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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThis is horse race season, so let's use that analogy.
Polls give a snapshot of the odds a given candidate faces at any moment, but they're just odds. They're not guarantees. And if you've ever watched a horse race, you've seen one horse look strong out of the gate only to fade by the end. Certainly the Republican primary this year bears out that analogy in the political realm.
Sanders has every reason to stay in through California. If Sanders beats Clinton in California, it will elevate him significantly and raise serious questions about Clinton's viability this late in the game. If Clinton beats Sanders, it will cement her position as the likely nominee.
A very good read at:::
http://www.cnn.com/2016/05/23/opinions/sanders-clinton-trump-polls-kohn/index.html
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This is horse race season, so let's use that analogy. (Original Post)
vkkv
May 2016
OP
And you are?? Sally Kohn is an activist, columnist and television commentator, and a supporter of
vkkv
May 2016
#4
Except he's a furlong behind the leader who is just a few yards away from the finish line.
LonePirate
May 2016
#5
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)1. You are wrong. It is not a horse race. It's the Math
vkkv
(3,384 posts)4. And you are?? Sally Kohn is an activist, columnist and television commentator, and a supporter of
Bernie Sanders.
No offense, but you, are a commenter on a website and as far as we know, not a mathematician.
Read the piece first, please.
Skink
(10,122 posts)2. The track in the next leg is a bit longer
Bernie's making a move to the outside and gaining speed
LonePirate
(13,417 posts)5. Except he's a furlong behind the leader who is just a few yards away from the finish line.
rock
(13,218 posts)3. I don't like poor analogies
Yours is poor and makes the same mistake that Bernie (and his supporters make). In a practical sense, he has no chance. He has lost (from a practical viewpoint). There's a lot of idealism in Bernie, and very little practicality.
Peace Patriot
(24,010 posts)6. Seabiscuit!