2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDo you really want to risk it?
Where are all those people so worried about a Trump Presidency?Look at the facts.
Anyone seriously worried would not choose the weaker candidate. Period.
(saw this on twitter)
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Polls and fuck what the corporate media was putting out.
Now there is talk about subverting the will of the people because of the corporate media.
tk2kewl
(18,133 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Clinton is ahead millions of votes and can't be caught in delegate count.
Solid point.
itsrobert
(14,157 posts)He is definitely the weaker candidate.
casperthegm
(643 posts)I'm not disputing your numbers. They are what they are.
National polls consistently show Sanders beating Trump and the difference is stark. Those numbers are a fact as well. And that is what matters in the end, as we are trying to get the candidate with the best chance to beat Trump in the WH, correct?
Btw, a big reason that Sanders outperforms Clinton vs Trump is he gets a large portion of the independent vote. You know, those millions of people (the largest voting block in the US) that the DNC typically tries to exclude from the primary process and alienate? Yeah, those folks...
Response to itsrobert (Reply #2)
artislife This message was self-deleted by its author.
pampango
(24,692 posts)then have a bunch of super-delegates select our nominee based on who is most like to win the GE.
We could even temporarily repeal a smoking ban at the convention so that we could have politicians in smoke-filled rooms deciding who our candidate will be.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)let's just Let's just measure the decibel levels of the crowd!
pampango
(24,692 posts)delegates take turns making noise for their favorite candidate - kind of like talent shows on TV in the "good ol' days".
Of course, one problem is that it would favor candidates supported by young people with healthy lungs and make it tough on those with older delegates at the convention.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)Just open the doors and let EVERYONE in ... and if the crowd is too big for the hall ... put a measuring device in the parking lot, too!
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)and support Clinton. I'm asking them, if they are really serious about not wanting Trump as president, maybe they should start supporting Bernie, the most electable candidate.
Sounds like you really missed the point.
pampango
(24,692 posts)GE polls, IOW, NOT because he is a 'winner' (to steal a Trumpism). (For a long time I supported Bernie when he was not the leader in GE polls and would not change my support if Hillary became the leader.)
The republican base is apparently attracted to 'winners'. I prefer liberals if given a choice. On a liberal scale of 0-10, Trump is a 0 (Pat Buchanan with more hair), Hillary a 7 (good on immigration, climate change, social policies, etc.), Bernie a 10 (good at all that and more).
http://www.democraticunderground.com?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1953367
And if Hillary polled better in the GE polls at this point rather than Bernie, would your 'revised' statement be accurate?
... if they (Bernie supporters) are really serious about not wanting Trump as president, maybe they should start supporting Hillary, the most electable candidate.
If that is how you would feel if Hillary polled stronger than Bernie in the GE, then we fundamentally disagree on the reasons why we support a candidate - their policies and what they stand for vs whether they are a 'winner' or not.
If you are in it for the Blue team to beat the Red team, that is fine. I want the Red team to lose too.
Hiraeth
(4,805 posts)seabeyond
(110,159 posts)the primary and will be the one in GE.
Stuckinthebush
(10,844 posts)All of this talk about who does better against trump is now academic. It really doesn't matter because he has lost. There is no way for Bernie to win. It's over
The denial is deep.
WhaTHellsgoingonhere
(5,252 posts)Last edited Fri May 13, 2016, 01:57 PM - Edit history (1)
Edit: convention
Stuckinthebush
(10,844 posts)No worries.
leeroysphitz
(10,462 posts)whatthehey
(3,660 posts)1) Trump has far higher unfavorables
2) In almost all recent elections, the higher unfavorable has won.
leeroysphitz
(10,462 posts)whatthehey
(3,660 posts)In any event it's not supposed to be reassurance. It's supposed to be inference from data presented. If you seek reassurance, you may want to consider the following though:
Clearly, high unfavorables are not the be all and end all of electability.
Trump's unfavorables are however truly unprecedented and likely to have a higher impact than usual.
No Rep candidate in well over a generation has won without a sizeable portion of the Hispanic demographic, which is growing and registering new voters rapidly. No more than 13% of Hispanics state they even might vote for Trump. GWB won, at least officially and only in the EV and then not by much, with over 40%.
Women have long tilted Dem, and electing the first woman POTUS is likely to increase that tilt.
We don't have a popular vote election. Trump would have to flip several Blue states to win, and keep all Red ones despite some horrendous showings in mainstays like MO, GA and even redder than red UT. It's possible I suppose but at this point looks unlikely in the extreme unless, at a minimum, Trump finds a handler with enough force of personality to drill presidential attributes into his insecure frat boy braggadocio-bloated head, AND Clinton has serious, not trivial, stumbles in the campaign.
And to make this primary related, consider that unfavorables are a function of attacks, which Clinton has seen from the Republicans for a quarter century. Trump himself says he hasn't even started on Sanders yet. Neither have the rest of the VRWC. If unfavorables are your thing, to pretend Sanders' wouldn't skyrocket with 5 months of red-baiting, pecadillo mocking, loyalty-questioning mud is blissful naivete in the extreme. Clinton will get the same of course, but the difference is she already has.
Hiraeth
(4,805 posts)Sheepshank
(12,504 posts)so what is the point of this chart?...it represents electability and governing ability? Apparently not, and there's a good reason those numbers are not reflected the in 3,000,000 vote lead and 100's of Delegate lead, Hillary is enjoying.
MisterP
(23,730 posts)Adrahil
(13,340 posts)IMO, Donals Trump would chew him up,and spit him out.
timmymoff
(1,947 posts)oh never mind.
leeroysphitz
(10,462 posts)LWolf
(46,179 posts)Triana
(22,666 posts)EVEN HILLARY ADMITS Trump can easily beat her in key states:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511950795
Tarc
(10,476 posts)MillennialDem
(2,367 posts)-none
(1,884 posts)Hillary, along with Debbie DINO always blame anyone but themselves for their failures.
kstewart33
(6,551 posts)Hasn't happened and won't happen because Clinton has the nomination.
But the vetting content and poll results surely would be interesting.
brewens
(13,566 posts)down on her soon.
kstewart33
(6,551 posts)His hasn't even started. Why is that, do you think?
Mz Pip
(27,436 posts)after the gazillion dollar negative ad campaign that Trump will run against Bernie. He'll be portrayed as an old quack who sees himself as a modern day Castro. None of it would be true but when has that ever been a factor in political ads?
The GOP have ignored Sanders. Basing polls on pre attack ad opinions is not valid.
BootinUp
(47,139 posts)Come out of the bubble already.
pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)Pot . . . Kettle. . . much.
.
BootinUp
(47,139 posts)Demsrule86
(68,539 posts)supporting your candidate who by the way has lost the nomination..it is almost the end of the zombie primary...and even with Bernies GOP buddies voting for him now that Trump sewed up the nomination won't change that.
Actor
(626 posts)NewImproved Deal
(534 posts)Why allow the Clinton Machine to drag down the entire Party with this Vanity Campaign?
[link:|
Katashi_itto
(10,175 posts)Maybe build a coliseum in Las Vegas.
Sheepshank
(12,504 posts)and all of the Bernie vetting (that so far has been negligable), hitting the air waves with the force of a tsunami.
hack89
(39,171 posts)are you suggesting we ignore the will of the voters?
Demsrule86
(68,539 posts)I think I will stay with the winner who beat the loser like a drum during the primary...and not give him the nomination because he was unable to earn it with the voters. Sorry, overturning the vote is morally reprehensible.