Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
 

Mojo2

(332 posts)
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 10:04 AM Oct 2012

Latest Swing State Polls

Someone may have posted this earlier, sorry if so:

Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:

Florida: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 47% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Another state that has never been considered a swing state but appears close:

Oregon: Obama 47%, Romney 41% (Elway)

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Latest Swing State Polls (Original Post) Mojo2 Oct 2012 OP
The (+4) in OHIO today is the best news TroyD Oct 2012 #1
While Its Good News.. JiminyJominy Oct 2012 #2
Yes, but in this case their swing state polls this year have been in the same ballpark TroyD Oct 2012 #3
Don't agree with the Oregon poll hogwyld Oct 2012 #4
that 41% that Romney has in Oregon is about what McCain got WI_DEM Oct 2012 #5
Well, that would be about a 6 to 8-point win. BlueDemKev Oct 2012 #11
Puh-lease give it a rest with these WestCoastLib Oct 2012 #6
What about Arizona? treestar Oct 2012 #7
Not yet. BlueDemKev Oct 2012 #9
Looks good. BlueDemKev Oct 2012 #8
Do you have the links? grantcart Oct 2012 #10
Polls are looking good inductivetreasoning Oct 2012 #12

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
1. The (+4) in OHIO today is the best news
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 10:25 AM
Oct 2012

I doubt it will get as much attention as yesterday's Rasmussen poll putting Romney (+2), though.

JiminyJominy

(340 posts)
2. While Its Good News..
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 10:29 AM
Oct 2012

Zogby really was way off last time around so I take anything of theirs with a grain of salt.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
3. Yes, but in this case their swing state polls this year have been in the same ballpark
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 10:31 AM
Oct 2012

As many other pollsters.

For example, the Zogby OHIO poll is showing the same thing as CNN, TIME & PPP.

It's Rasmussen that has Romney up in OHIO.

hogwyld

(3,436 posts)
4. Don't agree with the Oregon poll
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 11:36 AM
Oct 2012

Oregon is no more of a swing state than is Texas. I bet Obama gets 53 - 55 percent of the vote here.

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
5. that 41% that Romney has in Oregon is about what McCain got
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 11:38 AM
Oct 2012

My guess is that a lot of those voters will swing towards Obama by election day. Will he win by 16-points like he did in 2008, probably not but I think he'll get over a 10-point spread.

BlueDemKev

(3,003 posts)
11. Well, that would be about a 6 to 8-point win.
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 12:03 PM
Oct 2012

Which is consistent with the Elway Poll.

WestCoastLib

(442 posts)
6. Puh-lease give it a rest with these
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 11:40 AM
Oct 2012

I live in Oregon. Obama could air videos of himself murdering kittens 24 hours a day from now to election and he'd still win comfortably.

BlueDemKev

(3,003 posts)
8. Looks good.
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 11:53 AM
Oct 2012

Ohio and Oregon are "must-wins", while Florida and Virginia would be "bonuses" if we pick them up.

Do you know what the margin of error was in the Newsmax/Zogby poll in Ohio?

grantcart

(53,061 posts)
10. Do you have the links?
Tue Oct 30, 2012, 12:00 PM
Oct 2012

FYI Zogby polling was bought out by a Brazilian company and anything that is associated with Newsmax is highly suspicious.

Welcome to DU.

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Latest Swing State Polls