2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary 7 points behind The Donald in Indiana general election poll:
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat 41%
Donald Trump, the Republican 48%
Undecided 11%
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/NEWS/NBC%20NewsWSJMarist.pdf
Flawed candidate. Very flawed candidate.
And Trump's not so good either.
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)When Obama beat McCain in IN, it was the first time IN had voted for a Dem presidential candidate in 60 years.
Nice try.
Herman4747
(1,825 posts)But hey, concede Indiana, if that's what makes you happy.
It's been getting more right-wing by the day.
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)When Skinner finally decides to shut these put up, life will be better. (If he decides to not shut them up, I'll be gone).
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)If you want struggle to find some scenarios where we should expect -- demand -- HRC to win Indiana, no one is stopping you. History says you're pissing in the wind.
Herman4747
(1,825 posts)...of the original post?
Doesn't surprise me.
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)leftofcool
(19,460 posts)Herman4747
(1,825 posts)You're not willing to automatically concede it to the Republicans, are you?
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)I know you wish that wasn't so but it will happen.
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)... but the polls predicted that HRC would hand Sanders his ass, and she did.
pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)Why?
What leads a person to intentionally mislead?
Herman4747
(1,825 posts)...that was posted that is "deceptive."
Go on, I dare you.
But first, you are likely going to want to look up the word, "deceptive," in a dictionary.
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)Read this:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1880163
QED
have the last word.
Herman4747
(1,825 posts)...what precisely I wrote that was untrue or deceptive, when I merely made reference to a recent poll.
Again, for your own sake, please consult the dictionary with regards to the word, "deceptive."
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)BTW, the Hoosier state has went blue twice in the past seventy six years:
http://www.270towin.com/states/Indiana
INDIANA. NOT .NEEDED.
rock
(13,218 posts)Thanks!
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Dr. Larry J. Sabato is the founder and director of the University of Virginia Center for Politics. He is also the University Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, and has had visiting appointments at Oxford University and Cambridge University in Great Britain. A Rhodes Scholar, he received his doctorate from Oxford, and he is the author or editor of two dozen books on American politics.
Prof. Sabato directs the Center for Politics Crystal Ball website, a leader in accurately predicting elections since its inception. In 2004, the Crystal Ball notched a 99 percent accuracy rate in predicting all races for House, Senate, Governor and each states Electoral College outcome. In 2006, the Pew Research Center and the Pew Charitable Trusts Project for Excellence in Journalism recognized the Crystal Ball as the leader in the field of political predictors, noting that the site came closer than any other of the top ten potential predictors this cycle.
In 2008, the Crystal Ball came within one electoral vote of the exact tally in the Electoral College, while also correctly picking the result of every single gubernatorial and Senate race across the country. In 2010, the Crystal Ball was the first to forecast a solid Republican takeover of the House. While others were predicting a Romney victory in 2012, the Crystal Ball forecast a substantial Obama margin in the Electoral College, and ultimately missed just two states. The Crystal Ball had a combined 97% accuracy rate in forecasting the Electoral College, Senate, House and gubernatorial contests.
Earlier this year, the Crystal Ball won a Beast Best award from The Daily Beast as one of the top political sites on the web.
In 2013 Prof. Sabato won an Emmy award for the television documentary Out of Order, which he produced to highlight the dysfunctional U.S. Senate. In 2014, Prof. Sabato won a second Emmy award for the PBS documentary The Kennedy Half-Century, which covers the life, assassination, and lasting legacy of President John F. Kennedy.
In October 2013, Prof. Sabato and the Center for Politics unveiled the Kennedy Half Century project. The project consisted of a New York Times bestselling book, The Kennedy Half-Century PBS documentary, a Massive Open Online Course (MOOC) available on Coursera and iTunes U, an app with the complete recordings and transcripts from Dealey Plaza on 11/22/63, and a website (www.thekennedyhalfcentury.com).
Prof. Sabato is also very active on social media. His Twitter feed (@LarrySabato) was named by Time Magazine as one of the 140 best Twitter feeds of 2014.
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/staff_sabato.html
rock
(13,218 posts)NWCorona
(8,541 posts)aaaaaa5a
(4,667 posts)Indiana is a republican state. Bush won Indiana by around 20 points in 2004. Obama lost by 9 points here on his way to a dominating victory with more than 300 elecotoal votes in 2012.
Indiana is a Midwestern state. If Hillary is only losing by 5-10 points in Indiana, then she is winning in Michigan, Wisonsin and most importantly Ohio.
This is the "old canary in the coal mine" for the GOP. A blowout is coming.
Image a poll showing Clinton only up 9 points in Massachusetts, or Oregon?
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)We are conceding states already???
NuclearDem
(16,184 posts)2016 is not 2008.
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)Indiana is winnable with the right candidate. Hillary isn't it.
NuclearDem
(16,184 posts)Obama won Indiana because:
1) People were energized to vote for him
2) George W. Bush was one of the most unpopular presidents of all time, and McCain was largely seen as his clone
3) The economy was in a nose dive, taking the auto industry that northern Indiana is dependent upon with it.
And even then, he only won it by 1%.
apnu
(8,756 posts)This has become too
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Proud Liberal Dem
(24,412 posts)As a previous poster pointed out, Democrats almost never win Indiana, so your post proves nothing IMHO. A poll showing Hillary losing to Donald in, say, California, now THAT might be notable (but totally unrealistic as well).
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid
masmdu
(2,536 posts)book_worm
(15,951 posts)a GOP state in presidential elections, so I wouldn't be too excited about Trump winning it.
Skwmom
(12,685 posts)Her poll numbers will take a nose dive.
oasis
(49,388 posts)The electorate seems to like that kind of leadership.
kimbutgar
(21,155 posts)If so , it's no surprise the state would go for trump. I remember hearing even as a kid that black people shouldn't go to certain parts of Indiana at night. I remember driving from Chicago to my uncle's farm in Michigan several times in my childhood. We would drive though Indiana. My uncle would fill up at the Illinois border and we never stopped in Indiana because it had a bad reputation dealing with black people. This was in the 1960's. Once I remember someone in the car had to go to the bathroom and so reluctantly my uncle stopped he was so nervous as the family member went into stuckeys to go to the bathroom. I decided I had to go also and my Mother took me in. My Mother and I could pass for white and I remember someone asking my Mother if we were ok. My Mother said yes hustled me in that bathroom and we walked out to the car so fast my mother was practically dragging me. I was young and didn't understand it at the time. The last time I took that drive I was 17 and I got it.
longship
(40,416 posts)ID, KS, OK, MS, AL, and yes, IN, those states who think the Bible speaks louder than the people. The Bible Belt utterly sucks.
And ID seems to draw a rather lot of nazis and so-called sovereign citizens, both delusional.
We're in big trouble as long as such narratives are prominent in the body politic.
Bobbie Jo
(14,341 posts)Fucking Bobby Knight himself was out stumping for Trump.
That made my head hurt.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)Sheepshank
(12,504 posts)wow....you are really stretching things aren't you? Some would call it desperation, I call it willful misrepresentation.
Jokerman
(3,518 posts)If she's the nominee she will go down big in Indiana and drag the rest of the ticket down with her.
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)brooklynite
(94,585 posts)0rganism
(23,955 posts)the fact that Trump runs under 50% there is a sign of, as you'd say, a "very flawed candidate."
Herman4747
(1,825 posts)0rganism
(23,955 posts)Indiana will likely be on the short end of that particular stick