2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHere's why I still think Bernie Sanders should be the nominee...
It's a tall order for him to become the nominee, but I still think he should be for following reasons:
1. We are coming off of two terms of a democrat. People want something different and unfortunately the bigger-than-life, reality-talk-show-starring, successful businessman would be that. Bernie Sanders can also fill that role.
2. I don't feel like the democratic primary voters have had enough fair exposure to Bernie Sanders message to call the primary representative of the people. Most of his exposure has been on New Media. That may be enough eventually, but not quite yet.
3. Most, if not all, Hillary Clinton voters would vote for Bernie Sanders, but I'm not sure the reverse is true. Sanders would probably bring in some new independents and even republicans.
4. Hillary Clinton, a household name with full backing from all traditional sources has struggled against a no-name, independent, democratic socialist mostly because he is being honest and unapologetic about fielding a platform that pretty much defines progressive goals.
I respect Hillary Clinton and would really like to see the US elect its first woman president, but Bernie Sanders is a unique candidate and this election may also be unique.
RealAmericanDem
(221 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)She won more votes.
tom-servo
(185 posts)... she really should have much more of a lead, shouldn't she?
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)If Team A beats Team B by thirteen points when they "should have" won by twenty points should Team B be given the victory?
tom-servo
(185 posts)... than a sporting event.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)yardwork
(61,536 posts)The Democratic Party chooses the nominee with the most votes. Millions more people have voted for Hillary instead of Bernie.
Who are you suggesting should step in and overturn the will of the majority of voters?
tom-servo
(185 posts)yardwork
(61,536 posts)Hint - calling them repeatedly in the middle of the night and leaving threatening voice mail messages if they don't vote the way you think they should might be counter productive.
When they finish their investigation into her illegal use of her private server for classified documents, for her job as SoS
leftinportland
(247 posts)Delegates count and at the moment not all of them have been accounted for. You know, at least you should know, as wel as I, no Super delegate has voted and will NOT vote until the convention.
Believe it or not the final nominee could be someone not currently in the running. So all your talk of this being over because Hillary has more votes is just a lot of talk.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)If it's a lot of talk put your money where your mouth is. I will... A one hundred dollar donation to the charity of the winner choice's ... I will take Hillary.
leftinportland
(247 posts)Make it $10 and you're on...even though I support Bernie, my money is on 'anyone other than Clinton or Sanders'.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)Please shoot me a pm on 11/9. I will even verify the contribution. Charity is good.
leftinportland
(247 posts)This is the primary race and who the Dem nominee will be...yes? I'll PM you after the Convention...
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)This is even easier... Sure... Please remind me... If I win I will let you go double or nothing in the GE.
tritsofme
(17,367 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)... it means that his campaign is a significant force in the current election and the party leadership should consider carefully what they do with it.
Arkansas Granny
(31,506 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)... that the party wants to be able select a good candidate using the primary results as a guide. The democratic party isn't a governmental body. I'm not sure I agree with that, but that's not really my point.
Arkansas Granny
(31,506 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)...that as long as the party admits to not being "democratic" by the existence of superdelegates, they might as well use them to select a better candidate.
Arkansas Granny
(31,506 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)pangaia
(24,324 posts)... I think maybe the "known" candidate is about to be selected, not the "best" candidate. There are a lot of people that don't like "known" democratic candidates.
appalachiablue
(41,102 posts)for the New Media is the truth. And it's a damn shame but won't hold him back.
K & R
tom-servo
(185 posts)...he's done exceedingly well with New Media, and I hope that continues.
appalachiablue
(41,102 posts)lunamagica
(9,967 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)... I meant to the general public. I didn't know who he was.
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)than Obama was with her.
This primary is not even close
asuhornets
(2,405 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Thank you DSB
tom-servo
(185 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Well there was the Berner shenanigans in Nevada but Hillary got her fair share there in the end so all is good.
tom-servo
(185 posts)...the party leadership wanted Hillary Clinton and pushed hard for her. That's why she's winning. I think the the party leadership should rethink it, given the extraordinary success of Bernie Sanders.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Do you want a return to the smoke filled backrooms where TPTB (old rich white men of course) pick who gets the nomination and the popular vote be dammed?
Oh hell naw.
I see all this whining about Sanders deserving the nomination as a blatant attempt to disenfranchise the base of the democratic party frankly and it makes me sick.
tom-servo
(185 posts)...but the rooms aren't smoked-filled, they are very clean and well-catered and participants have a lot of money.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Who paid the 3 million voters that Hillary is ahead by?
I voted for her and I sure as hell didn't receive any compensation for it.
You can place blame for those 3 million anywhere it feels good to you but the fact remains that millions more democrats want Hillary as our candidate vs Bernie.
Seems to me Bern fans should be trying to get his views and programs in front of the party and advocate for them instead of beating your heads against the wall for a lost cause.
tom-servo
(185 posts)...I agree with that, but the nominee hasn't been selected yet. Why should they stop trying?
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)I do wish his attacks against fellow democrats would end though.
There is a fascist monster out there running on the republican ticket.
How about directing that fire toward him?
tom-servo
(185 posts)... should stop trying to get him the nomination.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)I also wish I'd win the powerball
Really at this point its probably up to Sanders supporters, moneywise, so to speak.
Todays_Illusion
(1,209 posts)dirty trick after another. I don't see how anyone would vote for such a deceitful and corrupt candidate.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)Yeah, she stole data from her opponent, her supporters impersonated union members, her campaign is plagued by financial campaign contribution irregularities, and she claimed to have important newspaper and group endorsements she never had.
Wait. That's her opponent.
Todays_Illusion
(1,209 posts)And really what is the point posting that.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/onpolitics/2016/02/26/bernie-sanders-campaign-contributions/80999298/
http://www.politifact.com/new-hampshire/statements/2016/feb/04/bernie-s/bernie-sanders-ad-claims-endorsements-valley-news-/
http://www.snopes.com/bernie-sanders-campaign-data-breach-controversy/
Todays_Illusion
(1,209 posts)From your Snopes link:
>WHAT'S FALSE: The data were accessed over a lengthy period; the data were "exported" or otherwise extracted; the data were of high value to the Sanders campaign.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)I cited data pilfering, campaign finance irregularities, impersonating union members, and falsely claiming endorsements.
Anybody can see by the links three of the allegations have been substantiated and one is in dispute.
Todays_Illusion
(1,209 posts)As for the union thing, impersonating union members. LOL
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)Three allegations that were proven true and one that is in dispute. I would encourage readers to lean more about the allegation in dispute.
CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)"Hasn't had enough fair exposure"?
His rallies have been covered on cable second only to Donald Trump. Hillary gets a fraction of the attention with the networks that Bernie does, and rarely in any positive light.
Bernie has also appeared on the Sunday shows more than ANY other candidate on either side. If that's not 'fair exposure', I don't know what it.
Between the debates, cable news, and he and his campaign staff being on tv nearly every day of this process, I think it's fair to say anyone who's been paying attention has heard plenty to know whether they like Bernie or not.
tom-servo
(185 posts)... Hillary Clinton is the real candidate, and I don't think his rallies have gotten nearly enough attention.
MyNameGoesHere
(7,638 posts)Or he could have been a candidate that had more than one line. Which do you think?
tom-servo
(185 posts)... would have helped him immensely. At least I would feel better about the result if I thought that Senator Sanders and Hillary Clinton had an equal hearing. I just don't feel that that's the case. Maybe a better "campaign" organization would have helped, but they have done amazing things given their handicaps.
MyNameGoesHere
(7,638 posts)candidate. One tone Sanders didn't resonate as much as you thought he did.
Henhouse
(646 posts)after the first few contests he stopped the rallies. Big rallies, as Sander has discovered, do not translate to votes.
tom-servo
(185 posts)...I think they are good if you want to spread a message to the people.
pangaia
(24,324 posts)Short term memory... the proverbial 6 second attention span.
I almost makes me laugh..
CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)...but every one that I've seen attempted to paint Hillary Clinton as the obvious candidate and him as a gutsy, but slightly pathetic long shot. That's hardly equal footing.
NewHampshiriteGuy
(95 posts)So, let's invalidate the primary process and the votes cast in order to nominate a candidate, for all his virtues, who won fewer votes?
And how is that democratic?
So, let's just let the party pick a candidate based on who is the most different and least well known?
I'm not trying to be dismissive, but I just don't see the logic in this.
Hiraeth
(4,805 posts)that is what we should do. we should hold a fair and responsible convention and let dissenting voices be heard.
This is the time when we are supposed to be arguing among ourselves.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)Isn't that what happens when authoritarian regimes lose elections?
greatauntoftriplets
(175,728 posts)Yeah, I don't get it either. It's rather like what the Supremes did for GW Bush in 2000. I don't want a repeat of that.
tom-servo
(185 posts)...but the race is close enough to consider the question of whether a candidate with a weak majority should be prevented from being a nominee.
Arkansas Granny
(31,506 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)I think Hillary Clinton should have slaughtered Bernie Sanders. The fact that she hasn't is telling.
yardwork
(61,536 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)griffi94
(3,733 posts)Hillary is ahead by hundreds of pledged delegates.
It's pretty clear.
That's not open to interpretation.
The larger number is just larger.
The one with the largest number wins.
It's pretty simple really.
tom-servo
(185 posts)... there would have been very long odds on Sanders being this close to her by now. Sorry, that matters.
Fresh_Start
(11,330 posts)on experience on the national level....
and he beat Clinton
so your argument about they started unequal really doesn't hold much water
tom-servo
(185 posts)...I had heard of him and I hadn't really been paying much attention. Bernie Sanders seems very different to me.
griffi94
(3,733 posts)and a few other of Bernies more breathless supporters.
She's the stronger candidate to the majority.
You can accept that or not but your opinion has no effect on reality.
Kinda of the same way the Bundy Militia doesn't accept that
the Federal Governtment has authority over Federal lands.
Their opinion in no way effected reality either.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)3 million more votes to date and 200 plus delegates = asskicking in my book.
tom-servo
(185 posts)...When you compare the initial advantages and disadvantages of each candidate, Hillary Clinton "held on" instead of "kicked ass".
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)"Held on" by 270 more delegates LOL
Oh wait! I know that this is!!
For a WOMAN to be successful..she has to be 3 or 4 times better than any random male opponent, am I right?
That's it right?
tom-servo
(185 posts)...has anything to do with it. Her current lead isn't much given her initial advantages.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)BHO beat Hillary by a much, much smaller margin.
Male vs female is the only difference I see.
I hope Hillary backers move heaven and earth so she can shatter that unfair as hell glass ceiling and get elected POTUS!
tom-servo
(185 posts)...but it is possible her gender has hurt her in this primary. I would have thought it would help since woman are more than half the population.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)than a man to get acknowledged.
As for you though, I appreciate this thread. Its not the usual conspiracy theory BS that is common on DU.
Thanks.
NewHampshiriteGuy
(95 posts)Overthrowing the majority vote, however "weak" of a majority it might seem to be to any individual is NOT a democratic principle...overthrowing the results of an election is fascism.
I am not a fan of the power of the super-delegates in the first place...and for them to go against the majority of primary voters would be unprecedented and undemocratic. I would feel that way regardless of who is in the lead.
tom-servo
(185 posts)... I would agree with you, and I do wish our elections were more democratic. Having only two parties dominated by money makes democracy difficult.
NewHampshiriteGuy
(95 posts)So the primaries should be more democratic if they work in your preferred candidate's favor, but it's okay if they're less democratic because there's only two major parties and they're dominated by money?
Shouldn't the primaries be MORE democratic to reduce the influence of money and the power of the party elites regardless of which candidate is leading? Overturning the majority of voters doesn't make the primaries more democratic...and doesn't reduce the influence of money and power. That's a real slippery slope and a dangerous precedent.
Democracy doesn't always result in the election of the best candidate (although that judgement is very subjective)...but it's definitely better if the people select their candidate of choice rather than a small group of people selected by the party power structure.
I certainly wouldn't be supporting the idea of superdelegates overturning the pledged delegates and popular vote if Bernie was in the lead just because Clinton is my preferred candidate.
tom-servo
(185 posts)... the democratic party leadership has already selected Hillary Clinton and promoted her solidly into winning for the entire primary. They still have time to change their minds. To say that she was "democratically" elected is overstating it by quite a bit, given her advantages. I think, given the two candidates, the "people" have spoken for Bernie Sanders, and given this particular moment in time he's a good bet for the general election.
mythology
(9,527 posts)From what you've written it wouldn't have mattered to you if Clinton won by 30% because it should have been more. Obama beat Clinton decisively in 2008 under the same system. Sanders will lose by a wider margin than Clinton did in 2008.
tom-servo
(185 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)... isn't a great metric, but yes, she is in the lead.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)3/ Clinton's (2-person-vote) lead in the known popular vote is 56.6/43.4. After including these estimates from IA/NV/AK/WA/ME/WY: 56.1/43.9.
https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/733374726119247875
tom-servo
(185 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)If Basketball Team A had 111 points and Basketball Team B had 100 points should Basketball Team B be declared the winner?
What would you tell the players on Basketball team A?
tom-servo
(185 posts)... gauging whether someone is more likely to be elected isn't as straightforward as counting points scored in a game.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)In elections the winner is the man or woman who garners the most votes.
tom-servo
(185 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)We have to go back to 1968 to see an instance where it didn't occur...
Hillary Clinton has built her 3,000, 000 vote lead by crushing Senator Sanders among African Americans, Latinos, and women over thirty. Are you going to tell them the 15th Amendment, the 19th Amendment, and the Voting Rights Act was all a big ruse and their votes should be disregarded?
Do you think they will react kindly?
tom-servo
(185 posts)There are two strong factions right now in the party...one of them is going to be upset.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)Humphrey won the nomination because the candidates with the most votes was assassinated and the rules were much more arcane.
Not as upset as the faction that has 3,00,000 more votes would be if it was stolen from them.
Throw in the fact that the last Democratic president to win a majority or plurality of the white vote was Lyndon Johnson which means the vote from people of color in indispensable to a Democratic victory and you have a combustible situation.
The suggestion the Supers are going to give the nomination to a man who just joined the party, is already lambasting it, and is behind by nearly 3,000, 000 votes, and 300 pledged delegates is preposterous.
This will all be over on 6/7. She will be named the presumptive nominee by the media, the press will contact the Supers to double check, and to a one the Supers will say they will vote for her on the first ballot in Philadelphia.
You can bookmark this post and thank me for telling you how this primary season ends.
tom-servo
(185 posts)... I would place money on the outcome you suggest. If you want to take credit for stating a likely outcome help yourself. What I'm saying is that I think the party is making a mistake.
Response to NewHampshiriteGuy (Reply #5)
rjsquirrel This message was self-deleted by its author.
tom-servo
(185 posts)...party politics are ugly and Hillary Clinton is a deft player.
wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)Even though they were soundly thrashed by the Denver Broncos 24-10...
1. People are tired of establishment teams like Denver
2. The Panthers had bigger crowds at games this year
3. I liked them better, and everyone I know liked them better.
tom-servo
(185 posts)but I still don't see this as a sporting event. Implementing better ways to play football isn't the intent of the Super Bowl. It is the intent of a presidential election.
wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)1. A backroom selection process
2. The nomination goes to whichever side's supporters yell the loudest.
tom-servo
(185 posts)what this election already is.
wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)That's called Democracy, silly.
... if you say so.
I do say so. The United States is not a banana republic - apparently that is how some progressives would like to elect a presidents.
tom-servo
(185 posts)... though it is quaint to think so.
wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)Rotisserie Chicken is still chicken - it's prepared differently.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)liberal from boston
(856 posts)Hillary is the candidate for the status quo, incrementalism. I would never vote for Hillary due to her hawkish Foreign Policy. President Obama has admitted Hillary has problems.
wyldwolf
(43,867 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Why are the great protectors and defenders of the right to vote and the will of the people over everything suddenly wanting to throw all that out the window?
hmm...
tom-servo
(185 posts)... Hillary Clinton is very well connected both commercially and politically, and I'm sure she's worked back-room deals with as many of those connections as possible. I think that's what a "corrupt" political system means.
YouDig
(2,280 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)... but you forgot to post your reasons.
YouDig
(2,280 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)YouDig
(2,280 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)Time for change
(13,714 posts)+7 vs. -15, and that he consistently does far better than her in head to head competition vs. Trump, and that she has scandals brewing that could make her favorability ratings so low that she couldn't win a GE against anyone.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/favorable_unfavorable.html
I especially agree with your reasons 2 and 4.
tom-servo
(185 posts)pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)Just That Simple
SFnomad
(3,473 posts)hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)How very Democratic of you!
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)That blow out didn't help Bernie.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)... I don't think the will of the people has had much to do with US politics for quite a while now, but I would like to see us actually achieve that.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)I am sorry it doesn't sound pleasant to you but you want to overrule the will of the people.
Hillary won more votes and delegates. We will not let anyone steal this election.
tom-servo
(185 posts)k8conant
(3,030 posts)hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)Squinch
(50,904 posts)And he lost big.
Your opinion doesn't matter more than that.
Sorry to have to be the one to tell you that, but better you hear it sooner than later.
tom-servo
(185 posts)Squinch
(50,904 posts)majority.
That is the way Democracy works.
tom-servo
(185 posts)...otherwise they wouldn't have superdelegates.
Squinch
(50,904 posts)I guess no matter how often you guys hear that, it just doesn't get through.
He lost. He lost by every metric. He lost BIG.
Your opinion doesn't change that.
The losing candidate does not win the primary. That's why we call him the losing candidate.
And you all need to fix up your "complicated" relationship with super delegates. First BS was too pure to get them. Then, when it was too late to get them, he realized he needed them (because BS is always caught by surprise by the rules that have been in place for decades). Now, what? They are bad again? Which is it?
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)Squinch
(50,904 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)Squinch
(50,904 posts)till they get that trophy.
We better give in to them!
Not.
tom-servo
(185 posts)...I know exactly what they are, a way for the party leadership to control who is nominated. I'm suggesting they use that power to nominate Bernie Sanders. I'm not arguing anything else than what is in the post.
Squinch
(50,904 posts)hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)Squinch
(50,904 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)...but I suspect that we do not have one. I'm just saying that Hillary Clinton was the golden candidate pushed hard by the party leadership and she may end up just barely winning. It doesn't bode well.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)from her?
tom-servo
(185 posts)... I think Clinton supporters are mostly loyal democrats.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)Sorry but i believe in Democracy.
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)is without even his endorsement.
barrow-wight
(744 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)onecaliberal
(32,776 posts)Fresh_Start
(11,330 posts)the difference between registering to vote as ________ versus registering to vote as democratic...is less than 5 minutes effort
heck I've changed three times in the last 2 months
Bill USA
(6,436 posts)of Clinton.
I would like to point out one problem with the case you are making for Sanders. That is that Clinton has a much larger popular vote than Sanders. Real Clear Politics has the popular vote totals for the primaries at
12,989,134 for Clinton and 9,957,889 for Sanders. there are those who argue Bernie did better in caucus states. But even if you convert those caucus %s to popular votes, Clinton still comes out way ahead.
you said that Clinton -
I think you have discounted the effect of the two to three decade disinformation war on both Clintons - especially, the 8 Benghazi Political show trials of Hillary - for programming the thoughts and impressions of those who either can't or won't think critically for themselves. Unfortunately, this McCarthyist campaign against Clinton has been quite successful with the impressionable and easily lead. I think it's very obvious, that this campaign of innuendo and false claims of multitudinous nefarious activities (always implied never proven) has hurt Clinton. All this makes me wonder if Democracy can survive a Republican party totally opposed to government of, by and for the people when their is much money (and ersatz status) to be made from being whores for Corporate Feudalist system they are working to achieve with such large numbers of people who are so easily bamboozled.
But again, it is certainly a breath of fresh air to see a positive appeal for Bernie that is not based on character assassinations of Clinton and charges of hypothetical crimes she is supposed to have committed.
I applaud you for that.
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)tom-servo
(185 posts)Demsrule86
(68,456 posts)Delegate math.
tom-servo
(185 posts)...to tell the future, right?