2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSomething for Bernie Sanders to Consider, among Other Things
If the Senator from Vermont decides to continue with his campaign right up through the convention, he will be running a great risk. It will be obvious to every one after Tuesday that he cannot become the nominee. Expect to see all Super Delegates who have already said they'll vote for Clinton at the convention reaffirm their decisions. Probably, some additional ones will declare their intentions as well.
Here's the thing: Every Democratic Senator is a Super Delegate. As far as I am aware, all of them are planning to vote for Hillary, except for Bernie, himself. Here's the problem with that. If, as is expected, the Democrats regain a majority in the Senate, Bernie is risking a great deal if he continues to bluster and attack Hillary Clinton in a vain attempt to defeat the candidate who will have one a majority of pledged delegates.
In the Senate, Bernie is an Independent. While he normally caucuses with the Democrats, he insists on his Independent status. If he pisses off Democratic Senators by acting as a spoiler to a smooth nomination in July, his Senate colleagues are very likely to simply ignore him in the Senate. They will have a majority in the Senate, so his vote with the caucus is not as important as it normally has been.
Sanders would still vote with the Democratic caucus, because he cannot vote, in good conscience, with the Republicans on most issues. But, he will no longer be a crucial vote. If he continues to insist that the will of the voters be overturned, I can see the Democratic caucus responding by simply taking away his committee seats and ignoring him altogether in discussions on legislation. In that case, he will have virtually no clout whatever as a Senator.
It might even be that his state, Vermont, could refuse to return him to the Senate two years from now. That risk is so high, Sanders might even consider resigning his seat next year. His fellow Senators might simply shun him for his sorry performance between the primaries and the convention.
I hope Bernie does not continue his truculent opposition to Clinton's nomination. It will not succeed and he may well suffer considerably ignominy from it.
Think about it, Bernie. Help us elect a Democratic President in November. Do the right thing.
Vattel
(9,289 posts)In all probability he will lose and he knows that. But he is playing by the rules and, quite literally, lives are at stake.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Warren Stupidity
(48,181 posts)right fucking now!
MineralMan
(146,254 posts)If you want him to see it, though, please feel free to send it to him.
tularetom
(23,664 posts)Keep being truculent Sen. Sanders, keep up the bluster, and don't worry about the ignominy.
Nobody will have a clear majority of delegates until the convention.
MineralMan
(146,254 posts)So, he'll have to make his own decisions, as always.
tularetom
(23,664 posts)Because he really needs anonymous posters on the internet telling him he's just a cranky old curmudgeon.
MineralMan
(146,254 posts)Nope. I checked, and neither "cranky" nor "curmudgeon" appeared in my post.
It looks like you're the only one using those descriptors.
tularetom
(23,664 posts)Think outside the box!
MineralMan
(146,254 posts)Words are my life.
Response to tularetom (Reply #17)
tularetom This message was self-deleted by its author.
highprincipleswork
(3,111 posts)MineralMan
(146,254 posts)I stopped watching those long ago.
highprincipleswork
(3,111 posts)Live and Learn
(12,769 posts)MineralMan
(146,254 posts)It was my opinion. I'm sure that Bernie Sanders is capable of forming his own opinions.
You're welcome to forward it to him, if you think he isn't already considering those things.
Live and Learn
(12,769 posts)MineralMan
(146,254 posts)It's just a post stating my opinion, as are all posts I write here. Had it been a letter to him, I'd have written it differently and sent it to him, rather than posting it here.
But, thanks for your reply.
Live and Learn
(12,769 posts)MineralMan
(146,254 posts)Exhortations are often in the vocative case. Look it up.
Live and Learn
(12,769 posts)MineralMan
(146,254 posts)case, so it can be hard to notice. Here's another example of its use:
"Lord love a duck!" Now, that's not a prayer directed at a deity. It uses the vocative case.
If it were a prayer, or a request, it would have said,
"Lord, I beseech you to to love this duck."
Since the rest of my post was in the third person when referring to Senator Sanders, the last sentence was an exhortation using the vocative case, directed at the reader, rather than to Bernie. It's a subtle distinction in English. Some would say that English doesn't even have the vocative form to use. I disagree, as a semi-amateur linguist.
Live and Learn
(12,769 posts)MineralMan
(146,254 posts)It was not a letter to Bernie. I know how to write letters to political people. I do it all the time.
Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)Will he no longer be invited to the clique's parties? Will they stick their tongues out when he passes them in the hall? Call him a Meanie? Write messages about him on the restroom walls?
And, some wonder why people don't bother to vote.
MineralMan
(146,254 posts)his actions after the primaries are over and the will of the voters is known.
Disapproval.
Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)Shunning? Removing from committees? Because he ran for president? Has he done a bad job as a senator? Screwed up the committees?
Do tell.
grasswire
(50,130 posts)...the nature of the Clintons, in spades. Retribution. Authoritarianism. Meanspiritedness. Revenge. Enemies list.
Sounds almost Nixonian.
Lord Magus
(1,999 posts)It's a demand on Bernie's part that the win be handed to him after he lost.
Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)Lord Magus
(1,999 posts)He'd still be a senator, but that doesn't mean other senators would have to do him any favors.
Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)Are those "favors"?
Lord Magus
(1,999 posts)Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)Or, if you prefer:
History has tried hard to teach us that we cant have good government under politicians. Now, to go and stick one at the very head of the government couldnt be wise. Mark Twain
grasswire
(50,130 posts)The fears you cite are invalid.
Bernie has nothing to lose. He is the head of a movement that is greater than the Third Way; a coalition of progressives and independents. The political landscape has changed. HRC may prevail through this rigged election, but she will be the last Third Way to gain the WH, and will likely be impeached within weeks.
You are simply on the wrong side of history. The old rules are failing to control the surge.
MineralMan
(146,254 posts)I'm afraid I can't take your predictions very seriously. When you bring impeachment into the discussion, you fail to convince.
As far as history is concerned, at my age, I will be history before too many years pass. History is being made every time we elect a new President. This time, we'll be electing our first female President. That will be a significant change in the political landscape. It will make history, and I'll be on the right side of that.
As President, Clinton will continue to make history. What that history will record remains to be seen, of course.
Bernie may be the head of a movement. Whether that movement actually ends up prevailing also remains to be seen.
I hope to live to see more history being made, of course.
grasswire
(50,130 posts)Republicans are cheering the idea of both Clintons impeached. That would be historic, you must admit. Even the possibility of HRC being indicted is historic. No Democrat has run for POTUS under criminal investigation by the FBI.
If you are not aware of what the enemy (Republicans) are planning, then you really need to get out of the bubble.
They have the votes to make it happen. And oh, how they want to beat her up.
MineralMan
(146,254 posts)I've seen several Republican Presidents do serious damage to everyone's dreams. I've seen unjust wars, unnecessary poverty, blatant discrimination against women and minorities, and much much more.
I don't know your age, but I remember every President, starting with Eisenhower. I remember good periods and horrible periods. I remember the history that has been made in my life. That's why I vote for the better option in every presidential election.
So, I'm no stranger at observing history being made. I expect to see more of it being made, and to try to influence it as I'm able.
There will be no impeachment of Hillary Clinton. That's your own pipe dream. Smoking is bad for you. I recommend giving it up.
grasswire
(50,130 posts)...to know it's real?
Lord Magus
(1,999 posts)Lord Magus
(1,999 posts)No matter how hard this may be for you to believe, not everybody's looking for a "revolution" and not everybody supports your "movement."
HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)'Think about it, Bernie.' He has, thx for pointing it out
Jake Stern
(3,145 posts). . . . .until they're scrambling to find votes to shut down a GOP filibuster.
oberliner
(58,724 posts)Barring some kind of massively large wins in CA and NJ.
MineralMan
(146,254 posts)just to say he waited until everyone had voted. But, he might just suspend and concede on Wednesday. I'll be watching either way.
But, when he does concede, it will be a great "surprise" to his supporters. I'm sure the agonizing cries will be heard here and on other political discussion venues. That will be followed by vituperative anger, and then by silence.
I'm listening for the sound of silence, frankly. There's a General Election to win, after all.
BobbyDrake
(2,542 posts)that he's sponging up. We need to begin preparing our next generation of Senators, not placating non-Democrats who stab us in the back over and over.
MineralMan
(146,254 posts)relevant in the Senate. I think he'll do the smart thing, really, and maybe sooner than many think.
Waiting For Everyman
(9,385 posts)for the Supers to vote at the convention.
And neither she, nor anybody else has any effective lever over Sanders. Don't believe me, wait and see.