2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumGeneral election polls before and during the primary are predictive of absolutely nothing.
Ignore hypothetical matchups in primary season they also measure nothing. General election polls before and during the primary season have a very wide margin of error. Thats especially the case for candidates who arent even in the race and therefore havent been treated to the onslaught of skeptical media coverage usually associated with being the candidate.http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/harrys-guide-to-2016-election-polls
Additionally, Unicorns are not real.
tonyt53
(5,737 posts)TheCowsCameHome
(40,169 posts)No polls copied and pasted yet by Bansalot yet?
Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)Correct Outcome: The Sanders crowd will wave these polls like red-blooded patriots on the Fourth of July, cheering and shouting.
Option 1: The polls predict any outcome that favors Hillary over Sanders.
Correct Outcome: The Sanders crowd will discount the poll as fraudulent.
You just have to know how to read these polls.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)... who "support" him in a hypothetical match-up against Trump, but who WON'T BOTHER TO VOTE.
They will take surveys, and click online polls, but they JUST DON'T VOTE.
They'll put out yard signs, and affix bumper stickers, but THEY DON'T LIKE VOTING. Or maybe, for vanity purposes, they put more value on declaring themselves "Independent" than actually being able to participate in the party's nomination process.
I look at it like this: If Bernie can't defeat Hillary during the primaries, then he couldn't defeat Trump in the general election. If his "supporters" won't make the effort to vote for him during the party's primary, then they won't make the effort to go vote in the general.
We have our nominee, and it's Hillary.