2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumTop Clinton Advisor Says the Primary Is Over
JORDYN PHELPS
ABC News
Heres whats not in doubt: That at some point Tuesday night, Hillary Clinton will have a majority of pledged delegates. Number one, shell have a majority of delegates overall, and a significant majority in the popular vote, senior Clinton strategist Joel Benenson said in interview with Jonathan Karl and Rick Klein on the ABC News Powerhouse Politics podcast.
Thats why everybody in the party, except for a small group of people, are acknowledging that she will be and is the presumptive nominee in the Democratic Party, Benenson said.
Also on Powerhouse Politics, Sanders Campaign Manager Jeff Weaver sharply disagreed.
When asked if Tuesday is the unofficial end of the Democratic primary, Weaver said flatly, No. Absolutely not.
But if Clinton is indeed the nominee, Weaver said, it will be incumbent on her to bridge the divide with Sanders supporters.
Theres got to be a tremendous amount of outreach on the Secretarys part to reach out to that segment of the Democratic Party that, even if Sanders isnt the nominee, is going to represent about half of the party, Weaver said. Shes going to have to reach out those people and really sort of bring them in.
djean111
(14,255 posts)Third Way, to name a few things. There is literally not one damned thing she can reach out with. Oh, and anything she says - she lies. She panders. We all know that.
beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)basselope
(2,565 posts)metroins
(2,550 posts)Mimicked a disabled reporter.
Talked about a journalists period.
Made crazy nicknames for contenders.
Discussed female or male anatomy during a campaign.
Talked about Japan getting nukes.
Wanting to break up NATO.
Campaigned on stopping Muslims from coming in the country.
Campaigned on a wall and making Mexico build it.
A billion other things.
etc. etc. etc.
Seriously, you must be insane to think they are a like.
basselope
(2,565 posts)It's not that they are alike.
They are just different forms of bad.
The result is the same.
99Forever
(14,524 posts)CobaltBlue
(1,122 posts)You will never be able to spin that. (No matter how much you try.)
metroins
(2,550 posts)We all know how it played out.
I personally think going in wasn't the bad idea; it was the sustained occupation and rebuilding effort that was bad. We don't need to rehash the whole Iraq fiasco, but the original vote was not a bad thing for me. The PATRIOT ACT is far worse than the Iraq vote.
pangaia
(24,324 posts)You are serious, aren't you!
I like that term, "going in." THAT is really a duzy !
'going in'... 'going in'... It kind of just...rolls off the tongue, doesn't it.
Well, then you certainly have chosen the right candidate to support.
metroins
(2,550 posts)We all know the sustained fight, rebuilding efforts etc were horrible ideas.
But the initial vote was not pertaining to occupation, it was to stop WMDs. Bush lied, but at the time I didn't know it so I supported the vote. I watched the 48 hours given to Saddam countdown.
pangaia
(24,324 posts)I knew it. So did millions of other people.
Bush and all the other neocons wanted to invade Iraq to begin with... lots of $$$ to be made there. "Lots of business opportunities." "Money trumps peace." etc etc..
So, yes, if Clinton wants to be president, we do have to argue the Iraq war.
This woman is a 'pax americana' supporter from the get go and I want no part of it.
As one interesting report on what happened, have you read Naomi Klein's Shock Doctrine?
Most of this was perfectly clear either before or during our 'going in.'
basselope
(2,565 posts)And now the reports have been made public and it seems even the people in the Senate KNEW there were no WMDs.
It was a politically motivated vote made by politicians who didn't want to look "weak" b/c they wanted to run for president someday.
CobaltBlue
(1,122 posts)basselope
(2,565 posts)I don't know. I was so done with her after she stood on the floor and tried to explain how her vote wasn't really her vote.
CobaltBlue
(1,122 posts)to not remember that she voted for this countryand its soldiersto fight George W. Bushs unnecesary war in Iraq.
(Did you say supported it?)
I am very glad I had the good sense to reject Hillary Clinton in both 2008 and 2016. Its too bad Democratsespecially everyone who would like to pass himself off as a progressivebetrayed and failed.
Fumesucker
(45,851 posts)That's "foreign policy" for a yuuuge chunk of America.
StevieM
(10,500 posts)HereSince1628
(36,063 posts)"a majority of delegates overall, and a significant majority in the popular vote"
I love the truth. Even when it comes in public relations statements that are trying to say more than that.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)mathematically impossible for that outcome to change.
To use a sports metaphor, Tuesday night will be the time when a team locks up a playoff series win, and the locker room gets soaked in champagne.
Jack Bone
(2,023 posts)carry on..
Viva_La_Revolution
(28,791 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Winning just about every metric doesn't matter. When going up against Clinton people simply throw the rule book out in their attempts to beat her or break her down. She doesn't roll over for the bullshit.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)apparently the campaign pays bonuses to its advisors after the nomination; the GE is an afterthought.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)You are saying yesterday wasn't a part of the GE. You are saying this is an "afterthought"?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512113881
You aren't being serious in any way.
lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)for the Democratic Party. Said candidate's advisors don't give a damn about the party or the risk of installing a President Donald Dick.
NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)Last edited Fri Jun 3, 2016, 02:05 PM - Edit history (1)
See, I do speak Hillary!
Maybe pig-latin would work better?
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)lunamagica
(9,967 posts)pinebox
(5,761 posts)should she be the nominee.
Nye Bevan
(25,406 posts)who wants them to have "some form of punishment" if they exercise their right to choose?
I'm pretty sure that most of them will be out of their sulk come November.
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)I suspect two other parties will do very well. And you know what? That is actually healthy.
pinebox
(5,761 posts)You have 2 candidates who are completely polarizing and most of America can't stand. Expect very low voter turn outs should Hillary be the Dem nominee. A lot of people see them both from the crop of corn, just different stalks.
There are other parties and they will gain a LOT of new people.
Nye Bevan
(25,406 posts)I think we'll just have to agree to disagree on this one. We'll see which of us is right in 5 months from now.
haikugal
(6,476 posts)Nye Bevan
(25,406 posts)"shallow analysis" is often a better predictor than things like economic statistics.
haikugal
(6,476 posts)was at one time, long ago. It's a shallow analysis and you agreed. I thank you for that at least.
Nye Bevan
(25,406 posts)is understanding that at least 80% of voters are not.
haikugal
(6,476 posts)been opened this primary season. Expect the unexpected.
CobaltBlue
(1,122 posts)SheenaR
(2,052 posts)Mark my words...
Hillary will have a FAR FAR tougher time with men than Drumpf will with women. Focus is way off on that one. And the data supports it.
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid
BootinUp
(47,139 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Weaver really doesn't want to go back to that comic book store
Vote2016
(1,198 posts)time the Hillary campaign said one thing and then did something that was 180 degrees removed from what they said?
I'm sure this must be an isolated incident or public polling of Hillary's trustworthiness would drop to the point where she would become unelectable.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)lagomorph777
(30,613 posts)It's still bullshit.
Tarc
(10,476 posts)Skwmom
(12,685 posts)Bettie
(16,089 posts)so, whatever.
Yeah, she'll probably pull it out and move hard Right immediately, but them saying this is just...um, any day that ends in Y.
YouDig
(2,280 posts)CobaltBlue
(1,122 posts)Waiting For Everyman
(9,385 posts)IF that happens.
Her camp long ago passed tediously boring on this constant harping, "it's over! it's over!"
It's easy to see through and it isn't a good look, because we all know it has always been about playing Beat The Clock with the FBI.
Optimism
(142 posts)As much as Hillary would like to change that date ... not gonna happen. Sucks that they've got to follow the rules and dates and such.
PRESUMPTIVE nominee. With the FBI investigation soon to wrap, I wouldn't dare to presume ANYTHING. Except that Hillary is the most damaged, unelectable candidate the Dems have served up in ages.
My family and I will NOT be voting for Clinton under any circumstances. We're FDR Democrats, after all.
anotherproletariat
(1,446 posts)How on earth will we ever know who they might vote for. It is a total mystery.
Wait...maybe we could ask them? Perhaps get those who feel strongly one way or another to commit for their preferred candidate. Then we could have some idea who the nominee might be. This would be helpful in planning speeches and other convention events.
I'm sure FDR will enjoy the conservative SCOTUS that will result from Trump winning the presidency. You sound far more stubborn than FDR, who was willing to sacrifice his own reputation for many of his ideas.
WhiteTara
(29,703 posts)after all, no social security, no medicare, no medicaid, no public schools, no public parks, no public libraries with a few "Christian" charities that will have bread and soup lines is just what FDR would want. To make sure all these things come to pass, Trump can nominate the next 3 SCOTUS seats and the right wing will seat them immediately, but you just make sure you don't vote for Clinton under any circumstances. That's what FDR would want. Oh, and the repukes want that too. But you can come here and whine about how terrible the country is then.
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid
B Calm
(28,762 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)Before the first vote was cast the DNC and the Hillary campaign
unfairly announced to the world that Hillary had a 500 super delegate lead over Sanders.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3295202/No-wonder-Hillary-thinks-inevitable-votes-500-Democratic-establishment-superdelegates-locked-up.html
My state, Indiana voted for Bernie, but every super delegate will be voting for Hillary and the same thing can be said all across the country.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Democratic_Party_superdelegates,_2016
So yes the fix is in!
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)I'm sure it helps you sleep at night.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)they have advantages and strengths
candidates lose elections because they have disadvantages and weaknesses
that doesn't make the process rigged, it just means there's always a loser and a winner
B Calm
(28,762 posts)Please. . IT'S RIGGED!
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)such that Bernie can be considered to be the legitimate winner.
He lost the popular vote
He lost the pledged delegate race
He lost the overall delegate race
He lost amongst Democrats
He lost all of the major swing states
He lost, and it's because voters preferred Clinton.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)imagine2015
(2,054 posts)Hillary doesn't need to pack up her truckload of baggage and head to the convention.
She can parade her baggage on the road and start campaigning early without a formal coronation.
Trump is obviously looking forward to that.
Democratic office holders not so much.
Well, many of them can get Wall Street and corporate jobs that pay a lot more than Congress should they not be re-elected.
That ain't so bad!
The important thing is that Bernie will not upset their gravy train and some of these "centrist" Democratic politicians have already declared they can work well with a President Trump!
They would rather have Trump than Bernie.
onecaliberal
(32,819 posts)Will she have 2383- NO, well that's what it takes to be the nominee. Not doesn't matter what idiot says otherwise.
Buzz cook
(2,471 posts)She's about 71 delegates away from that number. What makes you think she can't at least pick up that many?
B Calm
(28,762 posts)Buzz cook
(2,471 posts)That's half the delegates plus one in total, supers and pledged.
Half of pledged delegates alone is about 2026 she needs about 230 delegates to reach that number. That is less than a third of outstanding pledged delegates.
Why don't you think she can't get that number.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/democratic_delegate_count.html
But oddly enough supers do count. so the number 71 is the relevant one.
Zen Democrat
(5,901 posts)The fact is that I'll vote for the nominee strictly for the Supreme Court. However, if it's Hillary I'll be sick. I don't know why she even wants it. Most of the country will not trust her or like her, and she'll have a tough time if elected. We'll hear endlessly about Bill's shenanigans, and we know he can't be trusted to be scandal-free. She has to show me that she's a progressive, because prima facie she's a near-conservative. She's for the social issues, but not as much as Sanders. And as far as the economy, she's a deal-maker with the dark side. I wonder about her position on inheritance taxes, now that the Clintons have mega-millions.
They came to Washington not even owning a home in Arkansas. After leaving office the cash-in is over $100,000,000 for books and speeches. Hey, I bought all their books, just for moral support, but that's all over now. I see who they are, and they fooled me for a long time but never again.
And, are we certain Hillary is well? She looks terrible. Her face doesn't say 68 to me, it says 75. She has less than half the energy of Bernie Sanders. Have we seen a doctor report?
DebDoo
(319 posts)Maedhros
(10,007 posts)I suppose they count for something, right?
lumberjack_jeff
(33,224 posts)If the truth is in doubt:
1) watch what Clinton does
2) listen to what she says.
3) ignore what she says and infer the truth from what she does.
840high
(17,196 posts)MFM008
(19,804 posts)Tuesday night.
LoverOfLiberty
(1,438 posts)from the far-left Sanders supporters. They will hate it but it will be like a freight train running over their "revolution".
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)some people in general have issues with trying to process bad news and look for comfort in bizarre rationalizations