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I don't care how many supers Bernie hasn't flipped today. (Original Post) hellofromreddit Jun 2016 OP
Still math-challenged, I see. The poll of superdelegates is only a snapshot of reality TODAY. randome Jun 2016 #1
I'm a big boy, I can handle your attitude all day. hellofromreddit Jun 2016 #2
No hurry at all. I don't even particularly like Clinton. She's too old. So is Sanders. randome Jun 2016 #10
Whoa! That was nice! kayakjohnny Jun 2016 #11
Still calendar-challenged, I see. Beartracks Jun 2016 #28
Pledged delegates don't either. eom MohRokTah Jun 2016 #3
but brettdale Jun 2016 #4
People's lives are at stake - this isn't a god damned TV show demwing Jun 2016 #18
What grade are you in? mac56 Jun 2016 #32
If an SD says they're supporting Clinton every time they get asked about it, for months baldguy Jun 2016 #5
I did not claim that. You're arguing a straw man. hellofromreddit Jun 2016 #7
For Sanders' SD flipping strategy to work baldguy Jun 2016 #9
I said nothing about Sanders' plan. I only said I don't care about supers today. hellofromreddit Jun 2016 #12
Bullshit. The title of your OP is "I don't care how many supers Bernie hasn't flipped today." baldguy Jun 2016 #14
Very well. Spoon feeding it is. hellofromreddit Jun 2016 #16
You need it. baldguy Jun 2016 #17
Clinton tried to flip superdelegates too. Vattel Jun 2016 #19
And just like everything else, she's been successful at it when Sanders hasn't. baldguy Jun 2016 #22
um, no she failed to flip any. Several flipped to Obama though. Vattel Jun 2016 #25
Sanders’ Quest for Superdelegates Loses One After Virgin Island Official Flips to Clinton baldguy Jun 2016 #29
Um, that doesn't contradict anything I have said. But I am glad you can google. Vattel Jun 2016 #31
"She failed to flip any..." baldguy Jun 2016 #33
Geez, I was talking about what she did in 2008, trying to win by flipping superdelegates. Vattel Jun 2016 #34
2008 is history. I'm talking about today. baldguy Jun 2016 #35
The history is relevant given all the whining by Clinton supporters Vattel Jun 2016 #37
The correct spelling is "winning"... baldguy Jun 2016 #38
And she failed. lancer78 Jun 2016 #24
not just leading, he had already clinched a majority. Vattel Jun 2016 #26
no delegates vote before the convention. Clinton becomes the presumptive nominee tonight. geek tragedy Jun 2016 #6
So, you are not ruling out Blood Magick? Raster Jun 2016 #8
I adhere to the old gods. nt geek tragedy Jun 2016 #20
Pledged don't vote today either upaloopa Jun 2016 #13
#berniemath, soon to go the way of the Whigs and the Flat Earthers Tarc Jun 2016 #15
But...but.. workinclasszero Jun 2016 #23
Barring death or disaster, it's highly unlikely the SDs will flip bigwillq Jun 2016 #21
Could not agree more. nt AmBlue Jun 2016 #27
How did I miss you ? Trajan Jun 2016 #30
Well, she just surpassed the pledged majority Dem2 Jun 2016 #36
 

randome

(34,845 posts)
1. Still math-challenged, I see. The poll of superdelegates is only a snapshot of reality TODAY.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 07:20 PM
Jun 2016

It relates to likelihood. Statistical odds. Does no one in the Sanders campaign know math?

This current snapshot is not likely to change. Has it ever changed this late in a Primary? That should tell you what you need to know.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Stop looking for heroes. BE one.[/center][/font][hr]

 

hellofromreddit

(1,182 posts)
2. I'm a big boy, I can handle your attitude all day.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 07:24 PM
Jun 2016

But you'd better straighten up if you think snide bullshit like that is going to benefit you in the GE. You're in a big hurry to call yourself a winner, so act like it.

Just some friendly advice.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
10. No hurry at all. I don't even particularly like Clinton. She's too old. So is Sanders.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 07:47 PM
Jun 2016

And I know that's uncool to say but I truly don't mean any insult by it, it's just that neither one of our candidates seems as fluid, as vibrant as Obama, and I kind of got used to him.

But...math. Probability statistics. Clinton is clearly our next President. We should be celebrating the extreme likelihood that Trump is about to detonate inside the GOP cave and Clinton will help bring us closer to controlling Congress.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Stop looking for heroes. BE one.[/center][/font][hr]

Beartracks

(12,806 posts)
28. Still calendar-challenged, I see.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 08:57 PM
Jun 2016

Does no one in the Hillary camp know calendars?



=======================

brettdale

(12,376 posts)
4. but
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 07:30 PM
Jun 2016

When the supers say, we wont change our minds, then Bernie should get
the message.

Hes kinda like the nerd in every TV show, who always asks out the hot chick, always get
rejected, but keeps asking.

 

baldguy

(36,649 posts)
5. If an SD says they're supporting Clinton every time they get asked about it, for months
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 07:32 PM
Jun 2016

What makes you believe they'd switch all of a sudden? What makes you think any of the 573 supporting Clinton are lying?

 

baldguy

(36,649 posts)
9. For Sanders' SD flipping strategy to work
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 07:43 PM
Jun 2016

it requires that the SDs are lying when they say they support Clinton. There's no evidence that's the case. Therefor it's perfectly reasonable to include them in the delegate totals.

It's not a "straw man" just because you can't present valid argument against it.

 

hellofromreddit

(1,182 posts)
12. I said nothing about Sanders' plan. I only said I don't care about supers today.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 07:51 PM
Jun 2016

You're still arguing against a claim I never made. That's why it's a straw man.

FWIW, I don't think Bernie actually plans to go about flipping supers. He's keeping the campaign running until the convention and pointing out a possible avenue of success (no matter how small) is a part of that. I certainly don't expect a bunch of supers to flip--establishment democrats have shown time and again that they'll circle the wagons no matter what. This time is no different. Maybe if the mythical FBI indictment comes down they'll flip, but even then I seriously doubt it.

But as I said in my OP, I don't really give a shit today. I'm simply pushing back against the tide of garbage the trolls are spamming this place with.

 

baldguy

(36,649 posts)
14. Bullshit. The title of your OP is "I don't care how many supers Bernie hasn't flipped today."
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 08:09 PM
Jun 2016

That's Sanders' plan. And it's based on lies told by Sanders.

Unfortunately for him, the world will go on in spite of his lies.

 

baldguy

(36,649 posts)
17. You need it.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 08:25 PM
Jun 2016

1) Sanders' Grand Strategy to steal the nomination from Clinton is to get SDs to flip their support to him.

2) As each of the links you so graciously provided indicate, he has so for been entirely unsuccessful in doing so.

3) The whole argument that "SDs don't vote until July 26, so no fair counting them" is based entirely on the presumption that they will flip. And is total bullshit, because of point #2, and he's not likely to flip any in the next month since he has nothing to offer them.


Sanders lost. Time to put your big kid pants on & deal with it.

 

baldguy

(36,649 posts)
22. And just like everything else, she's been successful at it when Sanders hasn't.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 08:45 PM
Jun 2016

Just one more way Bernie lost.

 

baldguy

(36,649 posts)
33. "She failed to flip any..."
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 10:37 PM
Jun 2016

She flipped at least one, which is one more than Sanders. And puts the lie to your post.

 

Vattel

(9,289 posts)
34. Geez, I was talking about what she did in 2008, trying to win by flipping superdelegates.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 11:08 PM
Jun 2016

You know, the same thing that all you Clinton supporters are complaining about Sanders doing. She was trying to flip superdelegates after Obama had clinched the majority of pledged delegates.

 

baldguy

(36,649 posts)
35. 2008 is history. I'm talking about today.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 11:10 PM
Jun 2016

Clinton has won by any metric you'd care to look at. Sanders has lost by every metric you'd care to mention.

 

Vattel

(9,289 posts)
37. The history is relevant given all the whining by Clinton supporters
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 11:14 PM
Jun 2016

about Sanders trying to flip superdelegates.

And yes, Clinton will win because she will get a majority of the delegates.

 

baldguy

(36,649 posts)
38. The correct spelling is "winning"...
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 11:23 PM
Jun 2016

Or, more accurately "won" since it regards something that has already occurred & is finished.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
6. no delegates vote before the convention. Clinton becomes the presumptive nominee tonight.
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 07:34 PM
Jun 2016

Sanders has no hope of being the nominee.

None.

Stannis Baratheon is more likely to sit on the Iron Throne than Bernie is to being the Democratic nominee.

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
13. Pledged don't vote today either
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 08:05 PM
Jun 2016

After tonight Bernie will have to flip around 400 to 500 supers because he will be that far behind in pledged delegates.

It just isn't going to happen and that will be made known soon.

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
15. #berniemath, soon to go the way of the Whigs and the Flat Earthers
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 08:10 PM
Jun 2016

The superdelegates who have endorsed Hillary already will be counted today.

 

bigwillq

(72,790 posts)
21. Barring death or disaster, it's highly unlikely the SDs will flip
Tue Jun 7, 2016, 08:44 PM
Jun 2016

today, next week or next month.

Hillary is highly likely the DEM nominee. And she should be.

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