2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIf Sanders runs as an independent, do you think he would win?
I'm thinking, yes...
Your thoughts?
Nonhlanhla
(2,074 posts)Arkansas Granny
(32,265 posts)RKP5637
(67,112 posts)is saying that. I don't even remotely think Bernie would do that. He does not want to fracture the D party so much that Trump wins.
rpannier
(24,924 posts)I think it would depend on whether or not the unhappy billionaire class of the other side ran a 4th candidate
As long as there isn't a 3rd candidate that would split votes with HRC then I don't think they will
But, if they see Sanders-Clinton-Trump they may go looking
I wouldn't rule out Bloomberg even though he said he wouldn't run back in February-March or someone else who fits their 'the rich rock the poor suck' narrative
GoldenThunder
(300 posts)...easily triples Ross Perot's 19 million vote total from 1992.
Assuming the same 125 million vote total from 2012 that would have Sanders winning 60 million votes with Clinton and Trump battling over the remaining 65 million and Bernie winning roughly 40 to 45 states. It's really a shame Bernie states that he wont run Indie. After what happened to his Facebook campaign sites. He really owes it to America to reconsider.
LWolf
(46,179 posts)I don't think Sanders can win as an independent, and I don't think he has any plans to run as an independent.
I think Trump, or whatever R is on the ballot, will win anyway. I think the Rs will be out in force to defeat Clinton, the independent and crossover support Sanders brought to the table will be gone, and Clinton will lose.
Nonhlanhla
(2,074 posts)that you have an image with the words "Please do not feed the fears" in your signature line, and yet you feed the fear that Trump will win.
Trump will only win if Bernie's supporters refuse to vote for Hillary.
The ball is in your hands.
LWolf
(46,179 posts)I'm not afraid of Trump, win or lose.
Nonhlanhla
(2,074 posts)LWolf
(46,179 posts)seems to be a bit selective, lol.
Dustlawyer
(10,539 posts)Based on her response to Rachell's questioning the other night she feels that she doesn't have to do anything! Unlike myself and other long term Democrats, many Bernie supporters were not Democrats before and would not vote in the election otherwise. Obama named her as his SOS to get her voter's support. With interviews like the other night she will lose these voters. Don't blame Bernie supporters if many do not show up, it will be their candidates fault.
LexVegas
(6,959 posts)ozone_man
(4,825 posts)While Bernie will take true Democrats, Independents, Progressives, many libertarians.
casperthegm
(643 posts)Democrats and Republicans are both about 25-29% of voters each. There are more independent voters in this country than members of either party (yet another reason the DNC is crazy to have closed primaries = alienate a huge voter block). With so many independent voters and real, progressive Democrats out there I think Sanders would have a real chance.
And he'd be the real Democrat, if we base that determination on the issues; fracking, Wall Street, Glass Steagall, insurance for all, trade agreements, etc. Sorry, can't argue these facts.
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Let's get real. Hillary is not going to split the Conservative vote with Trump. A number of Sanders supporters will vote for Hillary because she's the Dem Party candidate. As much as I like Bernie, he can't win as a third party candidate. Best he can do is to get that party some media attention.
Also, he can't get on the ballot in some states.
RKP5637
(67,112 posts)Trump a potential path to the WH. I just don't think in the GE there is enough momentum for a third party to win.
PeaceNikki
(27,985 posts)Baobab
(4,667 posts)stuff like TiSA would be so bad for the people of this country, people would lose it if this is hidden from them until after the election.
I think that everybody with any sense will realize that and since HRC is wedded to these deals, literally, and Sanders is against them, he's the only/best route to escaping from them. Endorsing them by voting for HRC is like saying, I'm okay with this deal, let the rest of the world lower our skilled wages to minimum wage.
Read the links in the references in this PDF too- they are not cut and pasteable, but they are on Google, read them.
http://www.cuts-geneva.org/pacteac/images/Documents/EAC%20Forum/Forum17/EAC%20Geneva%20Forum-%20WTO%20Note%2017.pdf
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)And most likely the election goes to the House.
It would be unprecedented.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)Bernie is better than that. You don't know him at all.
TowneshipRebellion
(92 posts)Last edited Wed Apr 27, 2016, 04:03 AM - Edit history (1)
They call him an inept old coot who wants to empty their retirement accounts. Which is it?
emulatorloo
(46,155 posts)He said he will not run as an independent.
Squinch
(59,513 posts)Carolina
(6,960 posts)JTFrog
(14,274 posts)grntuscarora
(1,249 posts)Done holding my nose for the least disgusting candidate.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)NowSam
(1,252 posts)That is the key. If that can be overcome than yes!
brooklynite
(96,882 posts)Chan790
(20,176 posts)If more people understood how the EC works...they'd never propose anything as stupid as a 3rd party run unless they value denying the election to Clinton ahead of keeping the GOP out of the White House.
Don't get me wrong...I still hate Hillary's guts, but my course of action is to start tomorrow to change the party landscape so dramatically that she realizes it's futile to even run for reelection and doesn't bother even trying in 4 years. The future of this revolution, if it has one...is to take over the DNC, oust Clintonites from Congress in primaries and give Hillary a hostile party as soon as 2018 that she has to capitulate to, to get anything she wants even half-done.
Samantha
(9,314 posts)brush
(61,033 posts)Samantha
(9,314 posts)Fresh_Start
(11,365 posts)nt
TheProgressive
(1,656 posts)Given that Sanders beats Trump by a yuge margin is impressive...
Fresh_Start
(11,365 posts)it will be split between sanders and clinton.
It won't be a two party election, it will be a three party election.
If you don't understand, cut a pizza in two pieces with 60% democratic and 40% GOP.
Then cut the 60% democratic into two pieces...with the bigger piece being 33% and the smaller piece being 27%.
You will figure out that Donald will win.
TheProgressive
(1,656 posts)Fresh_Start
(11,365 posts)or you might not realize that those polls were two person polls not three person polls.
Loudestlib
(980 posts)Godhumor
(6,437 posts)seabeyond
(110,159 posts)And, he would pull some from both parties but not enough to hurt either, I think.
BillZBubb
(10,650 posts)And he would pull a massive number of potential Democratic voters away. Hillary would lose badly instead of just losing by a nose.
seabeyond
(110,159 posts)Response to seabeyond (Reply #44)
Name removed Message auto-removed
R B Garr
(17,984 posts)Vetting is more than pretending you are morally superior.
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)BillZBubb
(10,650 posts)Either straight up or in the House of Representatives.
Hillary going to have enough trouble winning if it is just her versus trump.
tammywammy
(26,582 posts)cherokeeprogressive
(24,853 posts)Jackilope
(819 posts)northernsouthern
(1,511 posts)I think they both have record high negatives. Bernie has the highest positive. Hillary gets some republican votes that are about business. Bernie gets some republicans that are about work. Trump and Hillary split the divisive votes. That would possibly leave Bernie the best of from the 40% non-partisan votes. Our economy is showing some bad signs at this moment as well...so if it tanks not sure who it will help more, but I would think it would destroy Hillary on her status quo (the guy that predicted the first collapse is being joined by a few more about a second one). I think the bigger issue is that Hillary will most likely lose anyways, so a three way race may be the only way to get a Dem in to office. There is also the hope that the Republicans will split at the convention.
sabbat hunter
(7,110 posts)and lose big.
qdouble
(891 posts)Most republicans wouldn't vote him, most democrats wouldn't vote for him....he may get a decent share of indies but not enough to win.
Gomez163
(2,039 posts)JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)musicblind
(4,563 posts)bvf
(6,604 posts)That's funny as hell.
mvd
(65,911 posts)We could use him in our party badly. He, like Warren, is one of a kind. I also think he should stay after running for the Presidency as a Democrat. Not staying may be fodder for Bernie haters.
COLGATE4
(14,886 posts)mvd
(65,911 posts)If he wins, he would be a Democrat. Now I hope he continues in our party.
COLGATE4
(14,886 posts)he's said that indicates that he will drop his identification as Socialist and change it to Democrat. Given all the bad things he's had to say about the Democratic Party in the past I think it's very unlikely.
Turin_C3PO
(16,385 posts)There's a big difference between identifying Democratic Socialist and just plain Socialist. He's said that many times.
COLGATE4
(14,886 posts)I don't know of any Democratic Socialist Party in the US, at least one that has more than 10 members.
Turin_C3PO
(16,385 posts)He was never a Socialist. He described himself as a democratic socialist but he was officially Independent.
COLGATE4
(14,886 posts)as a Democrat and, when he does describe himself, it's as a Socialist.
SCantiGOP
(14,719 posts)Chasstev365
(7,788 posts)Dem nominee = Hillary
Rep nominee = Cruz or Kasich
Trump = Independent
Sanders = Independent
In that four way race, Bernie wins.
lumberjack_jeff
(33,224 posts)Who will most likely pick cruz or kasich
TheProgressive
(1,656 posts)Who ever has the most electoral votes would win...
lumberjack_jeff
(33,224 posts)What happens if no presidential candidate gets 270 Electoral votes?
If no candidate receives a majority of Electoral votes, the House of Representatives elects the President from the 3 Presidential candidates who received the most Electoral votes. Each state delegation has one vote. The Senate would elect the Vice President from the 2 Vice Presidential candidates with the most Electoral votes. Each Senator would cast one vote for Vice President. If the House of Representatives fails to elect a President by Inauguration Day, the Vice-President Elect serves as acting President until the deadlock is resolved in the House.
TheProgressive
(1,656 posts)I believe this is the way it use to before Amendments...
jg10003
(1,058 posts)Recursion
(56,582 posts)And there it gets really weird, because they don't vote individually but by state, and must choose one of the top three vote winners from the EC.
Urchin
(248 posts)what I've been thinking.
Lars39
(26,539 posts)Did not want Hillary, Trump was crazy, the rest of the clown car were down on immigration or were false prophets. Inlaws voted Bernie.
lumberjack_jeff
(33,224 posts)99Forever
(14,524 posts)He'd have my vote either way.
No more settling for the less shitty of two very shitty candidates for me. EVER AGAIN.
Tortmaster
(382 posts)... this is your takeaway on Democracy? You have wasted your time here, my friend.
99Forever
(14,524 posts)And if you think what happened in this primary was "democracy," then I'm not the only one wasting time.
At least I know enough not to capitalize democracy.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)Unicorn
(424 posts)AgingAmerican
(12,958 posts)He would get much Democratic, Independent and disgruntled Republican supporters voting for him and he would win.
Gman
(24,780 posts)beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)Bernie doesnt hate America to see that happen
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)Under this scenario...
artislife
(9,497 posts)Worldly Traveler
(34 posts)PowerToThePeople
(9,610 posts)I like the idea, hope he seriously considers it if June does not have him winning the primary.
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)and we have 4 candidates running in the general. That would be ideal.
Snotcicles
(9,089 posts)if she should win the primaries and help the down ticket Democrats win seats. All the Democrats have to do is endorse and pledge to make him Senate Majority Leader if the Democrats win the administration and a senate majority. That would be my second choice for him, and I'd work my ass off to see to it that the democrats take control of the administration and the legislature.
TheProgressive
(1,656 posts)We need Sanders as President to rid America of the establishment oligarchs...
Snotcicles
(9,089 posts)dreamnightwind
(4,775 posts)I don't know that Senate Majority Leader has enough power for him to make a huge difference, but it certainly isn't nothing, and Bernie's authenticity could elevate the approval ratings of Democrats in Congress.
I doubt the party establishment would go along with this idea unless forced to by a threat of Bernie running 3rd party (such a run would be seen as seriously hurting Hillary's chance to win the general election so they would perhaps be more inclined to offer him something substantial).
Urchin
(248 posts)What kind of dog is that?
dreamnightwind
(4,775 posts)I would guess it's a golden retriever, but I don't know dogs as well as many people.
It''s just a random gif I grabbed way back when Loonix was shown the door here, she had an annoying bug in her tagline that always moved around. Never liked the bug really but I liked her posts and it seemed a more light-hearted tribute than some of the bugs attacking H's or the corporatist fly-swatters squishing the bugs. This is just a silly inept dog sniping at an elusive bug it will never destroy.
I'll change my gif soon, it's probably worn out its welcome. Peace. And welcome to DU, assuming you're not one of Brock's minions.
Urchin
(248 posts)I was thinking golden retriever. Anyway, i want one!
glowing
(12,233 posts)He could flood the chambers with progressive legislation that then the people rise to in massive pressure for their reps to vote for.
The most powerful people are actually our reps who legislate... And I know people have forgotten this because they haven't been doing anything but saying "NO" on everything, but they truly are.
Shoot, the Senate could investigate banks, wall st, federal depts, military, CIA. He could freaking clean house. I would prefer him as senate leader over President any day. He's the amendment King.. I think he'd get it done for us there and with BernieCrats at his back pressuring congress and the President, he'd probably get a whole lot of shit done for us. Holly F-balls, if they could guarantee all of us he becomes Senate leader, I'd support his nominating Hillary at the convention and actually vote for the corrupt woman... With Bernie stuffing her in-box with progressive legislation AND with investigative powers over military and real oversight over drones and war/ regime change, shoot we'd lock her ass down on being a progressive OR she'd have her ass primaries by 2020 and lose to an Elizabeth Warren or someone like that.
LeFleur1
(1,197 posts)Why did they stop teaching civics in 8th grade and high school? People don't seem to have any idea how our government works. We have three branches of government, not a dictatorship.
Response to TheProgressive (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
TheProgressive
(1,656 posts)Trajan
(19,089 posts)Say, three candidates are in the race, and none reach the 'Magic Number'?
What happens then?
TheProgressive
(1,656 posts)A majority of the electoral votes winds period... remember BClinton/Bush/Perot...?
Trajan
(19,089 posts)That magic number ...
http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/history.html
TheProgressive
(1,656 posts)thucythucy
(9,103 posts)That's the simple truth, and that's why Bernie couldn't possibly win. The "best" he could do is deny a majority to the other two candidates, which means it goes to the House, which means a Trump presidency.
Recursion
(56,582 posts)"The person having the greatest number of votes for President, shall be the President, if such number be a majority of the whole number of Electors appointed; and if no person have such majority, then from the persons having the highest numbers not exceeding three on the list of those voted for as President, the House of Representatives shall choose immediately, by ballot, the President. But in choosing the President, the votes shall be taken by states, the representation from each state having one vote; a quorum for this purpose shall consist of a member or members from two-thirds of the states, and a majority of all the states shall be necessary to a choice."
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)glowing
(12,233 posts)Luciferous
(6,586 posts)Response to TheProgressive (Original post)
Armstead This message was self-deleted by its author.
dr60omg
(283 posts)instead of trying to do what was the polite thing
In Truth We Trust
(3,117 posts)Lisa0825
(14,492 posts)Urchin
(248 posts)with either Trump or Cruz forming a third party, then someone like Bernie running as a fourth party candidate could have a strong chance of winning.
puffy socks
(1,473 posts)"If we were serious about winning this election, which is always my intention from day one, I thought we could and I hope that we will. I had to do it within the Democratic primary caucus process," he said.
"What I did not want to do is run as a third party candidate, take votes away from the Democratic candidate and help elect some right-wing Republican. I did not want responsibility for that. So what I said at the beginning of the campaign is that I was not going to run as an independent. And I say it now, that if I do not win this process I will not run as an independent."
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)Not to mention he'd be breaking his word.... Hardly good for the image of a guy presenting himself as "honest."
I do not expect him to do it.
ismnotwasm
(42,674 posts)amborin
(16,631 posts)Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)He would run as an independent to elect Donald Trump.
mythology
(9,527 posts)He would run a very distant 3rd. And in a worst case scenario he would cause the election to go to the House of Representatives and result in the Republican candidate winning on that vote.
NorthCarolina
(11,197 posts)PyaarRevolution
(814 posts)And try to fracture it at the nomination. Even then a great deal of Republicans may STILL not vote for Trump.
If it becomes a 3 way and then Bernie runs making it a 4 way absolutely.
dreamnightwind
(4,775 posts)I think Bernie's approval numbers keep getting better as people get more familiar with him, and my guess is that the opposite happens with Trump and Hillary, who are tremendously flawed candidates.
Perhaps a better question is, would Bernie running 3rd party help or hurt the causes he believes in and fights for? In the short run and the long run. I'm not going to wade into those waters, but that question is not as simple as it looks, and deserves some thought.
napi21
(45,806 posts)Remember Ralph Nader?
I honestly don't think Bernie will do that. He's already said "I will not be a spoiler" and I believe him.
rpannier
(24,924 posts)I think if he did run 3rd Party it would encourage those dissatisfied investors in the other party to find a 4th candidate to run
peacebird
(14,195 posts)deathrind
(1,786 posts)The amount of fund raising a candidate does is not a true picture of the candidates support.
A candidate with a million people giving one dollar each is much stronger than a candidate getting a million dollars from one person.
thucythucy
(9,103 posts)nolawarlock
(1,729 posts)VOX
(22,976 posts)Absolutely NO way any third-party candidate could get to 270 electoral votes.
Might as well hand the keys to Trump right now.
Freddie Stubbs
(29,853 posts)nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)gollygee
(22,336 posts)ScreamingMeemie
(68,918 posts)parties as they now are and forming a truly progressive party. One that does not sweep anti-Democratic votes and backroom deals under the rug. One that supports women's issues instead of paying lipservice and then wavering on abortion rights.
A girl can dream, and that's what this girl dreams for.
KoKo
(84,711 posts)No Go!
jg10003
(1,058 posts)Consider the following scenario:
POPULAR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT
Independent = 33.6%
Dem = 33.4%
GOP = 33%
Remember, Ross Perot got 19% of the popular vote. So it is conceivable, though unlikely, that a 3rd party candidate could win a small plurality of the popular vote.
However, the constitution says that a person must win a majority in the Electoral Collage, i.e. 51% (270 votes). Perot did not win a single electoral vote, even though nearly 1 in 5 people voted for him. Given the popular vote in the example above, the best that the independent candidate could hope for is to win a few states and come in 3rd in the electoral vote. If that were to happen then no candidate would win a majority in the Electoral Collage.
If no one wins the Electoral Collage, the House of Representatives chooses the president. But the house members do not vote individually, each state delegation get 1 vote. So whichever party controls the majority of state delegations will select its' own candidate. So in the case above, the republican, who came in last in the popular vote, becomes president. The senate selects the vice-president.
This is why Bloomberg isn't running as an independent. Even with 35 billion dollars, it simply cannot be done.
Urchin
(248 posts)What's the math look like for a four party election?
Urchin
(248 posts)What's the math look like for a four party election?
jg10003
(1,058 posts)Jester Messiah
(4,711 posts)Might be worth doing anyway.
Starry Messenger
(32,381 posts)Vattel
(9,289 posts)HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)The Republican will win a three-way or four-way race. Three-way because the Dem/Left Indie vote is split. Repub wins a 4-way race because it's likely no candidate gets 270 electoral votes, and the election gets thrown into the House of Reps lap, they will elect the Rrpublican candidate.
GulfCoast66
(11,949 posts)And he can suddenly win the general election? Some of you have gone off the rails and have never read the constitution. He would do worse than Ross Perot did. Ensure a Trump presidency. And go down as one of the most reviled men in American political history
Lazy Daisy
(928 posts)class than that. I could be wrong, but I don't think so. He has said from the beginning that's not something he wanted to do.
I believe his highest goal is to keep a Republican from The White House.
laserhaas
(7,805 posts)And 33% of Dems, plus 25 % of GOP would vote Bernie
ContinentalOp
(5,356 posts)You really think 25% of republicans would vote for a candidate who identifies as a socialist? Do you not realize that 2/3rds of indies are just D or R partisans who think it sounds cool to say they're independent? Were you not alive in the year 2000 to witness how a third party candidate on the left turns out?
IamMab
(1,359 posts)Blue_In_AK
(46,436 posts)Not going to happen.
LostOne4Ever
(9,752 posts)Stuckinthebush
(11,203 posts)Jesus Christ. Why? He can't even win the Dem nomination. Why In gods name would you think he'd win the general as an independent?
Lord. Crazy town
onenote
(46,139 posts)Jester Messiah
(4,711 posts)onenote
(46,139 posts)I doubt he ever could have mounted a winning independent campaign, but there's really no practical opportunity for him to mount one now, unless he wants to drop out of the Democratic race immediately.
The deadline for getting on the November ballot is before the Democratic National Convention in around 14 states. Another dozen or so have deadlines less than a week after the convention. So he'd have to drop out now and announce his independent run. And doing so would cost him any semblance of credibility.
JPnoodleman
(454 posts)Chan790
(20,176 posts)Horrible, stupid idea unless you really want President Paul Ryan to serve with VP Clinton.
I sure as fsck don't.
ContinentalOp
(5,356 posts)I realize that Sanders supporters are mostly young people who have never voted before but it's weird for me to realize that they have no idea who Ralph Nader was or what happened in 2000.
Tiggeroshii
(11,088 posts)Highest number of independents registered in this country than at any point. Most are pretty liberal leaning and disenchanted with the political process. He is likely to take a large majority of their votes, split the democratic votes and bite into the Republican vote just a little bit. He already pretty much has that coalition, but they are being excluded from the process through voter registration purges and closed primaries.
procon
(15,805 posts)Hush now and go to sleep.
ContinentalOp
(5,356 posts)...between himself, Ron Paul, Ralph Nader, and Lyndon LaRouche.
Zynx
(21,328 posts)Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)It's not happening.
Tortmaster
(382 posts)He would not win. But he might make it close, or even hand the election to Trump.
Face it, folks, Senator Sanders has had Republican wind at his back from day one in this campaign. (Much like he had NRA wind at his back when he finally won a seat in Congress in 1990). If he runs as an independent, he would not have that Republican wind.
Nice to see, though, that as soon as Trump mentions Sanders running as a third party candidate there are people who are tuned into that. Those are the people to keep an eye on.
Jester Messiah
(4,711 posts)It's stupid to basically blame the voters for going with a candidate whom they felt represented them the best. You're basically saying "Fuck that guy for giving them a better option! They should have to eat the shit sandwich we put on their plate!"
Joob
(1,065 posts)People like Game of Thrones right? Throw it in. He'd win. Corruption is real.
grossproffit
(5,591 posts)DrDan
(20,411 posts)grossproffit
(5,591 posts)You know that's coming.
DrDan
(20,411 posts)Hiraeth
(4,805 posts)baldguy
(36,649 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)they get upset at just the thought of him running as an independent.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)Why are you supporting Donald Trump for President?
B Calm
(28,762 posts)who scream that Bernie is not a democrat.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)Why do you support Donald Trump?
B Calm
(28,762 posts)baldguy
(36,649 posts)At the head of that group is Donald Trump. Why do you support Donald Trump?
B Calm
(28,762 posts)claimed that Bernie is not a Democratic candidate and whine at just the thought of him running for president as an independent
baldguy
(36,649 posts)Why do you support Donald Trump?
B Calm
(28,762 posts)Seriously
Jester Messiah
(4,711 posts)Why do you support logical fallacies?
auntpurl
(4,311 posts)PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)Vinca
(53,986 posts)That's why Bernie ran as a Democrat in the first place. It's a shame the party bosses didn't appreciate that.
FBaggins
(28,706 posts)In a 4-way race, Sanders would have a good chance.
TeddyR
(2,493 posts)And I say that as a Bernie supporter. Very few Republicans would vote for him so he'd just split the Dem vote and give the election to the Republicans. And I certainly wouldn't vote for him as an independent candidate. I mean, there's zero chance he would win - he can't even win the Dem nomination.
winter is coming
(11,785 posts)bigwillq
(72,790 posts)artyteacher
(598 posts)apcalc
(4,528 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)too.
pinebox
(5,761 posts)I imagine a lot will say no but the reality is people are sick of politics and politicians. It's obvious why too from the antics we've seen this election season. When America votes (that means not just the little Democrats bubble) Bernie wins. Indy voters are 2x the base .
It's THAT simple.
Kelvin Mace
(17,469 posts)Kip Humphrey
(4,753 posts)KansDem
(28,498 posts)He would garner the votes of Democrats, Independents, and Republicans.
TeddyR
(2,493 posts)Since he isn't getting Dem votes now?
KansDem
(28,498 posts)Some conservatives are defying expectation and backing the Vermont senator.
When Tarie MacMillan switched on her television in August to watch the first Republican presidential debate, she expected to decide which candidate to support.
But MacMillan, a 65-year-old Florida resident, was disappointed. I looked at the stage and there was nobody out there who I really liked. It just seemed like a showcase for Trump and his ridiculous comments, she recalled. It was laughable, and scary, and a real turning point.
So she decided to back Bernie Sanders, the self-described Democratic socialist challenging Hillary Clinton. MacMillan was a lifelong Republican voter until a few weeks ago when she switched her party affiliation to support the Vermont senator in the primary. It will be the first time shes ever voted for a Democrat.
That story may sound improbable, but MacMillan isnt the only longtime conservative supporting Sanders. There are Facebook groups and Reddit forums devoted entirely to Republicans who adore the Vermont senator.
The Atlantic
And then there are the Independents...
Independents won New Hampshire for Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders. On the Republican side, 42 percent of voters identified as independent, and Trump won 36 percent of the independent vote to Marco Rubios 18 percent, who placed second in that category. Likewise, 40 percent of Democratic primary voters in the Granite State identified as independent, and Bernie Sanders won 73 percent of those votes. Both Sanders and Trump beat their nearest opponents in the New Hampshire primary by double digits.
In Massachusetts, a traditionally blue state that went to Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in each primary, 50 percent of Republican independents went for Trump. The second-place candidate, John Kasich, only got 20 percent of independent voters. And even though Hillary Clinton won Massachusetts by a narrow margin, Bernie Sanders won the independent vote by a 66-33 margin. Independents made up one-third of the Democratic electorate in the Bay State and 49 percent of the Republican electorate.
Even in states where Clinton beat Sanders by considerable margins, Sanders took home the independent vote in a landslide. Independents made up 22 percent of the Democratic primary electorate in Virginia and Sanders beat Clinton in that voting group by 16 points, despite Clinton winning Virginia with 64 percent of the overall vote.
When examining the results from last nights Michigan primary, independent voters may have very well been the key to Bernie Sanders victory. 23 percent of Democratic primary voters identified as independent, and Sanders walloped Clinton by a 71-28 margin among independents.
US Uncut
Now, while more Democrats prefer Clinton, are there enough to offset the Republicans and Independents voting for Sanders?
rock
(13,218 posts)He couldn't win the primary. Er, so no. Although I do admit that Independent suits his political demeanor better than Democrat.
jcgoldie
(12,046 posts)Due to sore loser laws. Ie he already ran once this cycle and lost.
nemo137
(3,297 posts)He'd need to get majorities in enough states to reach 270 (yes, yes, Maine and Nebraska have slightly different rules apportioning electors, but in general...), otherwise it goes to the House, which votes by delegation, which means a Republican president.
Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)Demsrule86
(71,542 posts)Trump wins.
hamsterjill
(17,576 posts)He hasn't won the majority of votes cast in the primary, so why would anyone think he could win the general?
Orsino
(37,428 posts)I can only see him losing some of the support he gained.
iwannaknow
(213 posts)Response to TheProgressive (Original post)
rjsquirrel This message was self-deleted by its author.
yourpaljoey
(2,166 posts)Joe Nation
(1,112 posts)lakeguy
(1,645 posts)yourout
(8,820 posts)Gladly.
kentuck
(115,406 posts)...