If ABC Poll Internals

[tbennett76]

hold, good chance POTUS takes one or two point lead next release.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

1. Elaborate Please

[aaaaaa5a]

2. Info source? Link? nt

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. O Is Currrently Down 49-48

I'd like to hear the OP's reasoning.

[tbennett76]

4. POTUS has

surged plus 2 in both independents and whites in one round of releases. Also approval. I track internals for hints of future movement. Must be totally honest with you, now is when a robopoll is at its most useless, as most younger hipper, (More Dem) people are going to Halloween parties and such. This poll did not release yesterday which tells me they may have looked at the VA poll and scratched their head and examined the discrepancy. They know as well as I do that VA matches closely the US in demographics. Expect to see adjustments made and POTUS leading soon.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

9. That's Not A Robopoll

Questions about that poll.

!) Why aren't Latinos a subcategory
2) O is winning the black vote 95% -2% but only winning the non-white vote 70%-28%. That means he is close to splitting Latinos. . To that I say GTFOOH
3) Obama is only winning Dems 78%-20%.

[WI_DEM]

19. Dems 78-20 is unbelievable.

[JiminyJominy]

5. Do You Have a Link?

When can we expect poll out?

[tbennett76]

8. Of course

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2012/10/28/new-wapo-abc-tracking-poll-romney-49-obama-48/

Releases have been all over the place hard to say.

[WI_DEM]

20. that article is only about Romney firming up his base. Not sure what you are talking about in your

OP.

[BeyondGeography]

6. I'll settle for my own internals holding

[OldDem2012]

25. Get Depends - just in case your internals don't hold. nt.

[Phx_Dem]

28. LOL

[chadnky]

7. When do they release the next one?

They are doing a daily tracker now, right?

[aaaaaa5a]

10. I love seeing DU expand...

but I think we are starting to get too many new posters.

[SingleSeatBiggerMeat]

22. I Don't Think That Owners Of The Website Are Complaining.....

Just a guess.

[aaaaaa5a]

26. I think your'e right!

[Tutonic]

11. Hey folks as crazy as it sounds some of these sources are strictly off of the record.

Judge for yourself once the pollscome out if the post was accurate or fiction.

[Atman]

12. Makes no sense...why would ABC have "internal polling?"

"Internal" refers to the campaigns' own private polling. If ABC has a poll, it would ABC's poll, not an "internal" poll.

[JiminyJominy]

13. I Think OP...

is confusing "Internal Polling" with "Crosstabs".

Internal Polling generally refers to the the polling done by campaign themselves which helps dictate strategy.

Crosstabs generally refer to the data within any poll that give specifics relating to demographics, gender, race, etc..

[DemocratSinceBirth]

14. I Don't Think The OP Is Confused

He is referring to the internals of the poll and not internal polling.

I'd like him to answer my questions.

[tbennett76]

16. Right here

yes I mean crosstabs, sometimes referred to as internals ask away.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

18. Please Look At Post #9/nt

[tbennett76]

21. Obama leads Dems

92-7 and is down 16 with Indies, but this is actually up four in one round. Whites are coming back to the 40 range probably because they are able to get them on the phone honestly. Also debate nights did skew GOP because they were at home watching in disproportionate numbers relative to Dems. Once that fell off, Obama rose, but this is also a very good night of polling for POTUS. Hispanics are a small subgroup, and have a high margin of error. I am opening up my own polling company soon. I will be doing monthly 1,000 person samples of Asians, AA's, Latinos, and whites, and using that as my static measurements for preferences, and then monitor smaller samples of subgroups of those demographics for change in preference. I will also stratify cell phone use by region. I will then monitor for overall enthusiasm.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

23. I See 78%-20% Dem Lead

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/index.html

[tbennett76]

24. That is for non

whites in line with historical norms, but a few points off.

[wisteria]

15. Oh? And when will that relase be?

The link you provided shows otherwise and it is dated today.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

17. Tomorrow. It's A Daily Tracker/nt

[MadBadger]

27. Wow this post was a wealth if information

[woolldog]

29. I want the 2 minutes I spent reading this thread back.