Cook Political Report: Good News for Hillary!

[salinsky]

The Cook Political report is out with its new projections of the electoral map for November's presidential election, and it's is looking better and better for Hillary Clinton.

Cook moved 11 states in Dems' direction Thursday and redefined critical swing states Colorado, Florida, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin from being toss-up to lean Democratic. They also moved two congressional districts that allocate electors. In Nebraska's Second, Cook moved the district from solid Republican to tossup. Maine's Second moved from solid Democratic to likely Democratic.

"With these changes, 190 Electoral Votes are in the Solid Democratic column, 27 are in Likely Democratic and another 87 are in Lean Democratic - enough for a majority," the Cook Political Report team writes.

The Cook Political Report also moved New Mexico from Likely Democratic to Solid Democratic and North Carolina to toss-up. Arizona, Georgia and Indiana remain in the Republican column for now, but were all moved to being less solidly Republican.

Clinton's expanding map could also give down ballot candidates a leg up. In states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Colorado, Florida and Arizona where there are competitive Senate races, the Clinton campaign's ground game infrastructure could be a major support system for Democratic senate hopefuls.

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/the-electoral-map-is-looking-pretty-darn-good-for-democrats-right-now

[jamese777]

1. Yee Haw!

Lookin' good for November!

[wyldwolf]

2. #berniemath proves this is nonsense.

[Ash_F]

3. Turnout in those midwest states has been higher for R's than D's this year.

[pat_k]

4. She must win 61% of "lean Democratic"

Given how poorly various analytical models have been performing, I don't know how much I trust the shifts from toss-up to "Lean Democratic."

Overconfidence is a dangerous thing. If people think Trump has no shot they are less motivated to get out there and vote to stop him.

Whoever the nominee is, we can never underestimate Trump.

[Lucinda]

5. KNR Thank you!