2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumEven though Bernie won WV last night, his chances have slipped even lower.
He needed 65%. He got 51%.
Address your complaints to rachel@msnbc.com
CentralMass
(16,994 posts)Hillary has 1,716 pledged delegates and Bernie has 1,433 with some big states still to go.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)CentralMass
(16,994 posts)JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)Technically, the nomination is not won until the convention. But we already know who will win. Reality.
CentralMass
(16,994 posts)LaydeeBug
(10,291 posts)CentralMass
(16,994 posts)Of the 3,149 delegates that have been awarded so far Hillary has 1,716 and Bernie has 1,433. So Hillary enjiys a 283 delegate lead at this point.
While the reported super delegate count commitrd so far is Hillary 524 to Bernie'Sanders 40. Bernie's 40 out of 564 superd's is 7% of the 564 while Hillary's 524 is 92.9% of the 564 superd's that have committed. Clearly a sham.
So if right now the super delegates that have committed to date had done so proportionately by the standard delegate count that each candidate has won the tally would be
Hillary 1,716 + 307 = 2,023
Bernie 1,433 + 257 = 1,690
This would be only a 333 delegate difference at this point in the race with some key states to go and since the superd's don't really commit until the convention.there is only a 283 awarded delegate count delta between the two candidates right now. Bernie can tie or surpass Hillary in standard pledged delegates before the convention and before she can secure enough standard delegates to win the nomination.
COLGATE4
(14,886 posts)Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)The percentage will increase for the next primary and again if he does not win by a large percentage then the percentage will grow again.
Sheepshank
(12,504 posts)Didn't make the goal, therefore he falls behind
QC
(26,371 posts)morningfog
(18,115 posts)He needs 65.7% of all remains pledged delegates. Really, he needs about 65% of the June 7 delegates. Just relax and enjoy the next 27 days.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)The more he struggles, the more the sands shift beneath his feet.
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