I believe NJ and Cali might severely weaken Sanders standing.
To those of us who pay close attention to politics we know NJ and Cali are really uncertain at this point. I would hate to be running a campaign under these conditions.
The nominee is known. Outside of a small group of very special people, we know Clinton is going to be the nominee. How does Clinton get her people to the polls?
The nominee is known. Outside of a small group of very special people, we know Clinton is going to be the nominee. How does Sanders get his people to the polls?
I'm going to argue that NJ and Cali will be landslides for Clinton. Clinton has been staying on message and building her coalition. She is gaining SD's and big endorsements almost every single day. Outside of her attacks on Trump she has been staying on message and positive. That is know as building your core support in politics. All of her opposition is attacking her relentlessly. Not promoting their own qualities.
Sanders is now, for the most part, running against everyone and everything. It's hard to find a positive message though one occasionally creeps in. It is a tactic to attempt to suppress your opponents vote. The problem is it doesn't increase ones base coalition. We have seen SD's and prominent supporters of Sanders leaving him or speaking less than flattering of him over the past weeks. We know Sanders has a very enthusiastic base but they aren't even close to putting him over the top. He has had to count on Democrats to put him over the top in many instances. I believe they have and are leaving him in droves. Some of the more recent national polls back that thought.
The DNC and Clinton should be completely hands off with respect to the Sanders campaign until after these two states have voted. They are being promoted as possibly being something positive for Sanders when he has already lost the nomination. Losing these two states big would simply crush the limited clout he has amassed. Gone. Bye.
The people in our process have spoken and their voice is crystal clear; they want Clinton. Time to let the remaining states voice their opinion and I think that opinion is going to be huge for Clinton.
That being said, what a strange environment to try to get people to the polls. I would hate to be running either campaign.
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