NEW CBS/NYT POLL: Sanders 51, Trump 38; Clinton Lead Over Trump Narrows 47-41
- CBS, NYT Poll: Sanders 51, Trump 38; Clinton Lead Over Trump Narrows 47-41, released May 19, taken May 13-17.
Hillary’s support among Democratic primary voters went from 50% to 51% since the April poll and Bernie’s support remained steady at 44%.
The hypothetical head to head general election matchups.
Clinton 47%
Trump 41%
and
Sanders 51%
Trump 38%
Hillary’s lead over Trump went from 10 points in April to 6 points now. (Bernie’s lead over Trump grew). About half of Democrats said the party was united, the other half saying it was divided.
Notably a healthy majority of Democrats said that a “long race for the nomination will help the Democrats in November”. So those Democrats calling for Bernie to halt his campaign would seem to be a noisy minority.
http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/5/20/1529191/-New-CBS-NY-Times-Poll
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbsnyt-national-poll-hillary-clintons-lead-over-donald-trump-narrows/
= new reply since forum marked as read
May 18. 'WBUR Poll Finds It'd Be a Close Clinton-Trump Contest in New Hampshire', WBUR Radio, Boston's NPR News Station.
NASHUA, N.H. If the presidential election were held today between the apparent Republican nominee, Donald Trump, and the Democratic front-runner, Hillary Clinton, the outcome would be very close. That’s according to a new WBUR poll (topline, crosstabs) of likely New Hampshire voters.
According to the survey, Clinton leads Trump 44 percent to 42 percent among likely Granite State voters, with about 7 percent still undecided.
The new WBUR poll is consistent with several recent surveys from around the country that suggest the general election race would be competitive.
The reason this race is so close is that both Clinton and Trump are exceptionally unpopular across New Hampshire.
It found that just 35 percent of New Hampshire voters have a positive view of Clinton; only 33 percent feel that way about Trump.
And what’s particularly striking: Both candidates are viewed unfavorably by 58 percent of likely New Hampshire voters.
“So lots more people have a negative impression about them than a positive impression,” Koczela said.
By contrast, Democrat Bernie Sanders’ numbers are just the opposite: 55 percent view him favorably, while 34 percent view him unfavorably.
And according to the poll, if Sanders were the Democratic nominee, he’d beat Trump today decisively in New Hampshire — by 16 points, 54-38.
This is an argument that Sanders continues to make in his campaign: Poll after poll suggest that he’d fare far better against Trump than Clinton.
Koczela says a big reason for this is the gender gap between Trump and Clinton pretty much disappears with Sanders.
“Where Clinton was trailing by 17 points among men, Sanders and Trump are essentially even,” Koczela said. “Sanders does a bit better among women, but the big difference is that the gap among men just disappears.” con't.
More, http://www.wbur.org/2016/05/18/wbur-poll-clinton-trump-new-hampshire
- Politico, 'Trump Leads Clinton in New Fox News Poll', May 18, 2016.
Presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton in a hypothetical general election matchup, according to a Fox News poll released Wednesday evening.
Trump leads Clinton 45 percent to 42 percent, within the poll’s 3-point margin of error. In the same poll conducted in April, Clinton led by 7 points — 48 percent to 41 percent.
Even so, neither Trump nor Clinton scored very high when voters were asked about certain personal characteristics.
Asked whether Trump is honest and trustworthy, 40 percent of registered voters surveyed said he is, while 57 percent said he is not. Asked the same of Clinton, 31 percent said she is and 66 percent said she is not.
Democratic challenger Bernie Sanders, meanwhile, leads Trump 46 percent to 42 percent. Sanders led Trump by 14 points in the April poll — 53 percent to 39 percent.
..As far as whether they think Trump has “strong moral values,” 37 percent said they thought the phrase encapsulated Trump, while 58 percent disagreed. For Clinton, 40 percent said she has strong moral values, while 57 percent said that would not be an apt description.
More than seven in 10 — 71 percent — said the phrase “will say anything to get elected” describes Clinton, while 65 percent said the same of Trump.
Clinton holds double-digit advantages among women (50 percent to 36 percent), African Americans (90 percent to 7 percent), Latinos (62 percent to 23 percent) and those under the age of 35 (46 percent to 35 percent).
Trump, meanwhile, has the upper hand among independent voters (46 percent to 30 percent), men (55 percent to 33 percent), white voters (55 percent to 31 percent), those without a college degree (45 percent to 40 percent), and varying majorities of voters 35 and older. con't.
More, http://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-fox-news-223344
CATCH!
While Sanders thrashes Trump 49% to 39% among white women!
That sure doesn't fit the Clinton-Brock narrative.
(My eyes kept going back to it, as my brain said, "What? WHAT?"
One of the key stats is Independents. Clinton vs Trump is a wash, 40% vs 40%. But Bernie, again, demolishes Trump, 50% to 34% among Independents.
I think the DNC-Clinton rigging of the Democratic primary toward Clinton's narrow base (about half of a reduced party) will be fatal to Democratic chances in the GE. Clinton is so weak, so unpopular and so corrupt!
