2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSen. Elizabeth Warren: 'I don't believe in super-delegates'
So much for Bernie's plan to flip the SDs
scscholar
(2,902 posts)We need this a year ago!
Barack_America
(28,876 posts)...and possibly until after the convention.
She's pouring cold water on Clinton's self-proclaimed "presumptive nominee" status.
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)grasswire
(50,130 posts)MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)bkkyosemite
(5,792 posts)Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)phony argument.
Henhouse
(646 posts)Peachhead22
(1,077 posts)...would the race today look the same? There's no way for any of us to know. But no-one should assume the media's constant touting of Hillary's lead in super-delegates, even before the first popular vote was cast, had no bandwagon effect.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bandwagon_effect
Henhouse
(646 posts)So yes....there is a way to know...
The SDs initial support of HRC had no effect. Obama won the most pledged delegates in spite of HRC super delegate lead....
Peachhead22
(1,077 posts)Was it several hundred SDs before any primaries? And in 2008 I'm pretty sure SDs weren't automatically added in with popular vote delegates in almost every newscast, like what has happened this year.
So the SD's psychological effect in 2008 vs their effect this year is probably kind of apples-to-oranges.
Henhouse
(646 posts)Clinton began with a substantial advantage in superdelegates, leading Obama 154 to 50 when New Hampshire voted on Jan. 8, 2008.
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Orsino
(37,428 posts)Some would love to read this as a rebuke of Sanders, or of Clinton, but it's a call for candidates to be able to start a race on more even footing. Small-d democratic.
imagine2015
(2,054 posts)That's the real math and wishful thinking by Hillary supporters won't change that.
merrily
(45,251 posts)Barack_America
(28,876 posts)...and before the convention for that matter.
No superdelegates + candidate without required majority of pledged delegates = contested convention!
Hillary will need Bernie's pledged delegates to go over the top!
2banon
(7,321 posts)I love that she's taking a principled position but is it going to change anything?
CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)TwilightZone
(25,426 posts)It's quite clearly not what you think it is.
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)There is no way she will support a candidate that did not win the primary process.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)Henhouse
(646 posts)She is definitely shooting down Bernie's plan to flip the SDs.
imagine2015
(2,054 posts)Period.
Like it or not, and they don't, Warren and Sanders have to live with the Democratic Party superdelegates and hopefully they will support the strongest candidate against Trump and one that isn't representing the corporate tycoons and Wall Street banksters.
That would be Bernie Sanders of course.
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)Superdelegates are not going to coronate a person who did not win the votes of the Democratic party, a majority of the pledged delegates, or a majority of states.
They will support the strongest candidate. Clinton comes out on top in all three.
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)in second place.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)She won't be feeling the Bern at the convention.
TDale313
(7,820 posts)I agree with her. Bernie agrees with her. But here we are- it's too late this cycle. We're stuck with them. And their purpose *is* to sway elections. If they just reinforce the pledged there's no point in them.
And let's be honest- and I say this as a strong Sanders supporter- unless something dramatic happens that makes Hillary totally unelectable between now and the election, Superdelegates who have announced support for her will have little incentive to switch and a lot of downside. They might have gone against the pledged to throw things to Hillary if Sanders had gotten more pledged just cause conventional wisdom has been she'd be stronger in the General (I disagree, but there ya have it) and she's the establishment candidate and the supers are the establishment. The reverse? Very unlikely barring major unforeseen circumstances.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)"The superdelegates have never actually determined who the nominee is."
TDale313
(7,820 posts)But they have no purpose if all they do is reinforce the pledged. They were put in place precisely to give the establishment a thumb on the scale in case the grass roots did something nuts- ya know, like nominating a 74 yr old democratic socialist. 😉 Preventing an (in their minds) unelectable insurgent candidate from becoming the nominee even if the voters chose them is the supers #1 reason for existing.
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)TDale313
(7,820 posts)That they wouldn't switch to support Bernie if doesn't have the pledged (and it may be unlikely even then)
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)similar to the voting pattern, not to declare right at the gate way back when and entrench within that scenario. I don't thing there should be Superdelegates, because their stated cause is to keep the Party within the Establishment and unavailable to the common people.
But since we have them, they should vote as the people of their state divide up.
But then I think the Electoral College is easily as non-democratic.
So, back to our "democracy". Carry on.
Henhouse
(646 posts)MyNameGoesHere
(7,638 posts)Do it.
2banon
(7,321 posts)I see this statement as completely neutral.
It's weird for both my peeps and those in the other camp to read it in favor of one side or the other.
Unless, there's more not captured in this vid, both camps are making this into something that isn't there, imo.
Bernie fans I love you lots, you KNOW I do, but she's not "going there" in this particular statement.
Quite neutral and principled, imo.
bigwillq
(72,790 posts)should determine the nominee.
I'm also for open primaries and the elimination of caucuses.
Popular vote, imo, is the only thing that should determine a nominee or election, even if this means the people I support never win an election ever again.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)Elizabeth is saying she doesn't believe in the concept of superdelegates and infers calling the contest over by virtue of some 547 superdelegates is bullshit.
I agree with her.
pnwmom
(108,955 posts)after the primaries are over -- even though Hillary will have the majority of pledged delegates by then. She only needs to win 33% of remaining pledge delegates to do that -- so that's not in doubt.
But Bernie wants to try and get the supers to turn their backs on the millions of diverse voters across the country who preferred Hillary over Bernie.
The super delegates won't go against the expressed will of the voters, and it makes no sense that he's going to try -- on top of being supremely hypocritical.