LIVE: Indiana Democratic Primary Exit Poll Analysis

[brooklynite]

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Preliminary exit poll results from Indiana’s Democratic primary show a contest with turnout that’s higher than usual this year among liberals (notably strong liberals), young voters, whites and those focused on a candidate who’s honest or cares about people like them – all some of Bernie Sanders’ better groups to date.

Demographics: More than seven in 10 voters in preliminary exit poll results are whites, vs. an average of 61 percent in previous primaries and a better group for Sanders in most contests to date. Nearly half of voters are under age 45, also more than average this election cycle. And seven in 10 are liberals, including three in 10 strong liberals, both on pace for records in Indiana and among the most of any state to vote so far this year. These trends are beneficial to Sanders; we’ll watch as the evening progresses and the exit poll results are updated.

Attributes: Voters focused either on honesty or on empathy voters are outpacing their average for the year in these early exit poll results. More than six in 10 Democratic voters in Indiana say the most important candidate trait is someone who’s honest and trustworthy (three in 10) or who cares about people like them (also three in 10); fewer, four in 10, say it’s someone with the right experience or who’s most electable. Generally, so far this year, the former have been better been for Sanders, the latter, much better for Clinton.

Inspiring: Results on the question of who’s the more inspiring candidate are worth watching as well. In New York, Maryland and Pennsylvania, Clinton was seen as more inspiring than Sanders, while in Connecticut and Wisconsin, Sanders who prevailed on this question, and in the voting. In preliminary exit poll results in Indiana, six in 10 say Sanders is the more inspiring candidate, vs. four in 10 say it’s Clinton. Sanders result on this question rivals his in the five states where it’s been asked – 59 percent in Wisconsin.

[big_dog]

1. looking good for Bernie

Demographics: More than seven in 10 voters in preliminary exit poll results are whites, vs. an average of 61 percent in previous primaries and a better group for Sanders in most contests to date. Nearly half of voters are under age 45, also more than average this election cycle. And seven in 10 are liberals, including three in 10 strong liberals, both on pace for records in Indiana and among the most of any state to vote so far this year. These trends are beneficial to Sanders; we’ll watch as the evening progresses and the exit poll results are updated.

[Armstead]

2. I hate exit polls -- It's a waste of time trying to infer things

[NWCorona]

3. K&R

[NuclearDem]

4. 36% think Sanders policies are unrealistic.

Whoops.

[thesquanderer]

9. We can assume those are Hillary voters. Bernie would be happy with the other 64%. ;-) (n/t)

[NurseJackie]

5. I've seen several comments about Indiana having tailor-made demographics that favor Bernie ...

... is that true?

[RandySF]

6. I think the Republican primary is being flooded by all but the most progressive

With all but locked up, the action is on the other side.

[factfinder_77]

7. I'm beginning to think Indiana's might be bad. Early voting was enormous.

Exit polls have had particular trouble as of late. I'm beginning to think Indiana's might be bad. Early voting was enormous.

https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/727616729854136320

[Lucinda]

8. Quite likely with those early numbers.