2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew Poll Shows Hillary Clinton Holding Edge on Donald Trump
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/06/21/us/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-monmouth-poll.html?_r=0Hillary 47
Trump 40
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Broad support from women and minority voters has helped Hillary Clinton open an early lead over Donald J. Trump nationally, according to a new poll released on Monday.
A Monmouth University survey found that 47 percent of registered voters back Mrs. Clinton, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, while 40 percent support Mr. Trump, the Republican Partys standard-bearer. The survey is the latest in a succession of recent polls that show Mrs. Clinton having an advantage, as Mr. Trumps campaign has sputtered amid internal strife and an array of provocative public comments.
Clinton has the advantage as the general election campaign kicks off, particularly in key swing states, said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, in a statement. However, all signs point to 2016 turning out the most polarized electorate in memory.
The lack of diversity that comprises Mr. Trumps core supporters has become a problem for his general election prospects. The poll found Mrs. Clinton drawing the support of 72 percent of minority voters and 57 percent of female voters. Mr. Trump holds more modest leads among men and white voters.
Mrs. Clinton is also winning in swing states that were decided by less than seven points in 2012.
MineralMan
(146,284 posts)The_Casual_Observer
(27,742 posts)As if trump had a chance in hell.
LenaBaby61
(6,974 posts)Hillary vs Bernie. Using 2 "unusual" polls with "weird" polling mythology which said that Bernie was ONLY down by 1-2 points. Living here in California, I knew what the real deal was, and that Hillary would have a comfortable win over the Senator, and as we KNOW she DID. So of course, the media would love to continue sticking with that "it's a horse race" between Hillary and tRump, even if electoral college numbers and polling numbers show something different. Tell you something, I do hope Hillary, Dems & Co. run the GE race like they're 10 points behind to keep them all sharp on on their toes and going continually after tRump whenever possible.
lancer78
(1,495 posts)Way too many problems in his campaign. TPTB will find a way to force him out.
sheshe2
(83,728 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Cryptoad
(8,254 posts)before the conventions. When we start seeing those reputable swing state polls , can we see what really going on! But so far its looking mighty good
Sheepshank
(12,504 posts)Many of my Republican co-workers are indicating they will abstain and hope that Trump loses. They are of the opinion that the damage Trump might do if he ever got into the White House, is many times worse than waiting for one more election cycle to find the right candidate.
Walk away
(9,494 posts)(especially women) will not vote for Trump no matter what. It won't matter to Hillary as she will win NJ but it's great for local down ticket.
LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)"Many of my Republican co-workers are indicating they will abstain..."
Me too. I live in TX and every co-worker who's not voting for Clinton has told me they're not voting at all. I'm hoping this is a trend. If GOP voters stay home and Democrats vote, we could conceivable change red states to blue due to their apathy.
Sheepshank
(12,504 posts)While it's a worthy cause, for sure. The likelihood of Utah turning blue is about as likely as the Pope performing a gay marriage rite.
Maru Kitteh
(28,333 posts)All kinds of strange and new things are up for grabs this election.
Sheepshank
(12,504 posts)You have to realize what an anomaly Harry Reid is as a Mormon Democrat. The rest of the (literally) card carrying Mormons have been indoctrinated over the evils of the liberals and their wanton women and dangerous pro-choice agenda. I do give you that down ticket (more local) items will be a good fight. After all, Salt Lake City just recently elected an openly lesbian Mayor!!!!!!! We have some serious down ticket work that can be done, but I don't think Utah's electoral votes will go to Hillary.
Maru Kitteh
(28,333 posts)Just perhaps, the ceiling in Utah may be among them. We can try.
Maru Kitteh
(28,333 posts)Our party has an ENORMOUS opportunity before us to gain seats in the Senate and the House.
oasis
(49,370 posts)landslide win is icing on the cake.
HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)Jeebus... factoring in THE worst candidate the GOP could throw out there HRC is only managing a 7 point spread... and the +/- that makes it WORSE...
Folks aren't getting past historic unfavorables for both candidates and that needs to be addressed
Response to OKNancy (Original post)
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