2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumFull Gallup results-Likely Voters-R49%(-2) O48%(+2) Registered voters-O49%(+1) R46%(-2)
http://www.gallup.com/poll/election.aspxObama Job Approval-51%(+3) Disapproval-44%(-4)
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Romney 49-47 in LV, Obama 50-47
just1voice
(1,362 posts)They publish and promote propaganda and should be fully recognized as such.
Robbins
(5,066 posts)The numbers from them I was more intrested In were registered voters and approval.If Obama has a 50 percent approl he will get
50 percent of popular vote.And strong early voting numbers are coming from getting registered voters to polls.My feeling Is polls
could be off a bit because registered voters will be coming out.The numbers In Blue states and swing states may be slightly higher for
Obama than polling suggests.Back In 2004 Registered voters were better for Bush than Likely voters.So there Is precendent for registered voters being more accurate.
outsideworld
(601 posts)kestrel91316
(51,666 posts)weighting by electoral votes.
Why do people even bother paying attention to this sort of poll???
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)polls where Obama is leading and just cite Gallup.
:bandhead:
yellowcanine
(36,826 posts)Seems at some point they would give up on their likely voter model and just report the registered voter number.
Kick in to the DU tip jar?
This week we're running a special pop-up mini fund drive. From Monday through Friday we're going ad-free for all registered members, and we're asking you to kick in to the DU tip jar to support the site and keep us financially healthy.
As a bonus, making a contribution will allow you to leave kudos for another DU member, and at the end of the week we'll recognize the DUers who you think make this community great.