2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBrand New Bloomberg Poll: Clinton 54, Trump 36
"If the general election were held today, and the candidates were [Hillary Clinton for the Democrats]
and [Donald Trump for the Republicans], for whom would you vote? (Rotate candidate names in
brackets.) Mar-16: Asked only of likely 2016 general election voters; n=815. MoE: ± 3.4 percentage points.
54 Clinton
36 Trump
9 Not sure
Xipe Totec
(43,890 posts)tallahasseedem
(6,716 posts)it's working and working well!
tgards79
(1,415 posts)...instead of continuing his ego trip.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)dubyadiprecession
(5,706 posts)I sounds like trump is in very serious trouble.
egduj
(805 posts)in election history.
TwilightZone
(25,464 posts)tgards79
(1,415 posts)TwilightZone
(25,464 posts)That's why it says, "Mar-16" and "Percentages given for reference, but not valid for direct comparison".
When they change a question from one survey to the next, they leave the prior question and the related data in for reference purposes.
The current numbers are right above those:
Clinton: 48
Trump: 35
Johnson: 8
Would not vote: 2
Not sure: 6
RCP has it 49/37 for Bloomberg
qdouble
(891 posts)Asked only of likely voters; n=750. MoE: ±3.6
percentage points. Ever Never Not sure
1st choice or
lean in
horserace
Hillary Clinton 6 43 2 49
Donald Trump 7 55 1 37
Gary Johnson 22 44 25 9
55% of voters said they'd never vote for Trump... while 54-56% would consider voting for Hillary
Dem2
(8,168 posts)When Gary Johnson is included: http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512185085
oasis
(49,376 posts)moonscape
(4,673 posts)CorkySt.Clair
(1,507 posts)TwilightZone
(25,464 posts)See page 6. They left it in for reference since the new poll includes Gary Johnson.
The current numbers are:
Clinton: 48
Trump: 35
Johnson: 8
Would not vote: 2
Not sure: 6
The March numbers:
(Note changes in answer options. Percentages given for reference, but not valid for direct comparison.)
If the general election were held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats
and Donald Trump for the Republicans, for whom would you vote?
Mar -16:
Asked only of likely 2016 general election voters; n=815. MoE: ± 3.4 percentage points.
Clinton: 54
Trump: 36
Not sure: 9
colsohlibgal
(5,275 posts)Despite her not being that well loved overall she almost cannot lose to that fluke flake candidate.
Non college educated males are Trump's biggest bloc by far, they would have to turn out in historic numbers for him to even have a remote chance.
I also suspect that some republicans supporting or even having endorsed him will not vote for him once in that booth. I think this could be a bigger rout than Tricky Dick and McGovern in 1972.