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Do you really want to risk it? (Original Post) pdsimdars May 2016 OP
In the beginning it was all about the Facebook... NCTraveler May 2016 #1
in the beginning it was all about "unelectable" tk2kewl May 2016 #19
Seems we were right. NCTraveler May 2016 #23
Since Bernie is losing by 3 million votes itsrobert May 2016 #2
It helps to look at the big picture casperthegm May 2016 #6
This message was self-deleted by its author artislife May 2016 #34
Let's just dispense with primaries, check the polls a week before our convention and pampango May 2016 #3
Screw the primaries AND the late polling! ... 1StrongBlackMan May 2016 #4
The decibel level method - I like it. Candidates stand side-by-side at the convention and pampango May 2016 #10
Delegates? ... How undemocratic! ... 1StrongBlackMan May 2016 #29
+1. nt silvershadow May 2016 #5
This is a reply to all those posts from people whining to Bernie supporters to stop fighting it pdsimdars May 2016 #7
I support Bernie he as close to FDR as we have. I agree with his policies. NOT because he leads in pampango May 2016 #17
^^^ So. Much. This. ^^^ Hiraeth May 2016 #36
+ 1 JoePhilly May 2016 #13
Yes, we the voters feel Clinton is in a much better position and yes, we are risking it. Clinton won seabeyond May 2016 #8
Indeed Stuckinthebush May 2016 #11
How can she suck so bad? I call bullshit. After the conversation, she'll gain steam. WhaTHellsgoingonhere May 2016 #9
It is BS Stuckinthebush May 2016 #12
Maybe but outside the DU bubble Clinton is almost equally despised as Trump. Just the math. n/t leeroysphitz May 2016 #15
People touting this chart never seem to note two things whatthehey May 2016 #28
How is that info supposed to be reassuring to anybody on either side? n/t leeroysphitz May 2016 #31
Either side of what? whatthehey May 2016 #35
It isn't. Hiraeth May 2016 #37
GW Bush has one of the lowest Unfavorables? Sheepshank May 2016 #42
when has she ever gone UP in the polls? MisterP May 2016 #45
Risk Bernie as the nominee? No. Adrahil May 2016 #14
Do you mean like Hillarity has? timmymoff May 2016 #22
+1 lol Yeah she's a real closer, isn't she? leeroysphitz May 2016 #32
Yes. They do. nt LWolf May 2016 #16
YES because They're With HER ... NO MATTER WHAT! Triana May 2016 #18
Someday, Sanders fans will cease pummeling the equine carcass Tarc May 2016 #20
Yet Hillary fans will blame Bernie supporters if she loses MillennialDem May 2016 #21
And they will be wrong on that too. -none May 2016 #39
Let's look at the polls after Bernie has been thoroughly vetted. kstewart33 May 2016 #24
Hillary's vetting is still in progress if you haven't heard. Results of which may come brewens May 2016 #30
And Bernie's vetting? kstewart33 May 2016 #33
Let's look at the polls Mz Pip May 2016 #38
At what point will the Bern Squad admit the humongous fallacy of this argument? BootinUp May 2016 #25
A Hillary supporter telling people to come out of the bubble . . . . Now THAT is rich. pdsimdars May 2016 #43
And how did that address the fallacy of the OP? BootinUp May 2016 #44
You think this sort of thing makes any of us consider Demsrule86 May 2016 #48
If we choose the weaker candidate, all the more reason why you must support her. Actor May 2016 #26
Hillary Clinton will never be President... NewImproved Deal May 2016 #27
I wonder when President Trump will start up Gladiatorial Games. Katashi_itto May 2016 #40
My real worry would be a Sanders/Trump match up Sheepshank May 2016 #41
It's too late. The voters have made their choice. hack89 May 2016 #46
No Demsrule86 May 2016 #47
 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
1. In the beginning it was all about the Facebook...
Fri May 13, 2016, 06:29 AM
May 2016

Polls and fuck what the corporate media was putting out.

Now there is talk about subverting the will of the people because of the corporate media.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
23. Seems we were right.
Fri May 13, 2016, 09:39 AM
May 2016

Clinton is ahead millions of votes and can't be caught in delegate count.

Solid point.

casperthegm

(643 posts)
6. It helps to look at the big picture
Fri May 13, 2016, 08:15 AM
May 2016

I'm not disputing your numbers. They are what they are.

National polls consistently show Sanders beating Trump and the difference is stark. Those numbers are a fact as well. And that is what matters in the end, as we are trying to get the candidate with the best chance to beat Trump in the WH, correct?


Btw, a big reason that Sanders outperforms Clinton vs Trump is he gets a large portion of the independent vote. You know, those millions of people (the largest voting block in the US) that the DNC typically tries to exclude from the primary process and alienate? Yeah, those folks...

Response to itsrobert (Reply #2)

pampango

(24,692 posts)
3. Let's just dispense with primaries, check the polls a week before our convention and
Fri May 13, 2016, 07:59 AM
May 2016

then have a bunch of super-delegates select our nominee based on who is most like to win the GE.

We could even temporarily repeal a smoking ban at the convention so that we could have politicians in smoke-filled rooms deciding who our candidate will be.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
4. Screw the primaries AND the late polling! ...
Fri May 13, 2016, 08:06 AM
May 2016

let's just Let's just measure the decibel levels of the crowd!

pampango

(24,692 posts)
10. The decibel level method - I like it. Candidates stand side-by-side at the convention and
Fri May 13, 2016, 08:23 AM
May 2016

delegates take turns making noise for their favorite candidate - kind of like talent shows on TV in the "good ol' days".

Of course, one problem is that it would favor candidates supported by young people with healthy lungs and make it tough on those with older delegates at the convention.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
29. Delegates? ... How undemocratic! ...
Fri May 13, 2016, 10:10 AM
May 2016

Just open the doors and let EVERYONE in ... and if the crowd is too big for the hall ... put a measuring device in the parking lot, too!

 

pdsimdars

(6,007 posts)
7. This is a reply to all those posts from people whining to Bernie supporters to stop fighting it
Fri May 13, 2016, 08:16 AM
May 2016

and support Clinton. I'm asking them, if they are really serious about not wanting Trump as president, maybe they should start supporting Bernie, the most electable candidate.

Sounds like you really missed the point.

pampango

(24,692 posts)
17. I support Bernie he as close to FDR as we have. I agree with his policies. NOT because he leads in
Fri May 13, 2016, 08:32 AM
May 2016

GE polls, IOW, NOT because he is a 'winner' (to steal a Trumpism). (For a long time I supported Bernie when he was not the leader in GE polls and would not change my support if Hillary became the leader.)

The republican base is apparently attracted to 'winners'. I prefer liberals if given a choice. On a liberal scale of 0-10, Trump is a 0 (Pat Buchanan with more hair), Hillary a 7 (good on immigration, climate change, social policies, etc.), Bernie a 10 (good at all that and more).

http://www.democraticunderground.com?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1953367

... if they are really serious about not wanting Trump as president, maybe they should start supporting Bernie, the most electable candidate.

And if Hillary polled better in the GE polls at this point rather than Bernie, would your 'revised' statement be accurate?

... if they (Bernie supporters) are really serious about not wanting Trump as president, maybe they should start supporting Hillary, the most electable candidate.

If that is how you would feel if Hillary polled stronger than Bernie in the GE, then we fundamentally disagree on the reasons why we support a candidate - their policies and what they stand for vs whether they are a 'winner' or not.

If you are in it for the Blue team to beat the Red team, that is fine. I want the Red team to lose too.
 

seabeyond

(110,159 posts)
8. Yes, we the voters feel Clinton is in a much better position and yes, we are risking it. Clinton won
Fri May 13, 2016, 08:16 AM
May 2016

the primary and will be the one in GE.

Stuckinthebush

(10,844 posts)
11. Indeed
Fri May 13, 2016, 08:24 AM
May 2016

All of this talk about who does better against trump is now academic. It really doesn't matter because he has lost. There is no way for Bernie to win. It's over

The denial is deep.

 

WhaTHellsgoingonhere

(5,252 posts)
9. How can she suck so bad? I call bullshit. After the conversation, she'll gain steam.
Fri May 13, 2016, 08:18 AM
May 2016

Last edited Fri May 13, 2016, 01:57 PM - Edit history (1)

Edit: convention

 

leeroysphitz

(10,462 posts)
15. Maybe but outside the DU bubble Clinton is almost equally despised as Trump. Just the math. n/t
Fri May 13, 2016, 08:27 AM
May 2016
?quality=90&strip=all&w=575&ssl=1

whatthehey

(3,660 posts)
28. People touting this chart never seem to note two things
Fri May 13, 2016, 10:09 AM
May 2016

1) Trump has far higher unfavorables

2) In almost all recent elections, the higher unfavorable has won.

whatthehey

(3,660 posts)
35. Either side of what?
Fri May 13, 2016, 10:28 AM
May 2016

In any event it's not supposed to be reassurance. It's supposed to be inference from data presented. If you seek reassurance, you may want to consider the following though:

Clearly, high unfavorables are not the be all and end all of electability.

Trump's unfavorables are however truly unprecedented and likely to have a higher impact than usual.

No Rep candidate in well over a generation has won without a sizeable portion of the Hispanic demographic, which is growing and registering new voters rapidly. No more than 13% of Hispanics state they even might vote for Trump. GWB won, at least officially and only in the EV and then not by much, with over 40%.

Women have long tilted Dem, and electing the first woman POTUS is likely to increase that tilt.

We don't have a popular vote election. Trump would have to flip several Blue states to win, and keep all Red ones despite some horrendous showings in mainstays like MO, GA and even redder than red UT. It's possible I suppose but at this point looks unlikely in the extreme unless, at a minimum, Trump finds a handler with enough force of personality to drill presidential attributes into his insecure frat boy braggadocio-bloated head, AND Clinton has serious, not trivial, stumbles in the campaign.

And to make this primary related, consider that unfavorables are a function of attacks, which Clinton has seen from the Republicans for a quarter century. Trump himself says he hasn't even started on Sanders yet. Neither have the rest of the VRWC. If unfavorables are your thing, to pretend Sanders' wouldn't skyrocket with 5 months of red-baiting, pecadillo mocking, loyalty-questioning mud is blissful naivete in the extreme. Clinton will get the same of course, but the difference is she already has.

 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
42. GW Bush has one of the lowest Unfavorables?
Fri May 13, 2016, 11:39 AM
May 2016

so what is the point of this chart?...it represents electability and governing ability? Apparently not, and there's a good reason those numbers are not reflected the in 3,000,000 vote lead and 100's of Delegate lead, Hillary is enjoying.

-none

(1,884 posts)
39. And they will be wrong on that too.
Fri May 13, 2016, 10:57 AM
May 2016

Hillary, along with Debbie DINO always blame anyone but themselves for their failures.

kstewart33

(6,551 posts)
24. Let's look at the polls after Bernie has been thoroughly vetted.
Fri May 13, 2016, 09:57 AM
May 2016

Hasn't happened and won't happen because Clinton has the nomination.

But the vetting content and poll results surely would be interesting.

brewens

(13,566 posts)
30. Hillary's vetting is still in progress if you haven't heard. Results of which may come
Fri May 13, 2016, 10:11 AM
May 2016

down on her soon.

Mz Pip

(27,436 posts)
38. Let's look at the polls
Fri May 13, 2016, 10:39 AM
May 2016

after the gazillion dollar negative ad campaign that Trump will run against Bernie. He'll be portrayed as an old quack who sees himself as a modern day Castro. None of it would be true but when has that ever been a factor in political ads?

The GOP have ignored Sanders. Basing polls on pre attack ad opinions is not valid.

BootinUp

(47,139 posts)
25. At what point will the Bern Squad admit the humongous fallacy of this argument?
Fri May 13, 2016, 09:59 AM
May 2016

Come out of the bubble already.

 

pdsimdars

(6,007 posts)
43. A Hillary supporter telling people to come out of the bubble . . . . Now THAT is rich.
Fri May 13, 2016, 12:03 PM
May 2016

Pot . . . Kettle. . . much.




.

Demsrule86

(68,539 posts)
48. You think this sort of thing makes any of us consider
Fri May 13, 2016, 09:02 PM
May 2016

supporting your candidate who by the way has lost the nomination..it is almost the end of the zombie primary...and even with Bernies GOP buddies voting for him now that Trump sewed up the nomination won't change that.

 

NewImproved Deal

(534 posts)
27. Hillary Clinton will never be President...
Fri May 13, 2016, 10:06 AM
May 2016

Why allow the Clinton Machine to drag down the entire Party with this Vanity Campaign?

[link:|

 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
41. My real worry would be a Sanders/Trump match up
Fri May 13, 2016, 11:35 AM
May 2016

and all of the Bernie vetting (that so far has been negligable), hitting the air waves with the force of a tsunami.

hack89

(39,171 posts)
46. It's too late. The voters have made their choice.
Fri May 13, 2016, 01:58 PM
May 2016

are you suggesting we ignore the will of the voters?

Demsrule86

(68,539 posts)
47. No
Fri May 13, 2016, 08:59 PM
May 2016

I think I will stay with the winner who beat the loser like a drum during the primary...and not give him the nomination because he was unable to earn it with the voters. Sorry, overturning the vote is morally reprehensible.

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