How many pledged delegates will HRC be short by?

[Skink]

[grossproffit]

1. Hundreds less than Bernie.

[tonyt53]

2. Bingo!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. ...

[JoePhilly]

4. Boom

[beachbumbob]

5. She will the majority of the pledged delegates as well as almost all

Super delegates...to win nomination just like Obama did in 2008... The math still doesn't work for sanders

[OilemFirchen]

6. None.

Zero.
Zilch.
Nada.

[leftofcool]

7. None

[stone space]

8. There are no guarentees, but the answer is quite likely to be negative.

[Agnosticsherbet]

9. It doesn't matter, since she will have the majority of both pledged and super delegates.

And the vast majority of the popular vote.
There will be no contested convention.

[Skink]

10. Sounds like a lot

[Garrett78]

11. Zero. Why does anyone think she won't win a majority of the pledged delegates?

There are only 2 candidates, so it's a guarantee that 1 of them will win a majority of pledged delegates (2026+). Surely nobody thinks Sanders is going to reach 2026. Clinton will far surpass 2026.

[Skink]

13. She seems to be sputtering in Indiana

Could be a big momentum shift

[Garrett78]

15. Sputtering how?

Last I saw, she had a lead in the polls. In a state that Sanders should win. It fits the profile of contests he's been winning up to this point.

[LiberalFighter]

18. Compared to 2008 she is doing better. And she won Indiana in 2008.

[onenote]

12. Short of what?

Short of reaching a majority of pledged delegates? Likely none at all -- the odds strongly favor her having a majority of pledged delegates when the primaries and caucuses are over (if not earlier).

Short of having a majority of all delegates based only on pledged delegates? Probably around 200, give or take 50. In other words, she'll probably (but not certainly) be around 90-95% of the way to 2383 just based on pledged delegates.

But by the time the convention rolls around she will have a combination of pledged delegates and superdelegate commitments (which aren't binding but are exceedingly unlikely to change) well in excess of the required 2383.

[Skink]

16. Forget the bought and paid for Supers

She won't get close to the number she needs

[Garrett78]

17. She'll likely end up with close to 2200 pledged delegates.

And since you asked about pledged delegates, that's way over the 2026 that a candidate needs to claim a majority. So, again, she won't be short at all.

[onenote]

20. Call them whatever you want, they are part of the process

There is no requirement or even expectation that a candidate will get a majority of the combined total of pledged delegates and superdelegates based only on pledged delegates. If that was the expectation, or carried any special significance, there would be no reason for superdelegates at all.

So, assuming, as appears likely, that Clinton gets a majority of the pledged delegates, and she has endorsements from even one third of the superdelegates (who are not in any way forbidden from making a non-binding public endorsement of a candidate before the convention -- indeed, both candidates have been seeking and obtaining such non-binding endorsements), she will obtain the required 2383 during the initial roll call of states at the convention.

[JustABozoOnThisBus]

14. Who cares? She has almost all the super-delegates.

Resistance is futile.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

19. FIXED

Who cares? She has a 3,000,000 popular vote lead and almost all the super-delegates.