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Sivart

(325 posts)
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 11:06 AM Jun 2016

The reason you want more people voting in your primaries is so you have a better....

A better chance of winning in the general election.

This is a no brainer.

If you go with completely closed primaries, you will end up selecting fewer general election winners.

64 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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The reason you want more people voting in your primaries is so you have a better.... (Original Post) Sivart Jun 2016 OP
state law determines whether primaries are open or closed, so it's a wash either way geek tragedy Jun 2016 #1
Every modern President who won election would disagree with you. BobbyDrake Jun 2016 #2
Your scenario assumes the people who did not vote in the primary (and some of the people who did) djean111 Jun 2016 #21
I can just about GUARANTEE there will be a huge push NorthCarolina Jun 2016 #3
I sure hope so. CorkySt.Clair Jun 2016 #11
Exactly SirBrockington Jun 2016 #54
You guys sounds like republicans..... Sivart Jun 2016 #62
Exactly: closed primaries favor the status quo. Lizzie Poppet Jun 2016 #20
It's easier to stand outside and throw rocks Eko Jun 2016 #64
I'm just not interested in Republicans fucking with our primaries. emulatorloo Jun 2016 #4
Yes, then a voter can vote in the primary they chose. Thinkingabout Jun 2016 #8
It needs to allow for same day registration AT THE VERY LEAST then. stillwaiting Jun 2016 #43
+1 SirBrockington Jun 2016 #48
no one complained in 2008. I wonder why? WhiteTara Jun 2016 #5
yes they did. there was also a huge fight over caucuses. Exilednight Jun 2016 #47
I've always believed in closed WhiteTara Jun 2016 #61
Yes they did. The Hillary folks complained a lot about open primaries democrattotheend Jun 2016 #52
One of the choices we make in life is to register to vote, a choice of being a Democrat is a choice. Thinkingabout Jun 2016 #6
What in the world does primary turnout have to do with winning the general? CrowCityDem Jun 2016 #7
That's possible. But you also can end up with candidates that don't reflect the values and policies YouDig Jun 2016 #9
Don't ya just love it when the votes get suppressed? nt Jack Bone Jun 2016 #10
Wouldn't having people actually join your party One of the 99 Jun 2016 #12
these candidates represent the parties - hence they should be chosen by the parties DrDan Jun 2016 #13
huh? nini Jun 2016 #14
If the argument included that Party membership should be restricted, then it may make sense... Sivart Jun 2016 #18
Here's the thing..... Sivart Jun 2016 #15
I'm not missing any point at all.....you guys are kidding yourselves party membership..... Sivart Jun 2016 #16
This message was self-deleted by its author djean111 Jun 2016 #17
Primary elections are paid for by TAX PAYERS! That said alone, they should all be open. B Calm Jun 2016 #19
This is exactly my point..... Sivart Jun 2016 #24
Polls are used for that purpose. Voting in a primary does not show how a general election will turn upaloopa Jun 2016 #30
Tax payers pay for many things that the payers disagree on. upaloopa Jun 2016 #31
But elections are not one of them! B Calm Jun 2016 #35
That is not at all how primaries work, but thanks for the 11th-hour try Tarc Jun 2016 #22
What do you mean specifically? Sivart Jun 2016 #23
You have to go to some effort to change party registration just to vote in a primary then change upaloopa Jun 2016 #27
Some effort...? Sivart Jun 2016 #39
So allowing Republicans to vote in our Primaries would be the best of all outcomes? brooklynite Jun 2016 #25
 New York Had the Second-Lowest Voter Turnout So Far This Election Season w4rma Jun 2016 #28
They should have registered with the Democratic Party in the first place... brooklynite Jun 2016 #36
The Clintons and their New Democrats have shrank the Democratic Party since 1992. (nt) w4rma Jun 2016 #37
Wrong! Open primaries allow the other party to pick your worse candidate. upaloopa Jun 2016 #26
If they are not DEMOCRATS they don't get to choose the Dem nominee. oasis Jun 2016 #29
Open to Democrats... Mike Nelson Jun 2016 #32
Hillary is already ahead of Trump by 12 points workinclasszero Jun 2016 #33
Bloomber News Poll jamese777 Jun 2016 #40
I Like A Mixture jamese777 Jun 2016 #34
State Law jamese777 Jun 2016 #38
Chaotic system. You win some; you lose some. immoderate Jun 2016 #41
Is there ANY actual instance where.... Sivart Jun 2016 #42
We'll never really know jamese777 Jun 2016 #44
well, it seems pretty clear that... Sivart Jun 2016 #63
No-brainer is right. Adrahil Jun 2016 #45
What about independents??? Sivart Jun 2016 #50
If they want in say in the Democratic Party nominee, I welcome them joining the party. Adrahil Jun 2016 #53
But you dont have to join the party.....you just have to register as a Democrat. Sivart Jun 2016 #58
Registering is good enough for me. That is enough "joining" Adrahil Jun 2016 #60
I just think about operation chaos SirBrockington Jun 2016 #46
Opertation Chaos was a joke..... Sivart Jun 2016 #49
Caucuses are much worse than closed primaries. Agnosticsherbet Jun 2016 #51
so why don't independent candidates do well ? JI7 Jun 2016 #55
Isnt it obvious? Sivart Jun 2016 #56
so party organization means much more when it comes to winning JI7 Jun 2016 #57
Yes, I believe it clearly does.....which has nothing to do with the OP Sivart Jun 2016 #59
 

BobbyDrake

(2,542 posts)
2. Every modern President who won election would disagree with you.
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 11:10 AM
Jun 2016

Democrats and Republicans both use closed primaries, and their candidates still win.

Can you actually point to any legitimate correlation between diversity of primary voters and general election success? Or is this just some truthiness that you feel must be correct because you need it to be?

 

djean111

(14,255 posts)
21. Your scenario assumes the people who did not vote in the primary (and some of the people who did)
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 12:24 PM
Jun 2016

obediently voting for whoever is wearing the team jersey. May not work out that way this year. I know millennials who won't even bother voting, if it is Hillary. That's not on Bernie, that's on the DNC.

 

NorthCarolina

(11,197 posts)
3. I can just about GUARANTEE there will be a huge push
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 11:10 AM
Jun 2016

for closed primaries after this primary. The establishment will attempt to close anything they perceive as a loophole that would permit another non-establishment candidate from ever challenging their complete control over the candidate selection process again.

 

CorkySt.Clair

(1,507 posts)
11. I sure hope so.
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 11:28 AM
Jun 2016

I'm not interested in the Dem nominee being picked by a bunch of loony Naderites and fringe left greens and other assorted randos.

 

Lizzie Poppet

(10,164 posts)
20. Exactly: closed primaries favor the status quo.
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 12:04 PM
Jun 2016

Unfortunately, the status quo doesn't favor the people.

I've pretty much given up at this point. This year's primary season made it abundantly clear that meaningful change from within our completely-corrupted system is simply not going to happen. For me, it's local issues and advocacy of Cascadian secession going forward.

Eko

(9,993 posts)
64. It's easier to stand outside and throw rocks
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 04:39 PM
Jun 2016

than actually register to a party and make meaningful changes.

emulatorloo

(46,155 posts)
4. I'm just not interested in Republicans fucking with our primaries.
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 11:12 AM
Jun 2016

If one is a left leaning independent who wants a say on Dem nominee, then one registers as a democrat and votes in the Democratic primary.

stillwaiting

(3,795 posts)
43. It needs to allow for same day registration AT THE VERY LEAST then.
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 03:11 PM
Jun 2016

If they won't permit open primaries, then allowing citizens to register as Democrats SAME DAY must be allowed.

The voting suppression that was rampant this primary must not be allowed to ever happen again within the Democratic Party.

Exilednight

(9,359 posts)
47. yes they did. there was also a huge fight over caucuses.
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 03:15 PM
Jun 2016

Obama won many of the caucus states and several open primaries. Ironically, the people pushing for closed primaries on this board are many of the same people who wanted more open primaries back then.

democrattotheend

(12,011 posts)
52. Yes they did. The Hillary folks complained a lot about open primaries
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 03:27 PM
Jun 2016

Because she didn't do well in them in 2008 either.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
6. One of the choices we make in life is to register to vote, a choice of being a Democrat is a choice.
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 11:14 AM
Jun 2016

If the state is a closed primary and it should be the choice of those desiring to vote for a candidate in a primary needs to be to register as a member of that party. In most states, registering with a party is open, anyone registered as a Democrat can vote in the DNC primaries.

YouDig

(2,280 posts)
9. That's possible. But you also can end up with candidates that don't reflect the values and policies
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 11:22 AM
Jun 2016

of the party.

One of the 99

(2,280 posts)
12. Wouldn't having people actually join your party
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 11:35 AM
Jun 2016

to vote in primaries be better. That way they are more involved and invested in the outcome. Plus it prevents members of the other party crossing over to create havoc.

DrDan

(20,411 posts)
13. these candidates represent the parties - hence they should be chosen by the parties
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 11:37 AM
Jun 2016

I do not understand why ANY party member would trust the votes from non-members to select their candidates. Simply makes absolutely no sense to me.

nini

(16,830 posts)
14. huh?
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 11:41 AM
Jun 2016

You obviously miss the point of 'primaries' which are for each party to select who they want in the GE.


 

Sivart

(325 posts)
18. If the argument included that Party membership should be restricted, then it may make sense...
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 11:50 AM
Jun 2016

But I don't see how you can say we don't want independents and republicans voting in our primaries.....but we are absolutely fine with independents and republicans changing their registration to vote in our primaries....

Because that is exactly how things are now.

 

Sivart

(325 posts)
15. Here's the thing.....
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 11:44 AM
Jun 2016

The primaries are in many ways a test run. A chance to see how the options we have would do. The results of this test run are more accurate when more people vote. just like any other test or survey....the results are more representative of the real world the large the sample size.

Everyone makes a big deal about being a member of the party....but its really meaningless. Literally anyone can join. There are ZERO requirements. The most right wing republican person I know can change their registration to the Democratic Party anytime they want to with no questions asked. I'm sure everyone realizes this....

If you closed the primaries, you do realize that a republican could just change their registration to our party, and still do the same shenanigans you are worried about now.

If there were restrictions and requirements to be a registered Democrat, then it might make a little more sense, but as long as there is not, then you should want as many people testing out your candidates as possible during the primaries.

In addition, everyone here should know that many people chose to not have a party affiliation when they register to vote, This can be for many reasons, including employment.

The bottom line is that party registration is pretty meaningless in this situation. This is because you pretend like you want only democrats to vote in the primary, while at the same time making no restriction whatsoever on who can be a Democrat.

 

Sivart

(325 posts)
16. I'm not missing any point at all.....you guys are kidding yourselves party membership.....
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 11:47 AM
Jun 2016

If you are ok with literally anyone who can vote to be allowed to register as a Democrat, then whats the difference?

Response to Sivart (Original post)

 

B Calm

(28,762 posts)
19. Primary elections are paid for by TAX PAYERS! That said alone, they should all be open.
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 11:55 AM
Jun 2016

You need to welcome voters who may be inspired by a democratic candidate. If you want their votes in November, you should welcome them in the selection process.

 

Sivart

(325 posts)
24. This is exactly my point.....
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 02:16 PM
Jun 2016

If you are gaining support from people who are not registered democrats, why would you not want to know that by letting them cast a vote? And conversely, if you are failing to gain support from non registered democrats, but your opponent is, why would you not want to know that??

You have much much more to gain by letting them vote than you do to lose by not letting them vote.

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
30. Polls are used for that purpose. Voting in a primary does not show how a general election will turn
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 02:23 PM
Jun 2016

out.

 

Sivart

(325 posts)
23. What do you mean specifically?
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 02:13 PM
Jun 2016

I am just pointing out that to say that only registered democrats should be allowed to vote in the primaries, while having absolutely zero restrictions or requirements relative to who can register as a democrat, seems to be a little oxymoron-ish.

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
27. You have to go to some effort to change party registration just to vote in a primary then change
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 02:21 PM
Jun 2016

back again. That is why some states expect you to register months before an election.

 

Sivart

(325 posts)
39. Some effort...?
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 02:47 PM
Jun 2016

You have to go to some effort to vote, so whats your point?

It is still true that literally anyone who is legal to register can register as a democrat. There is no way to be disqualified from registering as a democrat. Therefore, there are zero restriction on legal voters registering as democrats.....

But when it comes to primary voting, we act like we don't want republicans and independents voting in primaries.....which I do understand to a point.....but it makes no sense to then, all those independents and republicans to change their registration so that they can vote in democratic primaries, and this scenario is completely fine.

 

w4rma

(31,700 posts)
28.  New York Had the Second-Lowest Voter Turnout So Far This Election Season
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 02:21 PM
Jun 2016

And 3 million New Yorkers, 27 percent of the electorate, didn’t get to vote because they weren’t registered with the Democratic or Republican parties, and the deadline to change party affiliation was an absurd 193 days before the April 19 primary, as I reported on Monday.

As a result, only 19.7 percent of eligible New Yorkers cast a ballot, the second-lowest voter turnout among primary states after Louisiana, according to elections expert Michael McDonald. There were over 900 calls from frustrated voters to the Election Protection Coalition, more than in any other primary state.

http://www.thenation.com/article/new-york-had-the-second-lowest-voter-turnout-so-far-this-election-season/

This crap is unacceptable in any "blue" state or in any "democracy".

 

brooklynite

(96,882 posts)
36. They should have registered with the Democratic Party in the first place...
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 02:38 PM
Jun 2016

If they felt the need to "assert their independence" by not joining the Democratic Party, I'd say they got what they asked for.

 

w4rma

(31,700 posts)
37. The Clintons and their New Democrats have shrank the Democratic Party since 1992. (nt)
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 02:40 PM
Jun 2016

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
26. Wrong! Open primaries allow the other party to pick your worse candidate.
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 02:19 PM
Jun 2016

Voting in primaries and in the general have no correlation.

Mike Nelson

(10,943 posts)
32. Open to Democrats...
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 02:27 PM
Jun 2016

...Democrats vote in their primaries, not Republicans. We should encourage people to be Democrats and vote against people like Trump and Bush.

 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
33. Hillary is already ahead of Trump by 12 points
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 02:28 PM
Jun 2016

We need democrats only, voting for democrats in the primary.

jamese777

(546 posts)
40. Bloomber News Poll
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 02:49 PM
Jun 2016

That 12 point lead for Hillary over Trump in the latest Bloomberg News Poll includes independents and disaffected Republicans who can't bring themselves to support Trump..

jamese777

(546 posts)
34. I Like A Mixture
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 02:36 PM
Jun 2016

The best way to nominate the strongest candidate for the general election is through having to compete in a mixture of formats in the primaries and caucuses. I like havng some open to see how candidates do with independents and members of other parties, some closed, to see how candidates do with the rank and file members of the party, some caucuses, to test candidates' strength with party activists and the most dedicated members and a few hybrid mixtures.
Barack Obama got 9% of the registered Republican vote and 52% of the Independent vote in 2008.

jamese777

(546 posts)
38. State Law
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 02:45 PM
Jun 2016

Determines the primary election process in each state. Right now 31 states have Republican Governors, 18 states have Democratic Governors and there is 1 Independent Governor in Alaska who used to be a Republican.

 

Sivart

(325 posts)
42. Is there ANY actual instance where....
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 02:54 PM
Jun 2016

Is there ANY actual instance where registered Republicans voted in an open Democratic primary and out numbered registered democrats in said primary?

This keeps getting mentioned, but I believe it has literally never happened.

jamese777

(546 posts)
44. We'll never really know
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 03:13 PM
Jun 2016

because states with open primaries usually don't require a voter to state a party preference.
Rush Limbaugh thinks enough of the idea that he launched "Operation Chaos" to urge Republicans to try to influence Democratic Primary Outcomes.
Republicans don't need to outnumber Democrats in order to have a major impact in a close primary.

This is from the Washington Post in 2008:
The impact of Limbaugh's "Operation Chaos" emerged as an intriguing point of debate, particularly in Indiana, where registered voters could participate in either party's primary, and where Clinton won by a mere 14,000 votes. As he had before several recent primaries, Limbaugh encouraged listeners to vote for Clinton to "bloody up Obama politically" and prolong the Democratic fight.
Limbaugh crowed about the success of his ploy all day Tuesday, featuring on-air testimonials from voters in Indiana and North Carolina who recounted their illicit pleasure in casting a vote for Clinton. "Some of the people show up and they ask for a Democrat ballot, and the poll worker says, 'Why, what are you going to do?' He says, 'Operation Chaos,' and they just laugh," Limbaugh said Tuesday.
But Limbaugh called off the operation yesterday, saying he wants Obama to be the party's pick, because "I now believe he would be the weakest of the Democrat nominees."
He added: "He can get effete snobs, he can get wealthy academics, he can get the young, and he can get the black vote, but Democrats do not win with that."

The Obama campaign and many of its supporters condemned Limbaugh's intervention tactic yesterday, calling it a major factor in Clinton's narrow Hoosier State win.
"Rush Limbaugh was tampering with the primary, and the GOP has clearly declared that it wants Hillary Clinton as the candidate," Sen. John F. Kerry (Mass.), an Obama supporter, told reporters on a conference call. On the same call, Obama campaign manager David Plouffe said Limbaugh "had a clear factor in the outcome."
Whether that is true remains in question. Even if Limbaugh's exhortations brought as many of his listeners to the polls as he says, his operation did not cripple Obama, who emerged stronger from the day's primaries after better-than-expected showings with some key groups of voters.

 

Sivart

(325 posts)
63. well, it seems pretty clear that...
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 04:11 PM
Jun 2016

The one example you can give me was a failure, thus confirming that this has never been an actual issue.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
45. No-brainer is right.
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 03:14 PM
Jun 2016

The point of the primaries is to select the representative of the party. I'm not interested who Republicans or Libertarians, or Greens for that matter, want. Yes, I want to consider who will have the best chance in the GE, but ultimately, it's the party's decision.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
53. If they want in say in the Democratic Party nominee, I welcome them joining the party.
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 03:30 PM
Jun 2016

If they aren't committed enough to join the party, then they don't deserve a say. Again, I'll consider their opinions in determining my vote, but it's our party.

 

Sivart

(325 posts)
58. But you dont have to join the party.....you just have to register as a Democrat.
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 03:54 PM
Jun 2016

You are making my point for me.

There is no such thing as joining the party. You simply need to register as a democrat. Republicans are allowed to register as democrats. So are independents.

There is literally no commitment involved whatsoever. You are kidding yourself if you think there is.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
60. Registering is good enough for me. That is enough "joining"
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 03:57 PM
Jun 2016

And if there is no commitment to joining, and it's easy-peasy, why are so many Sandernistas, and Sanders himself complainng about closed primaries and calling for open ones?

The least we can ask for folks to actually bother registering for the party.

 

Sivart

(325 posts)
49. Opertation Chaos was a joke.....
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 03:20 PM
Jun 2016

If it was real, it failed. Many believe it was just Limbaugh trying to get people's goat.

Is there any data relative to the success of operation chaos?

 

Sivart

(325 posts)
56. Isnt it obvious?
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 03:52 PM
Jun 2016

Because they are not backed and supported via a national party organization.



 

Sivart

(325 posts)
59. Yes, I believe it clearly does.....which has nothing to do with the OP
Wed Jun 15, 2016, 03:56 PM
Jun 2016

The OP was not about what means the most when it comes to winning elections.

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