Here's Why Hillary Clinton Will Likely Destroy Donald Trump

[applegrove]

Here's Why Hillary Clinton Will Likely Destroy Donald Trump

Matt Osborne at Crooks and Liars

http://crooksandliars.com/2016/05/here-s-why-hillary-clinton-will-likely

"SNIP...............



Meanwhile, Sanders has spent more money than any other candidate this cycle - more than $206 million, according to Politico - with a very large chunk of that cash being used to rent venues, print signs, etc., rather than motivate people to the voting booth.

If big crowds meant big wins at the polls, former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean and former Texas Rep. Ron Paul would both be president. But election after election, crowd size has been an unreliable predictor of winning.

"The people at the rally are not a random or representative sample of the electorate," says Lynn Vavreck, a professor of political science and communication studies at University of California, Los Angeles. "These are strategic and well-planned events. This isn't just happening."

In short, big rallies make a candidate look popular, but they're not actually a good way to win the popular vote.



................SNIP"

[tonyt53]

1. The very reason why Bernie was hitting colleges until the semester ended. Crowds.

[UMTerp01]

2. Organization is being stupidly ignored

I think its part of why so many stupidly say "Oh my god Bernie can't possibly be losing. Look at his YUGE rallies" Well dipshit. Rallies do not a vote make. Hillary Clinton's rallies may be small and she may not be generating "enthusiasm" in the way Sanders is, but she clearly has a high level of support showing up to the polls. Organization is what made the Obama 08 and 12 campaigns what they were. Many of those same people are on Team Clinton now. Thats why these national polls don't really mean shit to me. You have to dig deeper than polls that question a few thousand people.

[Thinkingabout]

3. I would hope voters would listen to Trump and see the vile nature of his speeches

For so many years Rush and Sean has raved and ranted on talk shows and they are all in for someone like Trump. The angry old white men have been so indoctrinated by angry speakers they think this is normal, anger needs to go away.