2016 Postmortem

BootinUp

(47,144 posts) Mon May 23, 2016, 05:46 PM May 2016

Moody's Analytics Election model predicts Clinton over Trump | The Hill

By Vicki Needham - 05/20/16 06:17 PM EDT

President Obama’s strong approval rating is bolstering Democratic chances of holding the White House, according to a closely followed election model.

Moody’s Analytics is forecasting that the Democratic nominee, who is widely expected to be Hillary Clinton, will win the presidency in November over presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump.

snip

Moody’s latest model shows for the third straight month that the Democratic nominee would take 332 electoral votes compared with 206 for the Republican nominee. The model has predicted every election correctly since it was created in 1980.

Full Article at The Hill

8 replies

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Highlight:

Moody's Analytics Election model predicts Clinton over Trump | The Hill (Original Post) BootinUp May 2016 OP

But it's a shame that Bernie will end up with the nomination. tonyt53 May 2016 #1

Hillary Clinton leading Bernie Sanders in California by 18 pts, poll finds - May 23 riversedge May 2016 #2

This is interesting news. i didn't know about Moody's accuracy in predicting underthematrix May 2016 #3

It's a really simple model. joshcryer May 2016 #4

Yes I agree but I really really want HRC underthematrix May 2016 #5

rec riversedge May 2016 #6

K&R fleabiscuit May 2016 #7

kick BootinUp May 2016 #8

tonyt53

(5,737 posts)

1. But it's a shame that Bernie will end up with the nomination.

Reply to BootinUp (Original post)

Mon May 23, 2016, 05:48 PM

May 2016

He will get all the super delegates to switch to him plus get some states to swap their delegate counts. Yeah, right.

riversedge

(70,214 posts)

2. Hillary Clinton leading Bernie Sanders in California by 18 pts, poll finds - May 23

Reply to BootinUp (Original post)

Mon May 23, 2016, 05:49 PM

May 2016

California here we come.................. :

TWEET:

Hillary Clinton leading Bernie Sanders in California by 18 pts, poll finds - May 23
http://demu.gr/10141461651 #CaPrimary #Hillyes #SheswithUs

underthematrix

(5,811 posts)

3. This is interesting news. i didn't know about Moody's accuracy in predicting

Reply to BootinUp (Original post)

Mon May 23, 2016, 05:50 PM

May 2016

Genral election outcomes. I want to read what they have to say about down ticket races.

joshcryer

(62,270 posts)

4. It's a really simple model.

Reply to underthematrix (Reply #3)

Mon May 23, 2016, 05:54 PM

May 2016

So it's not too surprising it gets it right. Basically if things are OK the party in power stays. As long as nothing bad happens we shouldn't be too concerned.

underthematrix

(5,811 posts)

5. Yes I agree but I really really want HRC

Reply to joshcryer (Reply #4)

Mon May 23, 2016, 06:03 PM

May 2016

to have a Congress who will work with her on behalf of American peeps. Best case - we win both House and senate. But if not, I definitely want the senate because they do the confirmation hearings.