Hillary's Magic Number: 320
Hillary has 1,706 pledged delegates as of right now. She needs 320 more to reach a majority of pledged delegates (2,026).
WV votes today (29 PDs). Next week Ky (55) and OR (61) vote. June 4 and 5 bring Virgin Islands (7) and Puerto Rico (60), respectively. In other words, between now and June 7, 212 pledged delegates will be allocated based on voting results.
Bernie is favored in most of those contests, so even a 50/50 split would leave Hillary's magic number going into June 7 at about 214.
On June 7, a whopping 694 pledged delegates are up for grabs, with the majority coming from California (475). She would need only about 30% of the June 7 total to hit her magic number, the pledged delegate majority and the secure nomination for all intents and purposes.
All but NJ are west coast contests. NJ has 126 PDs up for grabs. Hillary will likely to take NJ, but not by huge margins.
Out west, Bernie is favored in Montana (21), ND (18) and SD (20). NM (34) and CA could be close.
It is unlikely HIllary will reach the pledged delegate majority until the polls close in California at 11:00 pm. At that point, it is almost certain that even a loss in every other state and even a loss in CA will give her enough PDs to his 2,026 and secure a majority of PDs. Only a MASSIVE California upset, an earthquake, would be enough to flip the entire race and nomination to Bernie.
At about 11:00 p.m. on June 7, Hillary Clinton will likely be declared the presumptive presidential nominee for the Democratic Party.
We have less than a month to go folks. Sit down, relax and enjoy the show. Quit calling for Bernie to drop out. He isn't. It will get nasty as hell on the morning of June 8.
= new reply since forum marked as read
