116 closed primary delegates up for grabs next week.

[LuvLoogie]

After tonight, Hillary has a 276 delegate lead.

After that is 7 delegates in the closed caucus Virgin Islands, and 60 delegates in Puerto Rico's open primary.

In order to get Hillary below 200 by California, Bernie has to win about 71% of the delegates in the next 4 contests.

If he can get Hillary to 200, then all he needs is 447 of the 694 delegates that day to catch her. That's about 64.5%.

[msongs]

1. new poll shows bernie losing in oregon...

http://www.opb.org/news/series/election-2016/bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-donald-trump-oregon-poll/

[grasswire]

5. LOLOLOLOLOL

Gawd.

[LuvLoogie]

8. That would probably mean he would need 75% in the other 3 contests.

Tough road without the right-wing crossover votes.

[hrmjustin]

2. I see benchmark politics is predicting very close races in both states.

[LuvLoogie]

9. Close advantage Bernie or advantage Hillary?

[hrmjustin]

13. Hillary for both but it is so close so...

Plus I am not sure they factored in the 84,000 indys who became Democrats in Oregon.

[LuvLoogie]

14. What is that like 3 points if they're all Bernie? Enough to put him over

But not anywhere near a 65/35 split I would imagine.

[hrmjustin]

18. I think Berne edges out in Oregan but there are reasons it won't be an overwhelming win.

But i still don't rule out a 10 percent win for Sanders there.


Kentucky should be tight.

[grasswire]

3. he doesn't have to catch her

He just has to keep her from getting the magic number.

[hrmjustin]

4. They are not going to nomiate the second place finisher.

[grasswire]

7. contested convention

Super delegates waver and decide to go with the one whose numbers say he will beat Trump.

Easy Peasy.

[hrmjustin]

12. Ignoring the will of the people will mean we lose the general.

I will not go along with subverting the will of the people.

Hillary has won more pledge delegates and votes.

To not nominate her means a large amount of her supporters will be angry and sit out the election.

[grasswire]

19. we will NOT lose the general with Bernie as nominee

But are you saying there are Hillary or Bust Democrats? Angry enough to sit out the election?

My my.

[hrmjustin]

20. If they steal the election from Hillary yes.

Hillary is ahead by votes and delegates. And if the supers ignore that there will be a lot of pissed of Hillary supporters.

I am just being honest with you.

[grasswire]

21. oh well

What are they gonna do about it? I thought the mantra was unity. Or is it only unity for Hillary?

[hrmjustin]

22. Unity around the one who won, not the second place finisher.

[Corporate666]

15. Super delegates haven't been wavering. They are increasing their support

Sanders hasn't been picking up super delegates the further he falls behind HRC.

She is only 143 delegates away from the nomination now, and there are 1061 delegates left in play. She only needs 13.5% of them to get the nomination.

Bernie needs to win 86.5% of all remaining delegates to keep her from clinching the nomination.


Ain't gonna happen.


And there is really zero chance the supers are going to switch to Bernie at all. I doubt he would even get half of them if he narrowly won the pledged delegate vote, which isn't going to happen - and there is a snowballs chance in hell that he could get the vast majority of them to switch if he is trailing the pledged delegates.

It's over.

[LuvLoogie]

6. That magic number is 2026. She is 331 away.

[Jitter65]

10. she will only need a few of the supers to put her over at the convention. nt

[LuvLoogie]

17. Yep.

[Cali_Democrat]

11. LOL

Good luck, Bernie.

[Iliyah]

16. I'll say that they, GOP supporters for BS

We will win!

Go Hillary!