GOTV in Florida (FL), 11/03/12 Dems surge to 3.2 pts

[ffr]

With 3,914,379 votes cast in early voting, with 46.3% likely voters reporting.

Democratic lead
~105,688 votes

Statewide early/mail numbers:
Democrats -- 1,667.525 or 42.6 percent (Dems to Reps only 51.6%)
Republican -- 1,561,837 or 39.9 percent (Dems to Reps only 48.4%)
Others -- 685.016 or 17.5 percent

GMU.EDU 2012 Election Statistics
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GOTV my fellow Democrats. Swing the congressional balance of power to Obama. Victory 2012

[KaryninMiami]

1. Makes me feel better after the Miami herald cover

Still not confident we will pull off FL - or national but not losing hope.

[LisaL]

2. Huge GOTV effort in FL, despite voting days being cut.

[BlueStreak]

3. Could the early voting suppression efforts backfire on the GOP in Florida?

They wanted to suppress early voting because they thought early voting would favor Dems. But that has the effect of making a real mess of Tuesday voting. If there are naturally more GOP voters planning to vote on Tuesday, they are the ones who might get discouraged and leave.

Of course, this theory only has merit if the delays are more-or-less uniform throughout the state. If the long lines are only in Democratic-leaning precincts, then that sucks.

Any idea if they are seeing long lines in places where Republicans are usually stronger?

[LisaL]

4. Presumably, even republican leaning counties have a lot of democrats.

[FBaggins]

5. We won the early FL vote in 2008 by 8.3%

but lost it by three in 2004.

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html

[LisaL]

6. But McCain didn't even try to get early vote out.

While Romney does. So it's not really fair comparison to 2008.