New Bernie/Hillary Poll

[jamese777]

CBS News/New York Times Poll. May 13-17, 2016. N=371 Democratic primary voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 6.

"Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate for president in 2016?" Options rotated
5/13-17/16
Hillary Clinton: 51%
Bernie Sanders: 44%
http://www.pollingreport.com/wh16dem.htm

[riversedge]

1. national poll between two Democrats-->Hillary up 7pts.

[ciaobaby]

2. 42% identify as independents, 29% as Democrats, 26% as Republicans

problem is independents VOTE !!!!!!
so this poll is basically useless.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/188096/democratic-republican-identification-near-historical-lows.aspx

[jamese777]

5. The poll isn't useless

for states with closed primaries where independents won't be voting in the states that haven't held elections yet.

In 2012 Mitt Romney won 55% of the votes of independents to Obama's 42%, yet Obama beat Romney by 5 million votes.

[FourScore]

3. Yeah, that's the DEMOCRATIC primary voters. Throw the independent voters into the mix and you

get totally different results. Look at the oregon map for example, where indies were allowed to vote.

And the one county she won in, she only got one vote more than Bernie!

http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/may/17/primary-results-kentucky-oregon-election-2016

[floppyboo]

4. I'm pretty sure you had to be registered democrat to vote in Oregon. WA on the other hand!!!

Landslide!

[Lizzie Poppet]

6. Actually, it was a closed primary here in Oregon.

And Bernie still dominated. I'd expect nothing less of my state, though...

[FourScore]

7. Very cool!! I thought it was open!

[jamese777]

8. Remaining Democratic Contests

Virgin Islands Caucuses: Open
Puerto Rico Primary: Open
California Primary: Mixed
Montana: Open
New Jersey: Mixed
New Mexico: Closed
North Dakota Caucuses: Closed
South Dakota Primary: Closed
Washington D.C. Primary: Closed