Sanders need a "Mathematical Miracle" to win California

[Doctor Jack]

So they say on CNN. Looks like the polls were likely wrong in the last week.

[Barack_America]

1. All the polls were wrong. Mmm hmm.

Let's go with that.

[Cali_Democrat]

6. Are you saying California was stolen from Bernie?

Wanna flesh that one out a little more?

[Barack_America]

9. No, not really. Election integrity is not a valued topic at DU.

[Corporate666]

17. So...by your logic

Bernie stole Michigan, right?

Can't have your cake and eat it too. Either polls are reliable and deviation from polls indicates fraud.

OR

Polls are unreliable and shouldn't be used to "know" what the results will be.



Or, like everything else with the Bernie campaign, does the opinion change in a heartbeat depending on whether it's helpful or hurtful to the Sanders campaign?

[Hoyt]

2. Polls were "rigged" for Sanders. Glad the BS is almost over.

[LonePirate]

3. Supposedly Clinton won the early vote almost 2 to 1 and early voters might be 60% of all voters.

Strong ground games and campaign organizations win early votes where more and more contests are won (just as in FL and OH, for instance).

[upaloopa]

4. Minorities are 51% of the state. Independents had to ask for a Dem ballot to vote

Bernie's crowd are mostly white independents.

[ContinentalOp]

5. His only hope here was right wing NPP voters trying to stop Clinton

And the AP shut that down!

[Hekate]

16. Did they stay home because their feelings were hurt? Isn't that counterproductive down-ballot?

How did the AP prevent anybody from voting? That is a ridiculous assertion. Just ridiculous.

[ContinentalOp]

19. I was kind of kidding

But I was worried about npp republicans voting for Sanders since Trump already has the nomination. But after AP called it for Clinton last night, there would be no reason for conservatives to screw with our primary today.

[Hekate]

20. Okay, okay. It's just that this place is crawling with conspiracy theories tonight....

Gaaah.
The point you make about conservatives messing with our primary is the whole reason I am in favor of closed primaries.

Cheers

[LenaBaby61]

7. Older people like myself VOTE....

IE: Mail in Ballots.

Younger people, well, they vote when they "feel" like it most of them. I wish they would vote more, but oh well

[still_one]

8. 32% are in, and a lot of those are vote by mail. There is still a ways to go, though I would say

with 32% counted, if Sanders did manage to pull something out, it would be close, no blowout win for sure

[Live and Learn]

18. Only 14% are in. nt

[still_one]

21. That is not accurate. 35% are in, with Hillary at 61.6% verses Bernie at 37.3%

http://www.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ca/Dem

and while Bernie can still pull this off, if he does, it will be close

[Live and Learn]

22. Now they are. nt

[still_one]

23. ok

[Doctor Jack]

11. Nope, spelled perfectly

Don't worry about it

[Ken Burch]

12. Well now it is. n/t.

[Warren DeMontague]

13. "Calinfornia"?

[Doctor Jack]

15. Its fine

Don't even worry about it

[Warren DeMontague]

14. In my experience the more liberal areas of CA come in later. So early results can be misleading.

IIRC both Bush and McCain were leading CA when only 15% or so of the results were in, in '04 and '08 respectively.

Now, Hillary may carry the more liberal areas, but I wouldn't go on the early numbers.