2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWOW...13% in and Hillary is smashing Bernie by over 25 points in California
YOWZA!
LexVegas
(6,060 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)JimDandy
(7,318 posts)Hillary's largest group of supporters are the elderly who consistently vote absentee. Bernie's are the youth. They consistently are election day voters. Clinton's engineering of that announcement was designed to depress election day turnout as it usually heavily favors Bernie.
It appears from reports on the ground, Clinton's crass tactic may have had effect. We'll know soon.
Certainly nothing to do with Dolores Huerta, who publicly and wrongly maligned SBS supporters at their own Nevada caucus location. She was an out-of-state guest who treated her hosts poorly.
msongs
(67,401 posts)R B Garr
(16,950 posts)Awesome!
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)There are about 5,000,000 early ballots to count and they are some of the first reported.
Could still tighten up.
rbrnmw
(7,160 posts)Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)rbrnmw
(7,160 posts)Metric System
(6,048 posts)democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)Otherwise, do you think she would have passed up the opportunity to seal the nomination with a win in California, following in the footsteps of her husband and Robert Kennedy?
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)Clinton was expected to do well there (though maybe not THIS well). It will tighten up.
itsrobert
(14,157 posts)oh wait, Somebody get Bernie a map.
cynatnite
(31,011 posts)That spread will narrow quite a bit.
Jitter65
(3,089 posts)KingFlorez
(12,689 posts)With spillover into San Mateo County.
Zorro
(15,740 posts)uponit7771
(90,335 posts)KingFlorez
(12,689 posts)Alameda, San Fransisco and Marin are also ones to watch. Those could shift things dramatically.
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)TomJulie
(98 posts)laserhaas
(7,805 posts)Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)Stallion
(6,474 posts)nm
Barack_America
(28,876 posts)Stallion
(6,474 posts)nm
brooklynite
(94,518 posts)Sanders expected to do better in the live vote count, HOWEVER NBC reporting early vote strong than expected for Clinton.
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)spooky3
(34,444 posts)Cohn at NYT and others at 538 and MSNBC say we will likely not know the full results tonight - Cal voters can mail in votes today and if postmarked, they will be counted as late as Friday.
The first group of (early mailed-in) votes is expected to be strongly pro-Hillary. Then the in-person votes today will be counted, which will likely be more strongly pro-Sanders. The third group, late mailed-in votes, could go either way.
metroins
(2,550 posts)10 points can tighten. We're talking 26 points, that's a big spread.
spooky3
(34,444 posts)Cohn, 538, and some folks at MSNBC are pretty careful about numbers, so I think it's wise to be cautious.
metroins
(2,550 posts)I don't mind being cautious at all.
I was wrong about MI and some other state (I forget which one) because of Early Voting.
It's a large spread in CA right now.
spooky3
(34,444 posts)metroins
(2,550 posts)Over CNN live TV.
Live TV does things for ratings and I trust NYT more.
spooky3
(34,444 posts)bravenak
(34,648 posts)Response to Cali_Democrat (Original post)
Post removed
LenaBaby61
(6,974 posts)Mail in ballots thus far 26%
Bernie has to REALLY rally if he's gonna make up some ground with Hillary's mail in ballots...
He's gonna have to rally to get 1 million votes. He may make it to 1 million, but it's gonna be tough.
Stallion
(6,474 posts)I think they've been the best in the business this entire primary season. They had Clinton winning by 8 or 9. I'm sure the AP call might interfere with their projection but they nailed the New Jersey rout