2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumFACT: Clinton won Indiana in '08..
Same candidate, same State...loses it tonight, 8 yrs later, after many pundits and party leaders have assured voters that she's the likely nominee.
Why aren't the pundits talking about this?
Is this a 1st of this season? Will she drop more States that she won in '08? Is it a harbinger of things to come?
Tonight, Indiana thinks that Mrs Clinton isn't likely anything...let alone the party's nominee!!
UMTerp01
(1,048 posts)The people she was winning in '08, particularly white men, are not on her side this cycle nearly in the way they were in 2008. She is openly embracing President Obama instead of running from him. So there's a lot of dynamics about this cycle that are the reason why she's won some of the same states and lost others she won in '08.
northernsouthern
(1,511 posts)But this time she lost the anti-jewish? Polls show people are more likely to vote for a black man as president and woman than a jewish man. Also age dynamics, I think 8 years of fresh votes and all the younger people that voted from before are on Bernie's side. Also could be the independent backlash for all of the hate they have been getting from the DNC. Also could be enthusiasm, the people that support Bernie have proven they are far more enthusiastic, she wins with mail in votes, ballot harvested votes, and closed elections...so with all of the drumming that this is over, enough people may have stayed home? This could be an outlier, but the votes seem way lower than in 2008.
hedda_foil
(16,372 posts)If polls are indeed showing that people would vote for a black man or a woman before a Jewish candidate, please produce them.
northernsouthern
(1,511 posts)There are tons of them, here is one...
http://www.gallup.com/poll/155285/atheists-muslims-bias-presidential-candidates.aspx
Boom!
And F@ck you america for not voting on policies, but on race and sex. Those polls always piss me off because Atheists are at the bottom.
dchill
(38,471 posts)In this country.
northernsouthern
(1,511 posts)I was insulted when the HRC crew stated to paint Bernie as an atheist just to pull in that anti-atheist vote. Nothing more warming that seeing a democratic front-runner embracing other people's hate for your views to win.
Jack Bone
(2,023 posts)Voted for Obama in the GE and turned Indiana blue for the 1st time since '64.
So the white guy/ black candidate notion is Bullshit...
I'd believe a generational argument before that...a great deal of her support in '08 has died...that makes more sense than the white guy/black candidate nonsense
UMTerp01
(1,048 posts)So if thats your opinion fine. I stick to mine.
northernsouthern
(1,511 posts)Your first post said...
which implied race was a factor that helped her in 08 (basically painting them as racists)...but then you said...
...which implies they changed to racists? You know life is not a multiple choice where you can choose choose "c" or in this case "racist" for everything you don't know. Your posts is like the tootsie roll add, but with "racist" instead of "tootsie roll".
UMTerp01
(1,048 posts)She was running against the Black guy in 2008. Therefore of course she was going to get that segment of White voters for whom Obama was never going to get their vote even in 2008
Fast forward 8 years later and she is openly embracing a guy who has been demonized for the past 8 years. Couple that with Donald Trump who is now the leader of this nationalist sentiment and Clinton wanting to expand the Obama legacy and of course she is doing worse with those voters. Her whiteness helped her in 2008. Its not helping her now, but what is definitely working against her is embracing Obama with that crowd. Sure part of it has to do with an angry rust belt electorate upset at coal and manufacturing jobs leaving as well since she's supported trade policies, but no it does not make less sense.
Its not that difficult to understand.
northernsouthern
(1,511 posts)...you changed the rules for what matters to win your argument? She picked up the racists in 08 because she ran a racist campaign, but then in 2016 she is running against a jewish man which polls show far less people would vote for than a woman or black man, and she is doing worse?
Demsrule86
(68,543 posts)They went for Bernie.
northernsouthern
(1,511 posts)I will give you a hint, her best win was in one of the all time top listed states...one that had a movie about it
Illinois.
Florida.
Louisiana.
Arkansas.
Tennessee.
North Carolina.
Alabama.
Georgia.
2. Mississippi
1. Texas.
https://theafrikanvoice.wordpress.com/2015/06/19/top-10-most-racist-states-in-america/
UMTerp01
(1,048 posts)...ya know...those folks that Bernie can't seem to court.
northernsouthern
(1,511 posts)I posted that she won the most racist states and backed it up with evidence. Also WV had the largest democratic turnout to support Obama...so try and spin racism how you like, but the proof was in the election...I think she won Texas last election too...odd how it is at the top of the list.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... like they voted HRC in 08.
Now that HRC is embracing the black presidents policies of course she's not going to win the states with LESS progressive blacks in them.
Jitter65
(3,089 posts)Recursion
(56,582 posts)It's been over since then.
We can question the wisdom of that, but it is what it is.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)Jack Bone
(2,023 posts)N/t
StevieM
(10,500 posts)She lost Missouri, Illinois, Iowa, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Mississippi, Alabama and Louisiana in 2008. She won them this time around.
She is also expected to lose West Virginia, South Dakota and possibly Kentucky, all states that she won in 2008.
The map is different this time around.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)In 2008 she lost and won this time CT, MD, VA, NC, SC, GA, AL, MS, LO, IL, and IA as far as I know.
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)...and many others.
You're way off lol.
Demsrule86
(68,543 posts)Jitter65
(3,089 posts)her who is too close to the black buy in the White House. Stop pretending that you don't understand this.
northernsouthern
(1,511 posts)...so very odd she would pick up those states.
PATRICK
(12,228 posts)but for some reason weeks ago Evan Bayh didn't appear too happy about her chances. I have no idea notr have i any idea what the big California machinery, cities or voter blocs will do. It seems no one want to give us either the honest appraisals or an honest election or too many honest reasons why Bernie is "unacceptable".
amborin
(16,631 posts)mythology
(9,527 posts)So maybe they don't like her, but that would logically suggest they don't like Sanders either.
Demsrule86
(68,543 posts)How did she manage to beat St. Bernie?
Dem2
(8,168 posts)Garrett78
(10,721 posts)The natural result is that some states she won in '08 are less of a focus and are going to go for her opponent this time around.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)auntpurl
(4,311 posts)brooklynite
(94,501 posts)...also Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, Missouri, Illinois, Connecticut and Iowa.
Why aren't the pundits taking about this?
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)Demsrule86
(68,543 posts)She won 9 primaries at the end of the primary which is why Bernie's huuuuuuuuuuuuuuge wins don't mean a damn thing...Fact no one cares about Indiana or WVA where the GOP put Bernie over the top.
Response to Demsrule86 (Reply #24)
TM99 This message was self-deleted by its author.
onenote
(42,693 posts)because the candidate that lost the Indiana primary in 2008 won the nomination and then was elected president -- twice.
The question is why didn't that occur to you as the answer?