialist? Do you not realize that 2/3rds of indies are just D or R partisans who think it sounds cool to say they're independent? Were you not alive in the year 2000 to witness how a third party candidate on the left turns out?

 

IamMab

(1,359 posts)
113. Let's check with former Presidents Ross Perot and Ralph Nader. Oh... right. Nevermind! nt
Tue Apr 26, 2016, 10:35 PM
Apr 2016

Stuckinthebush

(11,203 posts)
121. You are thinking yes?
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 01:49 AM
Apr 2016

Jesus Christ. Why? He can't even win the Dem nomination. Why In gods name would you think he'd win the general as an independent?

Lord. Crazy town

onenote

(46,139 posts)
124. too late now.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 02:17 AM
Apr 2016

I doubt he ever could have mounted a winning independent campaign, but there's really no practical opportunity for him to mount one now, unless he wants to drop out of the Democratic race immediately.

The deadline for getting on the November ballot is before the Democratic National Convention in around 14 states. Another dozen or so have deadlines less than a week after the convention. So he'd have to drop out now and announce his independent run. And doing so would cost him any semblance of credibility.

 

Chan790

(20,176 posts)
126. No. Nobody wil win in the EC and it'll get kicked to Congress.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 02:25 AM
Apr 2016

Horrible, stupid idea unless you really want President Paul Ryan to serve with VP Clinton.

I sure as fsck don't.

ContinentalOp

(5,356 posts)
129. You make me feel so old
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 02:39 AM
Apr 2016

I realize that Sanders supporters are mostly young people who have never voted before but it's weird for me to realize that they have no idea who Ralph Nader was or what happened in 2000.

 

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)
131. Yes
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 02:42 AM
Apr 2016

Highest number of independents registered in this country than at any point. Most are pretty liberal leaning and disenchanted with the political process. He is likely to take a large majority of their votes, split the democratic votes and bite into the Republican vote just a little bit. He already pretty much has that coalition, but they are being excluded from the process through voter registration purges and closed primaries.

procon

(15,805 posts)
132. Yes, child, just as soon as the two parties put a majority of Independent electors in place.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 02:49 AM
Apr 2016

Hush now and go to sleep.

ContinentalOp

(5,356 posts)
133. Sanders would have a serious shot in a four way race...
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 02:55 AM
Apr 2016

...between himself, Ron Paul, Ralph Nader, and Lyndon LaRouche.

Tortmaster

(382 posts)
140. Sanders' name would go down in infamy like Nader's.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 04:44 AM
Apr 2016

He would not win. But he might make it close, or even hand the election to Trump.

Face it, folks, Senator Sanders has had Republican wind at his back from day one in this campaign. (Much like he had NRA wind at his back when he finally won a seat in Congress in 1990). If he runs as an independent, he would not have that Republican wind.

Nice to see, though, that as soon as Trump mentions Sanders running as a third party candidate there are people who are tuned into that. Those are the people to keep an eye on.

 

Jester Messiah

(4,711 posts)
211. Only among the foolish.
Thu Apr 28, 2016, 09:51 AM
Apr 2016

It's stupid to basically blame the voters for going with a candidate whom they felt represented them the best. You're basically saying "Fuck that guy for giving them a better option! They should have to eat the shit sandwich we put on their plate!"

Joob

(1,065 posts)
143. He would. If he Invoked the power of his rallies, tie it into how politics work.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 05:20 AM
Apr 2016

People like Game of Thrones right? Throw it in. He'd win. Corruption is real.

 

B Calm

(28,762 posts)
154. After Clinton supporters on GDP have been screaming that Bernie is NOT a Democrat,
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 07:57 AM
Apr 2016

they get upset at just the thought of him running as an independent.

 

baldguy

(36,649 posts)
159. An independant run would pretty much prove it, and hand the WH to Trump, to boot.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 08:08 AM
Apr 2016

Why are you supporting Donald Trump for President?

 

B Calm

(28,762 posts)
163. I'm not, just pointing out the hypocrisy of Hillary supporters
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 08:13 AM
Apr 2016

who scream that Bernie is not a democrat.

 

baldguy

(36,649 posts)
164. At this point if you claim to be supporting Sanders, you're really supporting Trump.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 08:16 AM
Apr 2016

Why do you support Donald Trump?

 

B Calm

(28,762 posts)
165. You are Hilarious. I could say the same thing to you, why are you supporting Trump?
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 08:18 AM
Apr 2016
 

baldguy

(36,649 posts)
167. I support the Democratic Party nominee. You don't. You support those opposing her.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 08:22 AM
Apr 2016

At the head of that group is Donald Trump. Why do you support Donald Trump?

 

B Calm

(28,762 posts)
169. So who is the nominee? Again, I just pointed at the hypocrisy of Hillary supporters who have
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 08:29 AM
Apr 2016

claimed that Bernie is not a Democratic candidate and whine at just the thought of him running for president as an independent

 

baldguy

(36,649 posts)
171. Hypocrisy is cliaming to be a progressive, but being in the bag for Donald Trump.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 08:35 AM
Apr 2016

Why do you support Donald Trump?

Vinca

(53,986 posts)
152. No. He'd split the Dem. vote and Trump would win.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 07:55 AM
Apr 2016

That's why Bernie ran as a Democrat in the first place. It's a shame the party bosses didn't appreciate that.

FBaggins

(28,706 posts)
153. Only if the Republicans block out Trump and he runs as well
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 07:56 AM
Apr 2016

In a 4-way race, Sanders would have a good chance.

 

TeddyR

(2,493 posts)
155. Absolutely not
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 07:58 AM
Apr 2016

And I say that as a Bernie supporter. Very few Republicans would vote for him so he'd just split the Dem vote and give the election to the Republicans. And I certainly wouldn't vote for him as an independent candidate. I mean, there's zero chance he would win - he can't even win the Dem nomination.

 

pinebox

(5,761 posts)
173. Absolutely he'd win
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 08:39 AM
Apr 2016

I imagine a lot will say no but the reality is people are sick of politics and politicians. It's obvious why too from the antics we've seen this election season. When America votes (that means not just the little Democrats bubble) Bernie wins. Indy voters are 2x the base .
It's THAT simple.

KansDem

(28,498 posts)
192. For starters, many Republicans don't like Trump...
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 02:22 PM
Apr 2016
The Lifelong Republicans Who Love Bernie Sanders
Some conservatives are defying expectation and backing the Vermont senator.

When Tarie MacMillan switched on her television in August to watch the first Republican presidential debate, she expected to decide which candidate to support.

But MacMillan, a 65-year-old Florida resident, was disappointed. “I looked at the stage and there was nobody out there who I really liked. It just seemed like a showcase for Trump and his ridiculous comments,” she recalled. “It was laughable, and scary, and a real turning point.”

So she decided to back Bernie Sanders, the self-described “Democratic socialist” challenging Hillary Clinton. MacMillan was a lifelong Republican voter until a few weeks ago when she switched her party affiliation to support the Vermont senator in the primary. It will be the first time she’s ever voted for a Democrat.

That story may sound improbable, but MacMillan isn’t the only longtime conservative supporting Sanders. There are Facebook groups and Reddit forums devoted entirely to Republicans who adore the Vermont senator.

The Atlantic


And then there are the Independents...

Why Independent Voters Will Propel Bernie Sanders to the White House

Independents won New Hampshire for Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders. On the Republican side, 42 percent of voters identified as independent, and Trump won 36 percent of the independent vote to Marco Rubio’s 18 percent, who placed second in that category. Likewise, 40 percent of Democratic primary voters in the Granite State identified as independent, and Bernie Sanders won 73 percent of those votes. Both Sanders and Trump beat their nearest opponents in the New Hampshire primary by double digits.

In Massachusetts, a traditionally blue state that went to Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in each primary, 50 percent of Republican independents went for Trump. The second-place candidate, John Kasich, only got 20 percent of independent voters. And even though Hillary Clinton won Massachusetts by a narrow margin, Bernie Sanders won the independent vote by a 66-33 margin. Independents made up one-third of the Democratic electorate in the Bay State and 49 percent of the Republican electorate.

Even in states where Clinton beat Sanders by considerable margins, Sanders took home the independent vote in a landslide. Independents made up 22 percent of the Democratic primary electorate in Virginia and Sanders beat Clinton in that voting group by 16 points, despite Clinton winning Virginia with 64 percent of the overall vote.

When examining the results from last night’s Michigan primary, independent voters may have very well been the key to Bernie Sanders’ victory. 23 percent of Democratic primary voters identified as independent, and Sanders walloped Clinton by a 71-28 margin among independents.

US Uncut


Now, while more Democrats prefer Clinton, are there enough to offset the Republicans and Independents voting for Sanders?


rock

(13,218 posts)
182. Now let's see
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 10:06 AM
Apr 2016

He couldn't win the primary. Er, so no. Although I do admit that Independent suits his political demeanor better than Democrat.

jcgoldie

(12,046 posts)
185. he couldnt even get on the ballot in many states
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 10:49 AM
Apr 2016

Due to sore loser laws. Ie he already ran once this cycle and lost.

nemo137

(3,297 posts)
187. The existence of the electoral college says no.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 10:53 AM
Apr 2016

He'd need to get majorities in enough states to reach 270 (yes, yes, Maine and Nebraska have slightly different rules apportioning electors, but in general...), otherwise it goes to the House, which votes by delegation, which means a Republican president.

hamsterjill

(17,576 posts)
191. No.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 11:41 AM
Apr 2016

He hasn't won the majority of votes cast in the primary, so why would anyone think he could win the general?

Response to TheProgressive (Original post)

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»If Sanders runs as an ind...