2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumI'm happily surprised by Hillary's margin of victory in CA.
I thought it would be close. But a commanding victory in CA is a great way to seal the deal. A very clear signal from voters: the people want Hillary.
Bernie's out of arguments at this point. Every time there was a "super Tuesday" he talked about how he was going to win, this was going to the the turning point where the "real people" make their voices heard. And every time he lost by a lot.
He was really building up CA. Biggest state, very diverse, open primary, everything. And then Hilary wins by double digits. Bernie's last argument is gone.
boston bean
(36,221 posts)YouDig
(2,280 posts)He can't credibly try and argue that "the people" really want him. His open primary argument is soundly defeated. His "momentum" is gone. It's over.
riversedge
(70,186 posts)liberal N proud
(60,334 posts)The talking heads all tried to make it close so they had more to talk about.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)Surya Gayatri
(15,445 posts)Bern spent nearly a month and millions of dollars to win CA, only to end up with practically the same losing point spread as he had back in January.
Great campaign strategy there.
Jarqui
(10,123 posts)AP prematurely called the overall primary the day before the vote on a survey of supersaturates who do not actually vote until July 25th, leaving many Sanders voters to think their vote was pointless.
Ignoring that is really smart, right ?
YouDig
(2,280 posts)I think it probably helped Bernie. It angered some Berners and angry people vote.
Jarqui
(10,123 posts)The young millennials who support Sanders faced a choice of voting for Sanders when they'd been told by the AP it was pointless or going out and having some fun or doing something that was productive.
Hillary votes would be inclined to vote to be a part of the coordination. Sanders voters would be less inclined to vote for a losing cause.
The AP announcement wasn't accidental. It's just smells of another Clinton dirty trick.
YouDig
(2,280 posts)Another theory is that Hillary supporters got complacent when they thought she won, and Bernie supporters got mad and went out to vote. After all, it's the Berners who always think that the media is conspiring against them, why would they believe when the AP called it?
Jarqui
(10,123 posts)http://boingboing.net/2016/06/03/california-democratic-primary.html
How California is being Stolen from Sanders right now
http://www.gregpalast.com/
Placebo Ballots: Stealing California from Bernie
I could go on but it's like bashing my head against a brick wall. Hillary supporters will put on the blinders and waddle on. Like usual, I'll get a whole bunch of excuses or misdirection to evade the issue.
I've been following primaries since the 60s. This is the dirtiest I've ever witnessed and it's all coming from one side: Clinton, the corrupt DNC she owns and the media she effectively has significant control/sway with.
All the lies. All the voting irregularities. It stinks to high heaven ... and I began 2015 supporting her.
I'm sure there will be a swath of dismissive posts with little behind them. Have at it.
This whole thing smells bad. It's not a very historic result when you look more closely and objectively at how she got there.
Now I get to deliberate my choice:
A) Support Hillary to lie to me for four more years
B) Support The Donald to lie to me for four more years
I'm so excited about confronting that kind of future I can't contain myself. Maybe if I just lie to myself .....
justiceischeap
(14,040 posts)Last edited Wed Jun 8, 2016, 10:21 AM - Edit history (1)
that's pretty much her lead in CA. Those votes were cast before this AP nonsense.
So you're saying that over 400,000 of Bernie's ardent supporters just gave the hell up at crunch time?
Demsrule86
(68,543 posts)I never thought that. First of all, many didn't register in time...and those that requested a ballot may have requested the wrong one which meant they had to show up in person and turn in their mailed ballot...that is much to ask of young voters or any voters...his fault for having a lousy ground game. In 08 and 12...we concentrated on getting out the early vote in all elections...we got those ballots mailed in and got people to take advantage of early in-person voting...it is how you win. Many things can go wrong on election day including long lines or illness...this puts the vote in the ballot box no matter what.
Blue_Adept
(6,399 posts)You're overestimating the impact severely.
texstad79
(115 posts)I had it pegged as 10 to 15 points. SBS would have done well to keep it to single digits.
Hokie
(4,286 posts)Clinton did much better on early voter and Sanders was closer in walkup votes. Honestly who knows? I suspect the effect was down in the noise. I think Hillary clinched the wins with the foreign policy speech. The timing and message were excellent.
Demsrule86
(68,543 posts)AP called the race on Monday...the mail-in ballots were already in route. This gave her a huge early lead which he never recovered from and would not have been affected by the AP call. If his voters didn't vote then it is on him...you have to have a ground game...maybe he should have spent money on that instead of uuuuuuuuuge rallies.
yellowcanine
(35,699 posts)Now granted, the Post's deadline was likely about 10 pm, but even by that time it should have been apparent that it was not a tight race and even if not - wording to the effect that California results were still coming in at press time would have been more honest.
Demsrule86
(68,543 posts)I can't help but think Bernie supporters treatment of the California senators...Feinstein and Boxer contributed to this. Nevada was a disgrace.