The Rove "logic".

[DCBob]

Rove and his little whiteboard analysis has RW media all excited about Ohio again. Here's the logic or rather illogic..

"As of Tuesday, 530,813 Ohio Democrats had voted early or had requested or cast an absentee ballot. That's down 181,275 from four years ago. But 448,357 Ohio Republicans had voted early or had requested or cast an absentee ballot, up 75,858 from the last presidential election. That 257,133-vote swing almost wipes out Mr. Obama's 2008 Ohio victory margin of 262,224. "

Thats assuming the vote on the day of the election will be the same as 2008. Clearly it wont be if more R's have voted early and less D's have voted early. I think the only thing you can discern from those numbers is that low info Republicans have figured out how to vote early and that many Democrats plan to wait until election day to vote for whatever reason. The polls all suggest a solid win for the President in Ohio. Early vote or late vote.. they all count the same. Rove will be eating crow once again on Tuesday eve.

[Permanut]

1. No, wait, I think I see how this works..

If I apply the same logic to Oregon, it works like this:

In 2008, there were 208,165 salmon that were counted passing through the Bonneville Dam fish counting station.

In 2012, so far, there have been 184,659; therefore, Romney will win Oregon.

At least I think that's how it goes.

[BootinUp]

2. The polls of early voters had Obama with a

significant lead, ignore Rove.

[DCBob]

3. He admits Obama has a lead in EV its just not as big as in 2008.

which means Romney will win... according to Turd Blossum logic.

[Lightsource777]

4. Almost doesn't count

"it almost wipes out the advantage" doesn't count. And it also assumes Obama won't gain more of a margin for the election day vote.

[UTLonghorn]

5. People do no register by party in Ohio

so you can't determine how many Democrats or Republicans have cast ballots thus far. Basically, Rove pulled these numbers out of his ass.

[Tutonic]

6. Looking at Karl's college transcripts

He failed math and spelling. Couldn't get his numbers straight.

[HopeHoops]

7. "Rove" and "logic" never belong in the same context.