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[Name removed]

[dsc]

1. I have a better chance of climbing mt everest

holding a winning lotto ticket, being shot by a terrorist, catching ebola, and getting assaulted in a restroom by a transgender person than Sanders has of winning that list of primaries.

[firebrand80]

6. DC

Hillary won demographically similar Prince George's County, MD with > 80% of the vote.

I think she'll be a slight favorite in DC.

[dsc]

7. New Jersey

she has won every state which boarders it by double digits, it is demographically similar to New York where she romped, it gets its media from New York and PA where she romped. DC which is more African American as a Democratic electorate than MS, LA, SC, and GA all of which she won by over 40 points in most cases by over 50.

[Garrett78]

16. I'll 2nd those who point to NJ and DC.

And I suspect she'll also win CA.

When all is said and done, she'll have a larger lead in pledged delegates than Obama had in '08.

[PatrickforO]

2. I am with you. I support Bernie and his platform, because if these things were implemented,

my life, and the lives of my family would be a whole lot better.

[firebrand80]

4. Yeah, he has a real shot to win DC nt

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. Falsus in uno, falsus in omnibus

I really see nowhere else that Clinton has a legitimate shot and considering the dead heat in the CA polls 1 month out,

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ca/california_democratic_presidential_primary-5321.html

[Tarc]

9. Hillary Clinton is no longer campaigning against Sanders, she is campaigning against Trump

This is like a basketball game where you're up by 30 with 3 minutes left, where the coach rests his starters and gives the bench some floor time. It doesn't matter if the other team scores 28 in those 3 minutes, it's still a loss.

Hill spent fuck-all in IN and still walked away with 38 delegates.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

13. Falsus in uno, falsus in omnibus (REDUX)

Considering Sanders has out performed almost every poll throughout the primary season when independents can vote by 10 to 20 points, your link to real clear politics rolling avg of 9.7 just proves my point.

Falsus in uno, falsus in omnibus (REDUX)

OPEN PRIMARIES/CAUCUSES TO DATE*

Arkansas-OBLITERATED
Georgia-OBLITERATED
Idaho -WON
Illinois-LOST
Indiana-WON
Michigan-WON
Minnesota-WON
Mississippi-OBLITERATED
Missouri-LOST
Ohio-OBLITERATED
South Carolina-OBLITERATED
Tennesse-OBLITERATED
Texas-OBLITERATED
Utah -WON
Vermont-WON
Virginia-OBLITERATED
Washington -WON
Wisconsin-WON

The independent variable that has the greatest effect on the outcome of any primary or caucus held so far is not whether or not the primary or caucus is open or closed but the percentage of non-white voters.


*SOURCE-https://ballotpedia.org/Open_primary

[Yurovsky]

10. The Corporate Wing of the Democratic Party is flipping out...

and those lining there pockets from corporations are worried that the corporations will send more money to the Elephant Brand corporate boot lickers than the Donkey Brand corporate boot lickers. This was not supposed to happen. They were supposed to coast to the coronation and cash fat checks from Goldman Sachs, WalMart, ExxonMobil for the next 8 years.

Now they see their dirty blood money potentially slipping away. Look for the attacks on Bernie and progressives in general to get even nastier in the coming days.

[snooper2]

11. my comrade, nobody is really paying attention to Bernie anymore...he may be considered for VP spot

Anything could happen...Not as cool as Joe Biden but we may take him!

[brooklynite]

12. New Jersey: Clinton 60 - Sanders 32 (Monmouth)

He needs 19 points to "win"

He needs 30 points to hit his threshold for pledged delegate lead (assuming he doesn't fall further behind...like last night).

Might want to get working on that.

[Godhumor]

14. Guam, KY, VI, PR, CA, NJ and DC

All of these will be either closer than what Bernie needs or outright Clinton wins.

And Bernie could win literally every single remaining contest and not be within 100 delegates of Clinton, much less in the lead.

[Garrett78]

15. I'd be quite surprised to see Clinton win KY.

But I agree, he won't win by the margin required. And he won't win NJ or DC at all.