2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumTop dems worried about Clinton's ability to effectively fight Trump
Democrats could hardly believe their good fortune last month when it became clear that Hillary Clinton was headed to a general election showdown with Donald J. Trump. Mr. Trump carried so much baggage and had insulted so many voting blocs that some Clinton supporters began to imagine a landslide.
But early optimism that this would be an easy race is evaporating. In the corridors of Congress, on airplane shuttles between New York and Washington, at donor gatherings and on conference calls, anxiety is spreading through the Democratic Party that Mrs. Clinton is struggling to find her footing.
<snip>
But it is the campaigns approach to Mr. Trump that is making even Mrs. Clintons most loyal supporters uneasy.
Senator Chuck Schumer of New York is concerned that she lacks a comprehensive strategy to confront Mr. Trump, and has told Democrats that the Clinton campaign must bring on a senior staff member dedicated only to the Trump portfolio.
<snip>
During a conference call this month, high-profile female supporters pressed Mrs. Clintons advisers about her message which has as a slogan Breaking Down Barriers and whether it needs to shift for the general election. The message will be broadening, Karen Finney, a senior adviser, explained, according to a transcript of the call obtained by The New York Times. But, she added, leaving some participants perplexed, breaking down barriers and unity will continue to be part of the theme because Hillary believes we need to come together as a country in many ways.
Debates have broken out in Mrs. Clintons Brooklyn headquarters over the best approach to take. Some advisers worry that by running against Mr. Trump as she would a traditional Republican candidate, Mrs. Clinton is actually making the reality-television star appear more legitimate.
<snip>
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/29/us/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump.html
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)Sky Masterson
(5,240 posts)This is what the Democrats are trying to do with the Clinton Rehash.
RogueTrooper
(4,665 posts)Sky Masterson
(5,240 posts)And even though Hillary shares Bills last name she is no Bill on the stump.
But if believing she is a shoe in in the General helps you sleep I say run with it.
RogueTrooper
(4,665 posts)I don't think it will be s shoe-in; I think it will be an extremely hard fight.
Perot did not do as much as thought; this was just right wing nonsense to diligatmize an election result which did not go their way. If the Democrats win this cycle they will say it was bacause of the votes give to the Libertairian.
Sky Masterson
(5,240 posts)Which is why Clinton is the very worst candidate we could have chosen this cycle.
RogueTrooper
(4,665 posts)He's never been put under the pressure of a full frontal Republican assault.
Sky Masterson
(5,240 posts)People vote for who they like and who inspires them.
Her likeability is in the shitter and she inspires no one whereas Bernie beats her in both Inspiration and likeability.
Trust me. Likeability matters. Kerry wasn't, Gore wasn't, Bill was,Obama was,Hillary isn't.
Hey, I want to win too. I just believe that she can't win.
RogueTrooper
(4,665 posts)I think she is a warmer personality that you are giving her credit. I would say that Sander's isn't particulalry likable either: There is a solid history of people not leaving Sander's company absent positive feelings.
Baobab
(4,667 posts)tazkcmo
(7,300 posts)Than Sec Clinton has been in. He has also faced more GOP challengers, and won, than Sec Clinton. My point is, Sen Sanders has and can take on any Republican toe to toe and beat her/him in a nation wide election.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_history_of_Bernie_Sanders
I'm not saying he's undefeated and most of his defeats came early as in the 70's but not all. How ever, strictly addressing your claim that he's never been under pressure from a full Republican assault is not true. I will grant that no other Democrat in recent memory has endured more RW smears and attacks than Sec Clinton. I will also grant that no other politician of any stripe, nationality, sex, color, height, weight or zodiac sign is more hated by the GOP than Sec Clinton.Not even Bill. Just another reason not to nominate her.
Baobab
(4,667 posts)You're negating that Bernie is extremely popular with vermont residents, and he has consistently gotten votes from Republicans as well as Democrats.
he's a bridge builder, Hillary is divisive..
Exilednight
(9,359 posts)Perot managed just umder 20% of the vote. Bush received a smidge over 37% of the vote. Most of those Perot votes would have gone to Bush. And Bill would have lost.
JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)Those of us who were old enough to vote in that election remember that well.
Unfortunately we who supported Clinton did not realize how the trade agreements like NAFTA would continue the destruction of our unions and harm our economy and country.
And now we have the Hillary phenomenon. Once again Democrats may be going ffor the Wall Street promise that trade agreements will "grow" our economy.
Personally, I have had it with the trade agreements. We can have free trade without the agreements.
These trade agreements set rules for trade that make the whole world LESS free in every respect and result in fewer jobs in the US and more wealth disparity.
Fools vote for Hillary and the trade agreements.
Where are the transcripts of Hillary's speeches to Wall Street?
I want to know what Hillary said to her friends on Wall Street about trade and trade agreements. I want to know what she said to them about the rights of American woring people.
Feel the Bern!
Perot was the key to Clinton's election in 1992. He took just enough votes from Republicans and scared enough Democrats into voting to make the difference.
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)It doesn't take a 3 digit IQ to figure out what those speeches were for and why they were NOT forthcoming.
pmorlan1
(2,096 posts)blamed Nader?
2banon
(7,321 posts)just barely, and that was because Ross Perot pretty much split the republican vote as the prevailing thought at the time.
He had The Big Vacuum on Jobs to China and Mexico charts and it resonated enough, rightfully so.
He knew NAFTA was in the works but it was barely mentioned in the media until after Clinton took office. Yeah, Bush Sr tried to soften us up for it with the One World Order speech but a lot of us hadn't realized it was already getting set in stone with a treaty which already had buy in from Third Way (Clinton) and Republican parties.
Farmers were very aware and put on mass protest, but the rest of the people, were pretty much blindsided by it.
People are now painfully aware after the fact, as is always the case with these cretin politicians and their greedy agendas.
CorporatistNation
(2,546 posts)Hillary really betrayed Andrea Mitchell... The entire context of this report was of a solemn nature... A Funeral so to speak...
Andrea Mitchell "I do not see this report as ...ANYTHING BUT... DEVASTATING!"
Chuck Todd "After this I don't think that she could get confirmed for Attorney General!"
Lots of FIBBING by Hillary here.. for more than a year!
Tom Rinaldo
(22,911 posts)Just for starters she allows him to be the anti-establishment candidate this year, which plays to his advantage. Hillary is sane and Trump isn't, she has that at least going for her, but Trump now represents one of the two major political parties and that transfers a surface veneer of sanity onto him for many voters.
ReRe
(10,597 posts)...for the Clinton team to even be thinking about Trump. She's not even the presumptive nominee yet. Maybe it's to keep her spirits up? She may very well be the nominee in the end, but the Primary isn't over until it's over. We may not know until the Convention WHO our nominee is going to be.
Amimnoch
(4,558 posts).. For the Sanders team to use GE election polling as cause celebre when the Republicans are the only ones who have a nominee that is campaigning for the GE now.
ReRe
(10,597 posts)That looks like the only way a Hillary candidate can win in November. No doubt, a Democratic Candidate must win in November, or this country is toast.
Go Bernie!
Amimnoch
(4,558 posts)Just like they were before the primary campaign brought them down.
LOL, you crash the car, then complain it's damaged.
Notice when that popularty shift starts to happen? Hmm, what could have been starting up at that time?
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/hillary-clinton-favorable-rating
Go Hillary!
ReRe
(10,597 posts)... forked tongue, i.e., as you lost me in the car wreck line.
I wish you well and no harm. I wish the best for my country, including the defeat of the evil one. I hope that we will be able to unite at the convention, regardless of who ends up being our candidate. Agree?
Go Bernie!
Amimnoch
(4,558 posts)If she wins, personally, I'd love to see her name Bernie as her Secretary of the Treasury, and set him loose.
We most definitely do agree.
glowing
(12,233 posts)Last edited Sun May 29, 2016, 08:34 AM - Edit history (1)
It's not like "Crazy Bernie"; where that name can be flipped and owned by Bernie and Internet meme's... You can't flip "crooked". She already has many people questioning her honesty. And right or wrong, she's been pummeled by Benghazi and now e-mails.... In which, the press is finally catching onto the fact that they have been lied to about the e-mail issue.
What will happen is low voter turn out because of disgust in the process. When there is low turn out, Democrats lose. Look at the past couple of mid-term elections. The Republicans will come out to vote. And then, we say, "Hello, President Trump".
IdaBriggs
(10,559 posts)I know the last one isn't Nixon, but it is funny.
EL34x4
(2,003 posts)"I did not have sex..."
IdaBriggs
(10,559 posts)Sorry!
BlueStateLib
(937 posts)vintx
(1,748 posts)I'm sure the GOP and Trump's campaign staff have an entire team working on all the ways they can attack her. Lies, not taking security seriously, her business with using Blumenthal (who Obama bannded) and all the stuff with the Clinton Foundation, etc etc etc
If she is nominated this is going to get very, very ugly.
glowing
(12,233 posts)other corporations she spoke with in between SoS and "officially" running for President. Seriously, how in the world did she think that it would make any sense at all to take on paid speaking engagements at top industry, banking, and other Wall St corporations? Its not like she's an Ex-President like other "ex's"... AND even Pres Clinton continuing on with paid speaking engagements and working closely with the NGO will be seen as a huge conflict of interest for many voters.... There's already reports surfacing from the e-mails that are being disclosed to the public now, where it seems there may be some collusion between the Foundation receiving donations and the State Dept authorizing favorable arms contracts. How many people even knew that Bill Clinton was in Libya around the same time Ghadaffi was taken out? Or that the state minister, opposition to Ghadaffi in Libya, donated a large sum of money to the Foundation?
All of this is stinky, looks an awful lot like bribery, and fits in with Donald's meme of "Crooked".
Miles Archer
(18,837 posts)MSNBC had a discussion after Kerry's run about Karl Rove's "war room."
The TV was playing the "I was for it before I was against" it sound bite and it became the "ah-ha" moment. Supposedly, heads slowly rose from cubicles and people looked around the room at each other, nodding heads with winning smirks.
The Clinton supporters on DU who post daily "LOL" and "Sanders lost, get over it" posts fail to recognize one little detail.
Trump is not going to show or play his hand until he is assured that it will inflict the greatest possible damage.
If he were to show all of his cards right now, Team Clinton could scramble around and assemble a defensive strategy.
But that's not how Trump fights dirty. Anyone who thinks he's going to give it up now hasn't been paying attention.
And they will turn over every rock looking for Clinton's "I was before it before I was against it" moment, and if they don't find one that they feel will deliver a fatal blow, they'll just make one up.
Remember Rove's robo-calls to the deep South about McCain's "illegitimate black baby?"
And when it comes to things like the Clinton Foundation, if Trump confronts her and demands full disclosure and Clinton rolls her eyes and huffs and puffs and shows that "Fuck you, I'm not even going to answer that" attitude, it will only create more suspicion and distrust in the minds of the voters.
That, and the fact that she can make demands of Trump, and he can say "Fuck you," and get away with it, because that's his game...his supporters actually admire that. What is a liability for Clinton is an asset for Trump.
Yelling and finger pointing is not going to change the "favorable" numbers. Trump can get away with his shit. Clinton can't.
vintx
(1,748 posts)She *should be* courting progressive voters, but she's going to move further right in the GE, and that simply will not get her enough votes to beat him.
The writing has been on the wall from day 1.
imari362
(311 posts)Trump is expert at that.....
"thousands of Muslims in NJ cheering the fall of the Twin Towers on 911"
That's the type bullfarts that will come out of his mouth that gets the crowds cheering and voting for him, the will repeat and swear to it being the truth, it will go viral on the internet, the media will be playing catch-up as they won't report or debunk it right away and the HRC camp/supporters will be full force denying the bs, as seen in the Republican primaries Trump will have made another stink when the smell of the last one has barely faded.
Then we all must remember that Trump knows for more about Hillary and Bill for that matter with them being friends enough to get an invite to his latest wedding.
He's made donations to her Senate campaign and we all know what he said about giving to any candidate ....."When they call, I give. And you know what, when I need something from them two years later, three years later, I call them...."
B Calm
(28,762 posts)win over Bernie voters. I don't see her doing that.
Carolina
(6,960 posts)She's the antithesis of Bernie. She's corporate-owned, pro war/regime change, pro TPP and other such trade deals, pro fracking... and a consummate liar
No way I will ever vote for her
Nyan
(1,192 posts)She'd rather crash and burn over time than reach out to Bernie supporters, because of her ego. And her donors won't let her adopt Bernie's platform anyway.
Miles Archer
(18,837 posts)That is the candidates job to do.
05/29/2016 09:43 am ET
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-supporters_us_574ae6a3e4b03ede441510c0
Ending a presidential primary is often a bitter affair. But with rare exceptions, the partys factions usually come together. That seems likely to be the case again this year with the Democrats, even as the contest drags out longer and grows a bit more contentious than many party members find comfortable.
On Sunday morning, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) reiterated his long-standing commitment to defeating Donald Trump in the fall, whether he is the nominee or Hillary Clinton gets that honor. But while not conceding defeat, he notably added that the responsibility for bringing his disaffected supporters into the fold should he lose doesnt rest solely or even primarily with him.
CHUCK TODD: Last week with me, Secretary Clinton said when it comes to party unity, shes doing her part, shes going to do her part. But that there is a responsibility that falls on you as well. If shes the nominee, that you have a responsibility to do what it takes to bring your supporters on board with her. Do you accept that responsibility?
BERNIE SANDERS: ...at the end of the day, whether its Secretary Clinton or Bernie Sanders or Donald Trump, anybody else, the way you gain support is through the candidate himself or herself. So my job is to make sure that Trump does not become president. And I will do that. But if Secretary Clinton is the nominee, it is her job to reach out to millions of people and make the case as to why she is going to defend working families and the middle class, provide health care for all people, take on Wall Street, deal aggressively with climate change. That is the candidates job to do.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)as to why she is going to start defending working families and the middle class, provide health care for all people, take on Wall Street, deal aggressively with climate change? That is the candidates job to do, so you think she'll make a left turn?
Me neither.
Miles Archer
(18,837 posts)A big part of that is that she's hired MSNBC's Karen Finney as her "strategic communications adviser and senior spokesperson," and she's taking a 100% "stay the course" approach.
My guess...and I could be wrong...is that Clinton is going to have to become a whole lot more Sanders and a whole lot less Clinton in order for Bernie to make any kind of overt support gesture. I believe he is grateful for his supporters. To "encourage" or "instruct" them to throw their support behind Clinton weakens the platform he's been promoting.
I mean, how the hell could he...in good conscience...make it an objective to take on Wall Street, lose the nomination, and send his people to Clinton?
He wouldn't.
When he's talking about being committed to beating Trump, he still has his eye on the convention...make no mistake about it. If his way of defeating Trump was to support Clinton, he would have said that in no uncertain terms TODAY in that interview.
Cobalt Violet
(9,905 posts)They shouldn't have ever assumed a candidate with her negatives would be able to win the general.
MrMickeysMom
(20,453 posts)They seem to be growing.
Drumpf has already coined "crooked" along with untrustworthy or something of the same effect.
And she doesn't seem to get the hang of how to counter. It's only going to get worse with her lack of transparency on transcripts, The Clinton Foundation connection to campaign money laundering and flipping to whatever Sander's has been saying to "win us over".
Demsrule86
(68,469 posts)unnamed...the so called top Dems that go on Fox no doubt.
pinebox
(5,761 posts)Ohhhhhh....
vintx
(1,748 posts)Such a simplitic thought process on display there.
pinebox
(5,761 posts)just like their candidate
oberliner
(58,724 posts)I think that is the best strategy.
Melissa G
(10,170 posts)Esp as she is now suppressing the minority votes.
This minority voter is feeling hard pressed to find the interest to support her and I am a political junkie.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Whoever told you that is a shameless liar.
Melissa G
(10,170 posts)and there are more
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/riley-waggaman/its-not-just-arizona-elec_b_9550670.html
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/tony-brasunas/only-voter-suppression-can-stop-bernie-sanders_b_9780128.html
https://electionfraud2016.wordpress.com/
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Clinton's campaign has been actively fighting vote suppression--as anyone who pays attention to the issue for its own merits (as opposed to whining about primary losses) would know.
Melissa G
(10,170 posts)and elections for most of my life and as almost an obsession since the 2000 and 2004 elections.
Check my posts here in the 2004 era to see how active I have been.
Feel free to educate me on how Clinton's campaign is "actively fighting vote suppression".
We are going to have to agree to disagree that AZ is a positive part of the fight and Hillary not just trying to control the narrative because I agree with Anonymous on her actions there.
http://www.anonews.co/hillary-clintons-election-fraud-exposed/
https://anonymousinvestigationsblog.wordpress.com/2016/03/26/anonymous-report-was-arizonas-voter-registration-database-hacked/
Election Fraud happened in AZ.
Even the AZ Sec of State confirmed this.
During yesterdays testimony at the Arizona state capitol in Phoenix, Secretary of State Michele Reagan was asked what her office was doing to investigate the claims that registration for thousands of voters had been changed from Democrat or Republican to independent. As US Uncut previously reported, thousands of voters were given provisional ballots, which arent actually counted, due to their party registration mysteriously showing up in the system as independent or no party declared.
Reagan answered yes when asked if she knew for certain voter registration had been changed prior to the primary election, then followed up by saying:
This was something that I know happens, and I know it happened to people in this room. Its not hearsay. It happened to someone in my own office. One of my employees was registered as a particular party, went to go vote, and I dont want to divulge his personal details, but it happened to him.
http://usuncut.com/politics/arizona-election-fraud-primary/
Hmmm.. who benefited from this?
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)I repeat, there are zero facts that support the reckless and shameful claim that Clinton is responsible for vote suppression.
Zero.
Only fact-free diatribes from people who hate her guts and are speaking their bias instead of the truth.
Melissa G
(10,170 posts)asked again...
crickets
Melissa G
(10,170 posts)Wow! I was searching for more evidence of Clinton's long history of voting activism... I found just the opposite!
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/h-a-goodman/like-obama-in-2008-bernie_b_9545560.html
With allegations of voter suppression in Arizona, as well as questions about the Clinton campaigns tactics in Iowa, Nevada, and other states, some historical context is needed. In 2008, The Atlantic published an article explaining dirty politics and voting irregularities titled Obama Manager Accuses Clintons of Widespread Dirty Politics:
David Plouffe, in a succinct statement appended to a released quotation from his boss, Barack Obama, said the Obama campaign was investigating more than 200 reporters of irregularities in Nevada.
We currently have reports of over 200 separate incidents of trouble at caucus sites, including doors being closed up to thirty minutes early, registration forms running out so people were turned away, and ID being requested and checked in a non-uniform fashion. This is in addition to the Clinton campaigns efforts to confuse voters and call into question the at-large caucus sites which clearly had an affect on turnout at these locations. These kinds of Clinton campaign tactics were part of an entire weeks worth of false, divisive, attacks designed to mislead caucus-goers and discredit the caucus itself.
snip
Sound familiar? Every single one of the voting irregularities Plouffe complained about in 2008 have been experienced by the Bernie Sanders campaign.
History is repeating itself in 2016.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Melissa G
(10,170 posts)Are you saying Obama is a Hillary Hater? and a sore loser? Oh right, he won.
Here is the same quote from the Atlantic if it makes you feel better.
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2008/01/obama-manager-accuses-clintons-of-widespread-dirty-politics/51660/
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Also this is 2016.
Melissa G
(10,170 posts)Read the President's lips and then read the articles.
No spin needed.Unless you think the President lied.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Funny how Bernie Sanders will fight to get Barney Frank kicked off a convention committee, but not one word about this purported malfeasance by Clinton.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)Last edited Sun May 29, 2016, 03:23 PM - Edit history (1)
She has done extremely well with minority voters, particularly African-Americans. I also think having Trump as the Republican nominee will inspire a lot of Latino voters in particular to come out just to vote against him.
Melissa G
(10,170 posts)her numbers are plummeting and what is happening in the latest IG report and FBI investigation are not helping her either.
Clinton is the Establishment and that is quite obviously not what the country is in the mood for.
She has no real handle on her approach to Trump and that has even Dems worried.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/29/us/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump.html?_r=0
oberliner
(58,724 posts)Maybe once the Democratic nomination is settled there will be a coming together that will give whoever gets the nomination a bit of a boost.
Melissa G
(10,170 posts)Thanks.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)It does still happen occasionally here!
EL34x4
(2,003 posts)Obama lost male voters to Romney by 8 points but carried females by 12. According to a recent Fox News poll (yeah, I know) Trump loses females by 14 points but carries male voters by a staggering 22 points.
This translates into millions of votes for Trump.
Even if Hillary got every minority vote that Obama did (and that's a pretty tall order), this deficit among male voters is extremely problematic.
woolldog
(8,791 posts)and addressing women's issues. This is alienating men. She needs to work on male outreach.
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)EL34x4
(2,003 posts)that is going to lead to a whole bunch of shell-shocked Democrats wondering WTF happened on the morning of November 9th.
No, Hillary is not "SMASHING HIM TO PIECES" so YOU can stop laughing.
JudyM
(29,204 posts)cali
(114,904 posts)Who to believe regarding this? YOU??? Bwahaha. Or the people quoted in the article.
Get your head out of.... there.
pinebox
(5,761 posts)You forget that.
vintx
(1,748 posts)How few people are even paying much attention at all once their favored candidate is out? The majority of these people won't bother paying attention again till the GE heats up.
Miles Archer
(18,837 posts)Anthony Zurcher North America reporter
24 May 2016
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-us-2016-36372929
Mrs Clinton's double-digit lead, which she has held over the past several months, has vanished - and with it, apparently, Democrats' dreams of a transformational 2016 victory that would leave Republicans wandering the wilderness for a generation.
According to a Washington Post survey, 85% of Republicans plan to vote for their man. A New York Times offering finds a similar number.
A recent Economist/YouGov poll shows that among Sanders supporters, 55% would vote for Mrs Clinton, 15% would back Mr Trump and the rest either don't know or would pick someone else. It's not particularly surprising, given that 61% of Sanders backers view Mrs Clinton unfavourably and 72% say she's "not honest and trustworthy".
Speaking of Mr Sanders, his supporters cite these recent head-to-head polls as evidence that their man should stay in the Democratic race despite delegate maths that make victory seem extremely unlikely. In the YouGov poll, which shows Mrs Clinton with a 42% to 40% lead over Mr Trump, Mr Sanders had a 48% to 39% advantage. That seems to support the contention that Mrs Clinton's supporters are more likely to back Mr Sanders in a general election match-up than the other way around.
Wow, smashing him. (Eyeroll)
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Clinton has to end the Sanders distraction before she can go full tilt against Trump.
beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)handle this ass....trump can;'t handle women, strong women, smart women...women he can't bully. I'll be surprise he even will debate hillary...he can't handle not being the bully...and any debate he will always be the bully
cali
(114,904 posts)focus sharply on his temperament.
beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)go at his business sense...find all the victims of his business failures
go at his disparaging of women, blacks, latinos, mexicans
go at his "smarts"
so much to chose from and keep it going nonstop across the board for 2 months straight....start slow after the convention and build up
make trump and conservatives play defense defending this ass
cali
(114,904 posts)beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)politics 101 is you go a person's perceived strength.....
emulatorloo
(44,070 posts)He's definitely ripe for a sustained "Bane Capital" style critique and expose.
Current hard core Trump crazies won't care. But not every GE voter is crazy.
litlbilly
(2,227 posts)They call me crazy: Is it crazy to say everyone in this country should have health care as a right and not a privilege?
Is it crazy to get rid of for profit prisons? Is it crazy to make sure everyone in this country has the opportunity to get a college education? etc, etc. I think that plays into it perfectly.
Hillary on the other hand has no recourse against "crooked Hillary".
tabasco
(22,974 posts)get used to hearing, "President Trump."
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)tabasco
(22,974 posts)bettyellen
(47,209 posts)tabasco
(22,974 posts)The only swing state that Clinton has a lead beyond the MOE is Michigan --- and she is trending DOWN everywhere.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton-5635.html
H. Clinton is a weak and divisive candidate, and will lose to Trump.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)There will be a humor for her in June 8,
After sanders bows out. That's how it always works.
tabasco
(22,974 posts)and the rest except for Michigan are virtual ties. Unfortunately, as republicans continue to rally around their "strong leader" and H. Clinton continues to divide the Democratic party, these numbers will change in a bad way.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)When Sanders bows out and endorses her. Polls are useless till it is an actual head to head contest.
That's the way shit works.
randr
(12,409 posts)come convention time.
Miles Archer
(18,837 posts)...they may indeed.
jillan
(39,451 posts)she is doing such a bumbling job answering about her email problem.
Trump takes his weaknesses and gets out in front of them.
Hillary hides behind hers.
I am very concerned about November.
spinbaby
(15,088 posts)However you feel about Clinton's email and honesty, you have to admit that Trump is just over the top with his continual lies, his changing positions, his breathtaking ignorance of nearly everything, and his complete arrogance. So why is "The Donald" getting away with it?
The Midway Rebel
(2,191 posts)mdbl
(4,973 posts)and start building a steel wall between the whacked out repuglican party and normal America. If she doesn't do that, she loses.
vi5
(13,305 posts)My wife and I took my daughter and 6 of her friends to the shore. We are in NJ . The number of younger kids with Trump hats and/or shirts, including some of my daughters friends was staggering. We talked to a few of them about it and they all had some variation on the same sentiment. "It really doesn't matter but at least Trump is entertaining and funny." or one kid summed it up thusly "Look my racist uncle can be annoying but he's a lot more fun to hang around with than my aunt who is always yelling and lecturing us about what we should and shouldn't be doing."
The boardwalk was filled with pro-Trump t-shirts, pro-Bernie t-shirts, and Hillary For Prison t-shirts were the only HRC swag available.
Now again, admittedly this was a Jersey Shore boardwalk so not exactly the Algonquin round table, but by the same token this is NJ which is fairly reliably blue.
My only solace was that a lot of these kids weren't quite old enough to vote, but there were also plenty who were. I tried talking sense but while I'm not a Bernie supporter I also don't care much for Hillary so anything I say is going to be half-hearted and obviously forced beyond "Trump is a wack job!" which they wouldn't even argue with. They all legitimately just think the whole system is fucked so they might as well be entertained by it all. And the people I'm referring to included women, latinos, and other demographics who are the ones we are supposed to have near unanimous support from.
We are toast.
Dems to Win
(2,161 posts)Another indication Hillary is not getting near-unanimous support from demographics her campaign believes they have wrapped up:
Tweet from Shaun King:
https://twitter.com/ShaunKing/status/736046355324542976?lang=en
?@ShaunKing Shaun King Retweeted Fox News
Look on the right, behind Trump, yelling "Build That Wall"
Legendary @UFC fighter @TitoOrtiz.
A damn mess.
included tweet, with video:
0:39
Fox News @FoxNews
.@realDonaldTrump: "Build that wall! Build that wall! Build that wall! Build that wall!"