2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBlockbuster poll average: Sanders 54.7, Trump 37.2
he most revealing poll number in American politics is the RealClearPolitics match-up numbers pitting Sen. Bernie Sanders (Vt.) against Republican front-runner Donald Trump for the general election. In the RealClearPolitics polling number average, Sanders has 54.7 percent, with Trump at 37.2 percent, a landslide advantage for Sanders over Trump of 17.5 percentage points.
The actual results of all March polling posted on RealClearPolitics are:
Fox News: Sanders leads Trump by 14 points
Bloomberg: Sanders leads Trump by 24 points
Quinnipiac University: Sanders leads Trump by 14 points
CBS/The New York Times: Sanders leads Trump by 15 points
CNN/ORC: Sanders leads Trump by 20 points
NBC News/The Wall Street Journal: Sanders leads Trump by 18 points
Note that the lowest margin for the Sanders lead in polling for the month of March was a whopping 14 points. These margins in favor of Sanders over Trump, if voting in November were to track these margins at the presidential level, would probably return control of both the Senate and House to Democrats. That's even with the current advantage of House Republicans, because the coattail effect of a Democratic victory of between 14 and 20 points in the presidential election would be gigantic.
In a media environment where terms are often overstated and overused, these polling results are blockbuster numbers with blockbuster implications.
The humongous lead Sanders has over Trump surely gives very powerful evidence of the progressive populist surge of opinion among the American people and/or the enormous weakness of Trump with general election voters. In my column today in The Hill, "Trump the loser," I discussed the devastating damage a Trump nomination would do to the GOP. I have often suggested that the great wave of progressive populist opinion will carry Democrats to victory in November if Democrats remain true to the cause.
Note how rarely the major media, in their obsessive coverage of Trump, gives anywhere near equal attention to the Sanders campaign and very rarely discuss the humongous lead that Sanders has over Trump in polling.
Perhaps the mainstream media should stop discussing Teflon Don and start emphasizing Teflon Bernie.
More here: http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/presidential-campaign/274203-blockbuster-poll-average-sanders-547-trump-372
chknltl
(10,558 posts)NWCorona
(8,541 posts)Will call this poll meaningless.
Response to Playinghardball (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
NewImproved Deal
(534 posts)The Clinton Machine needs to withdraw from the race...
[link:|
casperthegm
(643 posts)Because Bernie appeals to independent voters more than HRC does. You know, those folks that the DNC wants to keep out of the primaries? Even though they are growing larger while the Democratic party shrinks?