2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLatest Swing State Polls
Someone may have posted this earlier, sorry if so:
Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:
Florida: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (Newsmax/Zogby)
Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (Newsmax/Zogby)
Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 47% (Newsmax/Zogby)
Another state that has never been considered a swing state but appears close:
Oregon: Obama 47%, Romney 41% (Elway)
TroyD
(4,551 posts)I doubt it will get as much attention as yesterday's Rasmussen poll putting Romney (+2), though.
JiminyJominy
(340 posts)Zogby really was way off last time around so I take anything of theirs with a grain of salt.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)As many other pollsters.
For example, the Zogby OHIO poll is showing the same thing as CNN, TIME & PPP.
It's Rasmussen that has Romney up in OHIO.
hogwyld
(3,436 posts)Oregon is no more of a swing state than is Texas. I bet Obama gets 53 - 55 percent of the vote here.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)My guess is that a lot of those voters will swing towards Obama by election day. Will he win by 16-points like he did in 2008, probably not but I think he'll get over a 10-point spread.
BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)Which is consistent with the Elway Poll.
WestCoastLib
(442 posts)I live in Oregon. Obama could air videos of himself murdering kittens 24 hours a day from now to election and he'd still win comfortably.
treestar
(82,383 posts)that's a swing state too now, no?
BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)Wait about ten more years.
BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)Ohio and Oregon are "must-wins", while Florida and Virginia would be "bonuses" if we pick them up.
Do you know what the margin of error was in the Newsmax/Zogby poll in Ohio?
grantcart
(53,061 posts)FYI Zogby polling was bought out by a Brazilian company and anything that is associated with Newsmax is highly suspicious.
Welcome to DU.
inductivetreasoning
(7 posts)Over at the 538 blog it looks like Romney has a lot of ground to make up.