Delegate Scorecard: "Race hasn't been competitive for over a month"

[Godhumor]

The Democratic nomination race hasn't been competitive for over a month: Hillary Clinton has an insurmountable delegate lead. But what's remarkable is that the psychology of Democratic voters and most media outlets is detached from the reality of the math: Bernie Sanders's share of the vote doesn't seem to be eroding, even as his campaign gradually transitions from a competitive effort to a symbolic and cathartic one.

As expected, Clinton carried four of five states on her Northeastern home turf Tuesday, winning all but Rhode Island. She remains far ahead of her targets. Yet she won an average of just 55 percent against one opponent, while Donald Trump won an average of 59 percent against two opponents. While Democrats seem to remain firmly entrenched in their camps, Northeastern Republicans appeared more anxious to rally around their front-runner.

Clinton or Sanders would need to win 2,383 of 4,765 delegates to the Philadelphia convention to clinch the Democratic nomination. To help you keep track of who's ahead, the Cook Political Report has devised a delegate scorecard estimating how many delegates Clinton and Sanders would need to win in each primary, caucus and convention to become the nominee.

With just ten states, three territories and the District of Columbia to go, Clinton leads Sanders in pledged delegates 1,645 to 1,318. That means Sanders would need 65 percent of the remaining pledged delegates to catch up to Clinton in pledged delegates, which is unrealistic considering Democrats allocate their delegates proportionally, Sanders has won just 44 percent of pledged delegates to date, and Clinton-favorable New Jersey and California haven't voted yet.
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Scorecard stands at:

Clinton 120% of her delegate target

Sanders 79% of his delegate target

http://cookpolitical.com/story/9575

[NurseJackie]

1. Yep ... it's completely unrealistic.

Realism is something that the Sanders campaign often struggles with, in my opinion.

[oasis]

2. "It's all over but the shouting".......for more donations.

[BootinUp]

3. +1

[sufrommich]

4. The media will invent a horse race where none exists. nt

[firebrand80]

5. I expect them to pick up

Bernie's "contested convention" line and run with it. I can hear it now:

"We've heard about a contested convention on the Republican side, but what about one on the DEMOCRATIC side? We'll talk to Random Blowhard about that possibility next on MSNBC, The Place for Politics."

[IamMab]

6. In NY, Trump won 59% of 870K voters. Clinton won 55% of 1.8 million voters.

It's not apples-to-apples, really. Her 55% is still more people/votes than Trump's 59%.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. HRC won 58% in NY

https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#q=new+york+primary&eob=m.059rby/D/2/short/m.059rby/

[IamMab]

8. Indeed, my bad. I used the 55% from the average of the 5 races. nt