Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

tgards79

(1,415 posts)
Tue Jun 14, 2016, 09:50 PM Jun 2016

Brand New Bloomberg Poll: Clinton 54, Trump 36

"If the general election were held today, and the candidates were [Hillary Clinton for the Democrats]
and [Donald Trump for the Republicans], for whom would you vote? (Rotate candidate names in
brackets.) Mar-16: Asked only of likely 2016 general election voters; n=815. MoE: ± 3.4 percentage points.

54 Clinton
36 Trump
9 Not sure

19 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies

dubyadiprecession

(5,706 posts)
5. Hillary breaking 50% with Likely voters in a poll is extremely impressive this early on in the GE..
Tue Jun 14, 2016, 10:03 PM
Jun 2016

I sounds like trump is in very serious trouble.

egduj

(805 posts)
6. Hillary must be tickled to know she's running against what's probably the weakest opposing candidate
Tue Jun 14, 2016, 10:06 PM
Jun 2016

in election history.

TwilightZone

(25,464 posts)
12. The numbers you listed are the reference numbers from March.
Tue Jun 14, 2016, 10:20 PM
Jun 2016

That's why it says, "Mar-16" and "Percentages given for reference, but not valid for direct comparison".

When they change a question from one survey to the next, they leave the prior question and the related data in for reference purposes.

The current numbers are right above those:

Clinton: 48
Trump: 35
Johnson: 8
Would not vote: 2
Not sure: 6

RCP has it 49/37 for Bloomberg

qdouble

(891 posts)
14. Thanks for the link...this part is interesting too:
Tue Jun 14, 2016, 10:23 PM
Jun 2016
Asked only of likely voters; n=750. MoE: ±3.6
percentage points. Ever Never Not sure
1st choice or
lean in
horserace
Hillary Clinton 6 43 2 49
Donald Trump 7 55 1 37
Gary Johnson 22 44 25 9


55% of voters said they'd never vote for Trump... while 54-56% would consider voting for Hillary

TwilightZone

(25,464 posts)
11. Here's a link. Those are the results from March -- they're just using them for reference.
Tue Jun 14, 2016, 10:17 PM
Jun 2016
http://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rc0NltTBR0ug/v0

See page 6. They left it in for reference since the new poll includes Gary Johnson.

The current numbers are:

Clinton: 48
Trump: 35
Johnson: 8
Would not vote: 2
Not sure: 6

The March numbers:

(Note changes in answer options. Percentages given for reference, but not valid for direct comparison.)
If the general election were held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton for the Democrats
and Donald Trump for the Republicans, for whom would you vote?
Mar -16:
Asked only of likely 2016 general election voters; n=815. MoE: ± 3.4 percentage points.
Clinton: 54
Trump: 36
Not sure: 9

colsohlibgal

(5,275 posts)
13. No Surprise
Tue Jun 14, 2016, 10:23 PM
Jun 2016

Despite her not being that well loved overall she almost cannot lose to that fluke flake candidate.

Non college educated males are Trump's biggest bloc by far, they would have to turn out in historic numbers for him to even have a remote chance.

I also suspect that some republicans supporting or even having endorsed him will not vote for him once in that booth. I think this could be a bigger rout than Tricky Dick and McGovern in 1972.

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Brand New Bloomberg Poll:...