Forget the presidency, Republicans should worry about losing the House

[SecularMotion]

Republicans need to start worrying about losing their majority in the House of Representatives.

Republicans accept the conventional wisdom that Hillary Clinton is favored to win the presidency, and they know that her election would probably end their majority in the Senate. But in a year that has upended political expectations, they have clung to one comforting assumption: Their hold on the House is secure.

Their majority is protected by gerrymandering, the geographic distribution of Republican voters, the power of incumbency and its own sheer size. Republicans have 247 seats in the House, the most since 1931. Democrats would have to win 30 to take back the chamber. And that includes many seats in districts that usually go Republican in presidential contests. That sets the House apart from the Senate, where to keep their majority Republicans will have to hold seats in states that usually vote for Democratic presidential candidates.

But Clinton’s lead in the polls is widening to the point that Republicans need to set aside their complacency. Split-ticket voting has declined over the last generation. If Clinton wins big — because Republican voters stay home, or swing voters choose her party, or both — House Republicans will struggle to win re-election. Henry Olsen, the co-author of a recent book about the Republican Party, tells me that an eight-point win would put Republicans in the danger zone.

https://www.denverpost.com/2016/06/20/republicans-should-worry-about-losing-the-house/

[Garrett78]

1. I think that's a reason the GOP would consider replacing Trump or pushing a 3rd party candidate.

The Republican Party knows full well that Clinton will more than likely become the next POTUS. But the more right wing candidates there are running for POTUS, the more likely Republicans are to perform well in down-ticket races. The Republican Party can resign itself to having Clinton win the White House, while doing whatever it can to GOTV.

[Blanks]

2. Ryan needs to be scrutinized...

Since he has emerged as a national figure, his record needs to be analyzed based on his 'accomplishments'.

It wouldn't be the first time a speaker of the house lost his home district. We saw on 2012 just how much of a putz he is.

If his record is brought into the light on the national scene, I think a lot of other conservative congresspersons would also lose.

[creon]

3. I hope

I hope that the Democratic Party can gain the HoR. The party needs 30 seats to get to 218 ( of 435).

I think that controlling Congress is very important. Congress is the body that passes laws.