Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
 

pdsimdars

(6,007 posts)
Fri Jun 3, 2016, 04:44 PM Jun 2016

Bernie Sanders Has Entirely Evaporated Hillary Clinton’s Lead in California, NBC Poll Shows

Bernie Sanders is now trailing Hillary Clinton by only two points among registered Democrats, according to a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll of California voters, putting the two Democratic candidates at a statistical tie.

The poll, which surveyed 557 likely Democratic voters by landline and cell phone from May 29-31, found that 47 percent of California’s likely Democratic primary voters preferred Sanders, while just 49 percent supported Clinton. The margin of error was 4.2 percentage points.

When expanded to include all potential Democratic voters, including those marked with “No Party Preference” and comprising 991 voters, Sanders leads by one point. Furthermore, while Sanders led the pack in the usual categories that favor him — independents (68-26), those younger than 45 (66-30), and first-time voters (72-28) — he was also chosen by a majority of Latino respondents, as Sanders was chosen by 49 percent of likely voters compared to 46 percent for Clinton.

The poll also showed that Sanders maintains a larger margin of victory against Donald Trump than the former Secretary of State, reflecting trends in other states’ polls.

Voters’ responses may have been influenced by the recent release of the State Department Inspector General’s report over the use of Hillary Clinton’s private email server. As US Uncut previously reported, the report caught Clinton in several lies, and an AP fact check confirmed that Clinton deliberately misled the public on the purpose and security of her server. Politifact researched Clinton’s claim that her email server was “allowed” and rated it as “False.”

With just six days until Californians cast their ballots, the poll could signal a shift in momentum towards Sen. Sanders, who has been barnstorming the state for several weeks. Should the Vermont senator win the Golden State by a convincing margin and win a majority of California’s 475 pledged delegates, he could surge into the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia this summer with a convincing argument to swing superdelegate votes his way. One argument Sanders has consistently made is that he polls better than his primary opponent against presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump — which Politifact backed up as mostly true.

While Clinton only leads Sanders by 272 pledged delegates, the former Secretary of State leads Sen. Sanders in superdelegates by a 543-44 margin. Most of Clinton’s superdelegates committed to supporting her at least six months before the first primaries and caucuses. The Democratic nomination will likely come down to superdelegate votes at the party’s national convention, which will be held in late July.


http://usuncut.com/politics/poll-california-bernie-clinton/


18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Bernie Sanders Has Entirely Evaporated Hillary Clinton’s Lead in California, NBC Poll Shows (Original Post) pdsimdars Jun 2016 OP
LOL, sorry, it's over. nt stevenleser Jun 2016 #1
"LOL" - (adj.) lahl - backed into a rhetorical corner; got nothin'. syn: ROFL lagomorph777 Jun 2016 #3
Or, it's really over. Which in this case, it is. nt stevenleser Jun 2016 #4
Sure, screw CA, NJ, etc. Who needs them in the GE? lagomorph777 Jun 2016 #6
She will win both state's electoral votes without breaking a sweat. That you think there is even a stevenleser Jun 2016 #8
Hey, don't forget FBI. frylock Jun 2016 #10
sounds like an obvious case of fraud/rigging/cheating/vote suppression to me :-) nt msongs Jun 2016 #2
Just 40 more points and he'll be where he needs Renew Deal Jun 2016 #5
Mmmhmm, just like he berned down her southern firewall KingFlorez Jun 2016 #7
She could lose both states by 10 points and still get what she needs to clinch and by a mile. nt stevenleser Jun 2016 #9
After the way Sanders has run his destructive campaign, I hope his political career is over. Jitter65 Jun 2016 #15
Well, it is hot out here today. frylock Jun 2016 #11
^^^^^^^^^^^ Amen! ^^^^^^^^^^^ pdsimdars Jun 2016 #14
Given her huge lead in New Mexico, I am skeptical of this poll's claim that he is leading her StevieM Jun 2016 #12
Hillary could lose all of them 60-40 Txbluedog Jun 2016 #13
Good. Whipe the GE disaster off the board, California! Vote Bernie! eom Betty Karlson Jun 2016 #16
Message auto-removed Name removed Jun 2016 #17
A big win in California would have wiped out Clinton's pledged delegate lead. senz Jun 2016 #18

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
6. Sure, screw CA, NJ, etc. Who needs them in the GE?
Fri Jun 3, 2016, 04:50 PM
Jun 2016

Surely Hillary can win without all those voters, right?

 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
8. She will win both state's electoral votes without breaking a sweat. That you think there is even a
Fri Jun 3, 2016, 04:52 PM
Jun 2016

discussion to have on that shows that your support for your candidate has blinded you to common sense.

KingFlorez

(12,689 posts)
7. Mmmhmm, just like he berned down her southern firewall
Fri Jun 3, 2016, 04:50 PM
Jun 2016

Even if she wins only by two, she will clinch easily.

 

Jitter65

(3,089 posts)
15. After the way Sanders has run his destructive campaign, I hope his political career is over.
Sat Jun 4, 2016, 05:40 AM
Jun 2016

And I hope the Democratic party can recover.
Hillary has made some bonehead errors but voting for Iraq war was made into something that it was't. She didn't do any less than many good Democrats did. To blame her instead of Bush wrong.

Libya was more on her than Iraq. But even on Libya, she was siding with the majority of allies who saw great danger in allowing Gaddafi to continue with his brutal attacks on some. (I didn't agree that he was as bad as they say).

Nonetheless, her email decision is being blown way out of proportion. Had there been no Benghazi multiple investigations that would have gone completely unnoticed because no harm or security was breeched. Many Fed keep personal e-mail at work but they don't have private servers but some do know how to access non-Fed servers.

If she can withstand these recent allegations and attacks as she has done for the past 40 years she will make a great President, I believe. But Bernie has scorched the earth before her and his supporters will be worse to her than the GOP Congress was to President Obama.

StevieM

(10,500 posts)
12. Given her huge lead in New Mexico, I am skeptical of this poll's claim that he is leading her
Fri Jun 3, 2016, 05:31 PM
Jun 2016

among Latinos in California. And that makes me skeptical of the entire poll.

Besides, we saw this before in Nevada. We were told that he was leading among Latinos there and that certainly turned out not to be correct.

 

Txbluedog

(1,128 posts)
13. Hillary could lose all of them 60-40
Fri Jun 3, 2016, 05:42 PM
Jun 2016

And will still be the leader in pledged delegates (781*40= 312) which gives her the pledged delegate majority

Response to pdsimdars (Original post)

 

senz

(11,945 posts)
18. A big win in California would have wiped out Clinton's pledged delegate lead.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 04:39 AM
Jun 2016

This is why the AP decided to call the race for Clinton the night before California and five other primaries.

The Clinton campaign must have been in a complete panic.

I hope this stunt backfires hard.

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Bernie Sanders Has Entire...