2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIf Hillary And Bernie were to both be in the GE, Bernie would beat her hands down.
Bernie would not only take Democrat supporters with him but he would take massive Independent votes. The only reason he is behind Hillary Clinton is primary shenanigans and closed primaries. Once the Independents can vote and the Democrat join together Hillary Clinton would be the loser. The Independents are very important in this race and so far they are in the Bernie Sanders camp. Going against Trump...that will make a huge difference.
YouDig
(2,280 posts)Seeinghope
(786 posts)open Bernie Sanders would be the winner... If we could get by the primary shenanigans.
YouDig
(2,280 posts)mythology
(9,527 posts)Clinton has won far more open primaries than Sanders has. It's actually not even close. Sanders has won 4 open primaries and Clinton has won 11 open primaries.
Sanders does well in caucuses and states that have low black or Hispanic populations. I'm sorry if you don't like those facts, but they are what they are.
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)Obama lost the independent vote in 2012 but still won re-election in an electoral college landslide. About half of Tea Party members self-identify as "independent." Many independents, if not most, are actually party loyalists.
Clinton is winning the nomination by way of the Obama Coalition. And that's also how she'll win in November.
Starry Messenger
(32,381 posts)Response to Starry Messenger (Reply #2)
artislife This message was self-deleted by its author.
Starry Messenger
(32,381 posts)In all seriousness, I think some of you have misjudged how many people are willing to carry her over the finish to keep up the Obama movement. But I know many of you see otherwise, hopefully some will actually be happy to be proved wrong.
Response to Starry Messenger (Reply #15)
artislife This message was self-deleted by its author.
Starry Messenger
(32,381 posts)Oh well.
Response to Starry Messenger (Reply #31)
artislife This message was self-deleted by its author.
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)Clinton is much more likely than Trump (or anyone else) to reach 270 electoral college votes.
PufPuf23
(9,855 posts)and prove your lack of care about the Democratic party and nation.
This will be true even if Hillary Clinton becomes POTUS.
Starry Messenger
(32,381 posts)I have no idea which history you think will prove me wrong, as I thought she'd win the primary, and she is winning it.
Your personal attacks over my lack of care, noted.
oasis
(53,694 posts)one of more important issues of the GE.
Starry Messenger
(32,381 posts)One of the biggest, I should have put it in. Thank you!
Response to oasis (Reply #32)
artislife This message was self-deleted by its author.
oasis
(53,694 posts)One thing we know for sure, Bernie won't be doing the picking.
Response to oasis (Reply #37)
artislife This message was self-deleted by its author.
oasis
(53,694 posts)General Discussion will be having a party. You're welcome to join in.
Response to oasis (Reply #40)
artislife This message was self-deleted by its author.
msongs
(73,754 posts)show up
PowerToThePeople
(9,610 posts)LuvLoogie
(8,815 posts)Skwmom
(12,685 posts)LuvLoogie
(8,815 posts)If you can't decide whether you are a Democrat or a Republican during a Presidential election season, then you're a hedger.
It's the Democratic party primary where the Democratic candidate is chosen. Who wins the actual office is decided in November. All general elections for the actual office are open.
Starry Messenger
(32,381 posts)and wouldn't vote anyway.
Response to PowerToThePeople (Reply #4)
artislife This message was self-deleted by its author.
SFnomad
(3,473 posts)Response to PowerToThePeople (Reply #4)
Post removed
enid602
(9,686 posts)Your fantady is half right; she'll be in thr GE.
JaneyVee
(19,877 posts)RobertEarl
(13,685 posts)Hands down, Bernie wins a fair match of real democracy. What we are dealing with now is a limited and tightly controlled voting process.
seabeyond
(110,159 posts)KingFlorez
(12,689 posts)That's very nice.
Whimsey
(236 posts)Republicans are not going to vote for a socialist.
Seeinghope
(786 posts)Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)I could at least go to sleep each night not worrying about nuclear bombs in the tiny hands of Donald Trump
PufPuf23
(9,855 posts)Context for the Kentucky primary today and also the 2016 campaign in general.
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/05/20/primary.wrap/
Note the article is 5/20/2008. I recommend read the entire article, it is short.
Some excerpts:
Hillary Clinton won Kentucky by 30%
From the article:
Neither candidate is expected to reach the 2,026 delegates needed to win the Democratic nomination.
That means the race is likely to be settled by "super-delegates" -- party leaders and officials who will cast votes at the Democratic convention in August.
After Kentucky's results came in, Clinton thanked her supporters for handing her a win "even in the face of some pretty tough odds."
"Tonight we have achieved an important victory," she said in Louisville.
Clinton beat Obama across all age groups, income groups and education levels in Kentucky.
"It's not just Kentucky bluegrass that's music to my ears. It's the sound of your overwhelming vote of confidence even in the face of some pretty tough odds."
Two-thirds of Clinton's supporters there said they would vote Republican or not vote at all rather than for Obama, according to the polls.
Forty-one percent of Clinton supporters said they'd cast their vote for McCain, and 23 percent said they would not vote at all.
----------------------
Thanks again for the context XemaSab
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)
Zambero
(9,990 posts)I would enthusiastically support Sanders if he was to win the nomination. But make no mistake about it. Hillary's quarter of a century of non-stop demonization by the right-wing media is the sort of baggage that Bernie does not have to contend with. IF he was the Democratic nominee, the non-stop attacks and "vetting" would ensue with a vengeance. Commie-Pinko-Socialist 24/7 would be the drumbeat of the day. And the low-hanging fruit would be picking off independents who might have considered voting for Bernie at some point. The right has not bothered with this to any great extent because they do not see him as the eventual nominee, so they are not wasting their time, focus, and money when Hillary is their presumptive villain. Projecting Bernie's effectiveness with independent voters at this point absent the type of negative campaign that he would be subject to represents an inconclusive analysis at best.
George II
(67,782 posts)Response to Seeinghope (Original post)
rjsquirrel This message was self-deleted by its author.
Time for change
(13,737 posts)Democrats make up only 29% of the electorate, and it's going down, and hundreds of thousands of legally registered Democrats who were judged to be likely to vote Sanders were purged.
Whimsey
(236 posts)Voter purging is not done by the party. It's done by elected officials. In our county the county clerk's office is in charge of verifying registrations, and purges voters whose notices come back undelivered. Party affiliation has nothing to do with it.
Registering for a party takes affirmative action on behalf of a voter. Look at Oregon. They automatically enroll persons as voters at the DMV, but they do not assign them a party. The voters have to take that additional step themselves.
Before this election, I just knew my state's rules. Now we all know they vary state to state. You really just need to know the rules in the state you are voting in. Once you know the rules you register and keep on top of staying on the voting rolls. And finding out what the parties rules for registering as a party member are.
Time for change
(13,737 posts)was the voters' fault for not checking every day to see if they were still registered? You actually believe that BOEs have the legal and moral right to purge legally registered voters for no reason whatsoever other than to help a particular candidate win the election?
ViseGrip
(3,133 posts)Time for change
(13,737 posts)And I bet he'd beat her and Trump together in a 3 way race. That possibility needs to be explored.
ContinentalOp
(5,356 posts)If it were a three way race between Sanders, Clinton, and Trump, the left would be split and Trump would obviously win. If it were a heads up race between Bernie and Hillary she would crush him, just as she has done in the primary. Republicans may hate Clinton but if they were forced to choose between Clinton and Sanders it's absurd to think the majority of conservatives would pick the self proclaimed socialist who wants to raise taxes!
Jim Lane
(11,175 posts)Bernie and Hillary would each have their adherents, of course. What would make the difference would be the millions of people who vote primarily or exclusively on the basis of party loyalty.