2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumOregon voting information, as per Benchmark
https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/731495854763184128According to Benchmark today, turnout so far in Oregon has been heaviest in the oldest areas, and Portland (the Bernie stronghold) is the lowest in the state on the Democratic side.
It may or may not mean anything, but it does point to that poll showing Hillary ahead not being as crazy as it first looked. It's hard to see that poll, and this data, and see a win Bernie win by the margins he needs.
SheilaT
(23,156 posts)How in the world is turnout being measured?
Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)and it is very similar to measures at this point in time in 08, most of the ballots come in at the last minute. 25% are in at this point.
Arugula Latte
(50,566 posts)They can drop their ballots off at drop sites in the few days before the election (when it would be too late to put it in the mail). Historically we've been more apt to procrastinate here in the city (although personally I did get mine into the mail on time).
KPN
(15,642 posts)Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)That site calls these numbers 'turnout stats' but they are not, they are statistics about the number of ballots returned thus far. By percentage slightly under 08's record breaker but the raw number of potential voters is higher so numerically this cycle is behaving the same as 08 at this point in time.
You can't talk about turnout when it's still in process. That benchmark guy is making a big deal out of absolutely nothing at all.
LWolf
(46,179 posts)I'm excited to have it count for Bernie.