Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
Tue May 24, 2016, 02:59 PM May 2016

Hillary Now Loses to Trump in Polls. Bernie Beats Trump by 10.8 Points


For months, Bernie Sanders has told audiences across the country that he is the best candidate to face Donald Trump based on polls that simulate a hypothetical showdown in November. Sanders continues to hammer in this sentiment now that the other Republican nominees have withdrawn from the race. And truly, new polls indicate this may now be the case.




http://www.huffingtonpost.com/david-pakman2/hillary-now-loses-to-trum_b_10115974.html
19 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Hillary Now Loses to Trump in Polls. Bernie Beats Trump by 10.8 Points (Original Post) restorefreedom May 2016 OP
K & R imagine2015 May 2016 #1
He would get shellacked in a general election. JaneyVee May 2016 #2
saying this every day does not make it true restorefreedom May 2016 #10
LOL +100 Armstead May 2016 #15
Polls before the nominations are never accurate. How many times this has been pointed out? randome May 2016 #3
That's not true at all. But Camp Hillary keeps repeating the mantra. reformist2 May 2016 #6
Being correct once in a while does not equate to 'accurate'. randome May 2016 #7
Moved into margin of error territory.... Armstead May 2016 #16
Why would they change? Dawgs May 2016 #13
Yeah, she will. Happens nearly every election. randome May 2016 #14
If only he can steal the election he will have his chance. Renew Deal May 2016 #4
She needs to drop out now. The longer she stays in, the more divided we are. B Calm May 2016 #5
President McCain agrees with this poll PeaceNikki May 2016 #8
Superdelegates: do your job and nominate the candidate who will HELP the party Betty Karlson May 2016 #9
So what? "She won" the nomination. lagomorph777 May 2016 #11
Or, as Hillary's supporters say... Binkie The Clown May 2016 #12
lol nt restorefreedom May 2016 #17
Wasn't Sanders beating Trump by 15 a few polls ago Txbluedog May 2016 #18
he is slipping! seriously, there has been a range in polls restorefreedom May 2016 #19
 

JaneyVee

(19,877 posts)
2. He would get shellacked in a general election.
Tue May 24, 2016, 03:04 PM
May 2016

He cant even beat Trump in the primaries. Trump has millions of more votes than Bernie, and hasnt even had attack ads yet.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
3. Polls before the nominations are never accurate. How many times this has been pointed out?
Tue May 24, 2016, 03:07 PM
May 2016

20? 30? More?

Are you trying to guilt the voters who prefer Clinton to Trump? What good does that do?
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Stop looking for heroes. BE one.[/center][/font][hr]

reformist2

(9,841 posts)
6. That's not true at all. But Camp Hillary keeps repeating the mantra.
Tue May 24, 2016, 03:09 PM
May 2016

There have been many elections where the polls early in the year predicted the eventual result.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
7. Being correct once in a while does not equate to 'accurate'.
Tue May 24, 2016, 03:14 PM
May 2016
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/the-morning-s-polls

It's a truism that general election polls in May don't tell you much about an election in November. But if you see clear trends, they can tell you something about what's happening in May. To bring you up to speed there's a NBC/WSJ poll out this morning which shows Clinton ahead of Trump by 46% to 43%. There's also an ABC/WaPo poll which shows Trump up by two points, 46% to 44%.

[hr][font color="blue"][center]Stop looking for heroes. BE one.[/center][/font][hr]
 

randome

(34,845 posts)
14. Yeah, she will. Happens nearly every election.
Tue May 24, 2016, 04:11 PM
May 2016

When the choice is between 3 candidates, it's 'easy' to go for the one who's most edgy. That would have been Sanders. But once it's strictly a contest between 2 candidates, people favor one of those 2.

The more candidates, the more watered down the choices. Narrow the available choices and the polls become more accurate.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Stop looking for heroes. BE one.[/center][/font][hr]

PeaceNikki

(27,985 posts)
8. President McCain agrees with this poll
Tue May 24, 2016, 03:15 PM
May 2016
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/donald-trump-bump-general-election-polls_us_5742f7f0e4b00e09e89f7261

McCain saw a similar bump in 2008 - Philip Bump: “In 2008, the last time the Democrats had a contested nomination contest, Barack Obama led in head-to-head match-ups against John McCain for most of the year. There were two big exceptions: Right after the Republican convention — and right after McCain clinched his party’s nomination. That happened in March, three months before the Democratic contest ended. His spike was short-lived. There are big differences between this year and 2008. One is that Post/ABC polling eight years ago consistently showed independent voters preferring Obama to McCain — even shortly after McCain clinched. In our most recent poll, independents prefer Trump by 13 points. There’s overlap here with the point above, that Sanders backers haven’t come around to Clinton yet….At the end of the day, Sanders supporters will have to pick from the same menu as everyone else. Our very limited history of such contests suggests that most will bite the bullet and pick the candidate they hate less. Once the Democratic contest formally ends, we’ll see if that’s the case — or if they simply go hungry.” [Washington Post]
 

Betty Karlson

(7,231 posts)
9. Superdelegates: do your job and nominate the candidate who will HELP the party
Tue May 24, 2016, 03:17 PM
May 2016

not jeopardise it! Nominate Bernie Sanders. You know he is our best (and only viable) chance against Trump.

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
19. he is slipping! seriously, there has been a range in polls
Tue May 24, 2016, 07:16 PM
May 2016

sanders tends to run 7-12 over trump.

i think the 15 points might have been in a poll of sanders v cruz if i recall

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Hillary Now Loses to Trum...