Clinton Is Still the Favorite
By William A. Galston
Memo to poll-obsessed Democrats: Don’t freak out. Hillary Clinton remains a strong favorite to defeat Donald Trump in November. Mr. Trump’s poll numbers rose after he secured his party’s nomination, and hers will when she does. Mrs. Clinton enjoys structural advantages in demography, party registration and the Electoral College. And reading beyond the headline numbers of recent surveys, it isn’t hard to find evidence of the strengths on which she can build a successful election campaign.
As recently as six months ago, it seemed likely that President Obama’s low job-approval rating would be a drag on Mrs. Clinton’s campaign. But that number has risen substantially in recent months and now stands at 51% according to the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News and ABC/Washington Post surveys. And as of last month, fully 50% of Americans approved of Mr. Obama’s handling of the economy—up eight points since spring 2014. If the president maintains these numbers through the fall, his impact will be, if anything, modestly positive for Mrs. Clinton.
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Despite Mr. Trump’s vaunted populism, he has not persuaded most Americans that he would do more to advance their economic interests. By a 10-point margin, 51% to 41%, according to the ABC/WP poll, Americans think that Hillary Clinton would do more to benefit working-class people and, by 50% to 40%, more to help the middle class. As for who would do more to aid the wealthy, respondents gave the nod to Mr. Trump by a 40-point margin, 65% to 25%—virtually identical to perceptions of Mitt Romney in the 2012 campaign.
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Hillary Clinton represents continuity, while Donald Trump represents change: advantage Trump. But Mrs. Clinton represents security while Mr. Trump represents risk: advantage Clinton. Sixty-one percent of Americans think that she has the better temperament to serve effectively as president, according to the ABC/WP poll, compared with 31% for the presumptive Republican nominee. Sixty-three percent believe that she is qualified to be president; only 39% say the same about Mr. Trump.
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If persuadable voters come to see the New York billionaire as too reckless and unpredictable to be entrusted with the presidency’s vast powers, as I suspect they will, then Mrs. Clinton should beat him soundly.
http://www.wsj.com/articles/clinton-is-still-the-favorite-1464131759
= new reply since forum marked as read
But not of the people.
She likely would not even win against her friend and opponent, "the" Donald Trump.
She is a FAR less effective fighter than Elizabeth Warren, who knows how oppressive it would be to be ruled by yet another billionaire.
Madam President. 
